Sligo 17:10 12 Jul 2026
12 Jul 2026

Last Sunday Clayton Hotel Mares Flat Race

Clayton Hotel Mares Flat Race · 2m2f59y

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  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
AI rates Circus Hill Medium Saturday Draw Join free to vote Updated 4 days, 17 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Allez Yeats silks
Allez Yeats
Age 7 · 11-11
127
7
11-11
50/1
Allez Yeats is unraced, so there's no form to judge her on. Everything is open to interpretation on debut, and with a first competitive test to come, she looks fully unexposed and capable of more than we currently know.
AI verdict

SR 127 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Carleys Lilly silks
Carleys Lilly
Age 5 · 11-11
49
125
5
11-11
40/1 33/1 40/1
Carleys Lilly's last two starts read 4th and then 9th, the latter 45 days ago. She's been lightly campaigned in recent form and sits 6th of 12 on our figures at 87, leaving obvious questions given how little we've seen of her lately.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Churchfield Annie silks
Churchfield Annie
Age 5 · 11-11
32P-3
157
5
11-11
2/1 31/19 32/17
Churchfield Annie has three places from her last four starts, including a 3rd last time out, interrupted only by a pulled-up effort. She sits 4th of 12 on our figures at 90, has form over today's trip, and remains yet to win in that sequence.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Circus Hill silks
Circus Hill
Age 5 · 11-11
624-42
163
5
11-11
2/1 31/19 7/4
Circus Hill has been admirably consistent, finishing 2nd, 4th, 4th and 2nd in her last four starts before a 6th further back, and tops our figures in this field on a rating of 96. She has form over today's trip, though she remains without a win in that sequence.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Clovelly Charm silks
Clovelly Charm
Age 5 · 11-11
5
152
5
11-11
11/2 6/1 5/1
Clovelly Charm's form figures show just a 5th last time out, yet that's enough to see her rated 94 and 3rd of 12 in this field. She already has form over today's trip, and with more experience to follow there should be scope for improvement, though she remains largely unproven.
AI verdict

SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Hill Of Ballyline silks
Hill Of Ballyline
Age 5 · 11-11
147
5
11-11
15/2 13/2 15/2
Hill Of Ballyline is unraced and makes her debut with no form to judge her on. She's fully unexposed, and while there's nothing concrete to build a case on, she could easily improve with racing experience once she gets a competitive introduction under her belt.
AI verdict

SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Lexenna silks
Lexenna
Age 5 · 11-11
6
123
5
11-11
150/1 50/1 150/1
Lexenna's recent form shows a 6th, 45 days ago, so there's little to judge her on yet. She remains unexposed at this stage, with room for progress on that outing.
AI verdict

SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Maple Mornin silks
Maple Mornin
Age 6 · 11-11
125
6
11-11
25/1 20/1 25/1
Maple Mornin is unraced and steps into this field with no form on the board. She's unexposed and hard to assess on debut, but with a first competitive run to come there's plenty of scope for her to show more than we currently know.
AI verdict

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Mila Ballerina silks
Mila Ballerina
Age 5 · 11-11
00
123
5
11-11
150/1 50/1 150/1
Mila Ballerina's recent form reads unplaced twice, the latest just 8 days ago, leaving little to go on yet. She remains unexposed at this stage, with a quick turnaround suggesting she's fit enough to build on that experience.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 150/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Moyneard silks
Moyneard
Age 6 · 11-11
234-53
152
6
11-11
4/1 9/2 7/2
Moyneard has been the essence of consistency, never finishing worse than 5th in her last five starts, rounding off with a 3rd last time out. Second of 12 on our figures at 94, she has form over today's trip, without a win yet to her name.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

11
Saoirses Choice silks
Saoirses Choice
Age 6 · 11-11
49
127
6
11-11
SP 40/1 50/1
Saoirses Choice was 4th two starts back but dropped away to 9th last time out. Rated 87 and 5th of 12 on our figures, the recent downward step makes her hard to fancy on this evidence.
AI verdict

SR 127 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Wild Eagle silks
Wild Eagle
Age 6 · 11-11
080
123
6
11-11
200/1 50/1 200/1
Wild Eagle's recent form shows two unplaced efforts sandwiching an 8th, the latest 33 days ago. She remains lightly raced with limited evidence to judge her on, though there's time to progress with more experience.
AI verdict

SR 123 suggests ability but 200/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Allez Yeats 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
2 Carleys Lilly 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
3 Churchfield Annie 2/1 open 2.63 15/8 open 2.75 15/8 open 2.75 2/1 open 2.63 2/1 open 2.75 2/1 Bet365
4 Circus Hill 2/1 open 2.88 7/4 7/4 2/1 open 2.63 15/8 open 2.75 2/1 Bet365
5 Clovelly Charm 11/2 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
6 Hill Of Ballyline 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 8/1 William Hill
7 Lexenna 150/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 51.00 200/1 open 51.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 81.00 200/1 Coral
8 Maple Mornin 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
9 Mila Ballerina 150/1 open 126.00 200/1 open 51.00 200/1 open 51.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 81.00 200/1 Coral
10 Moyneard 4/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 5.50 5/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.50 5/1 Coral
11 Saoirses Choice 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 Bet365
12 Wild Eagle 200/1 200/1 open 51.00 200/1 open 51.00 200/1 open 101.00 200/1 open 81.00 200/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Circus Hill

High conviction

Circus Hill owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (91) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Mark Michael McNiff Mr D McGill(7)
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Moyneard

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Timothy Doyle
✓ Value Signal

Allez Yeats

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · James M Barcoe
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +34.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Circus Hill
74.5 2/1
2 10. Moyneard
72.6 4/1
3 3. Churchfield Annie
70.7 2/1
4 5. Clovelly Charm
69.4 11/2
5 6. Hill Of Ballyline
67.2 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Circus Hill
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 5 · 11-11
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 157 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 5 · 11-11
2/1
★★★★☆ SR 163 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

10
Age 6 · 11-11
4/1
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-11 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 5 · 11-11
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 152 🐾

SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 5 · 11-11
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 147 🐾

SR 147 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Circus Hill
Confidence: Medium

Circus Hill posts the highest SR in the field at 163 — a clear edge over Churchfield Annie (SR 157) — and her form string 624-42 shows consistent competitiveness at a reasonable level, with a second last time out suggesting she is in good current order. Trainer Mark McNiff's 5% strike rate is modest but the jockey Mr D McGill carries a 7% amateur permit alongside a 7%/87-runner career record, which is workmanlike for this sphere. Crucially, all runners share identical weight (11-11) in this mares flat race, removing any weight concern and allowing the SR advantage to speak directly. The market has her joint-favourite at 15/8, which is rational given the SR lead, and unlike Churchfield Annie she carries no tongue-tie first-use uncertainty and has not drifted in the market. Each-way alternative: Clovelly Charm. Main danger: Churchfield Annie — Churchfield Annie (SR 157) is joint-favourite at 15/8 with jockey Mr J L Gleeson boasting a strong 16% career strike rate from 128 rides, and although she has drifted 7% and carries a tongue-tie, a recent third last time out keeps her firmly in contention at this distance.

Shortlist Circus Hill, Churchfield Annie, Clovelly Charm
Each-way: Clovelly Charm Danger: Churchfield Annie

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m2f59y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Sligo Track and setting