Celtic Druid's two wins are further back in his form, with three subsequent efforts yielding nothing better than a 3rd, leaving him only 10th of 13 on our figures at 63. He does have today's distance and going covered and a strong 74 speed figure, and is fit again at 16 days, but the recent dip is hard to ignore.
Form last 6-11473
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
62SR—RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Dancing Steve is winless in his last five starts and has struggled for placings, with only a 6th to show in that spell. He does have today's distance and going covered and returns at 18 days, with a smart 79 speed figure supporting a strong 72 rating, fourth in the field.
Form last 66000-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
34SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Baila Conmigo has a win in his last six starts along with a 2nd and a 3rd, showing he's capable at this level, and rates 69 with us, fifth in the field. He was only 5th last time out and is back after 42 days off, though today's distance and going form is proven.
Form last 6513025
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR—RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Rich Belief has a 2nd among his last five starts and a strong 70 speed figure, marking him out as a leading contender at 73 on our figures, third in the field. He was only unplaced last time out and is without a win in that sequence, though today's distance and going form is banked.
Form last 6728-60
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
38SR—RPR64OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Porsche Lad has been knocking on the door, with two 2nds and a 3rd among his last six starts, and rates a strong 77 with us. He's quickly back in action after just 9 days and has today's distance and going form proven, with only a lack of a win in that spell to hold against him.
Form last 6224300
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR—RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Tero d'Rosa has a win in his last five starts plus a 2nd and a 3rd, showing solid recent form, and rates 64 with us, ninth in the field. He was 6th last time out and is back at 30 days, with today's going already proven, though a modest 62 speed figure is a mild concern.
Form last 632-166
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR—RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Chopsticks has a win in his last five starts along with a 2nd, 3rd and 4th, showing solid form figures, and rates 69 with us, sixth in the field. Fit at 30 days with today's distance and going covered, the concern is the trainer's recent form — no winner from 22 runners in the last fortnight.
Form last 6120-34
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR—RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Rising Sky has a win among her last six starts plus a 3rd, though results have been mixed, including an 8th and a 7th, and she was only unplaced last time out. Quickly back at 9 days with today's distance and going covered, she rates 66 with us, eighth in the field.
Form last 6718030
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
43SR—RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Grey Fable has a win in his last five starts plus a 4th, but was only 9th last time out having also been unplaced in that spell. Back at 22 days with today's distance and going covered, a solid 68 speed figure supports his 67 rating, seventh in the field.
Form last 6-64019
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
51SR—RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sutton Hoo has a win among his last four starts, with the others including an unplaced effort, a 9th and a 6th, yet he tops our figures at 77. Back after a 44-day break with today's going covered, he heads this field on pure form but the layoff is a query.
Form last 669-10
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
67SR—RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Sonny Corleone is winless in his last three starts, with two 4ths and an unplaced effort among them, and rates only 62 with us, 11th in the field. He does have today's going covered and a fair 66 speed figure, but a 44-day break adds to the task.
Form last 60-44
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
63SR—RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mystic Rose is winless in her last six starts and has never finished better than 4th in that spell. She sits 12th of 13 on our figures at 57 but does have today's distance covered and a fair 69 speed figure, fit again at 10 days.
Form last 6640755
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR—RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Folk Warrior is winless in his last four starts, with finishes no better than 4th and a pair of unplaced efforts, and sits bottom of our figures at 55. He does have today's distance and going covered and a fair 69 speed figure, back at 22 days, but he's up against it here.
Form last 60/0-54
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
53SR—RPR45OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Tero D'rosa owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Ross O'SullivanPatrick McGettigan(2)
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Celtic Druid
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · T G McCourt✓ Value Signal
Dancing Steve
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Adrian McGuinness◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Sutton Hoo (SR:67, 13/2) matches Tero D'rosa for the top SR in the field but carries 9-6 versus Tero D'rosa's 9-9 — a 3lb weight advantage that matters at 1m4f on AW. Crucially, the market has shortened 33% since opening, the single strongest steaming move in the race, suggesting informed money is landing on this 3-year-old. Trainer Lupini runs at a solid 9% strike rate from 97 runners, and jockey Harnett posts 9% from 213 rides — the most experienced and effective combination among the shortlisted horses. The form line 69-10 shows a last-time-out win, which is the form marker that counts most here.
Each-way alternative: Folk Warrior.
Main danger: Tero D'rosa — Tero D'rosa shares the top SR (67) with Sutton Hoo, is trained by Ross O'Sullivan (10% strike rate, 490 runners — the best trainer stats in the field), and last-time-out form of 6 after a string of placed efforts suggests a return to form is overdue, with 3lb more weight the only handicap versus the selection.
ShortlistSutton Hoo, Tero D'rosa, Folk Warrior, Celtic Druid