Dundalk (AW) 16:20 RESULTED
12 Jul 2026

Last Sunday Fairways Hotel Dundalk Apprentice Handicap

Fairways Hotel Dundalk Apprentice Handicap · 1m4f

Official Result

Fairways Hotel Dundalk Apprentice Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Baila Conmigo (IRE) Jack Kearney · Ciaran Murphy
    8/1
  2. 9/2
  3. 20/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Race picker

Switch race

Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Sligo

13:10–17:10 · 8 races

Stratford

13:50–17:20 · 7 races

Dundalk (AW)

14:00–17:30 · 7 races

Perth

14:06–17:01 · 6 races

Recently viewed

Settled
  • 13 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 7 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Celtic Druid silks
Celtic Druid
Age 5 · 10-0
-11473
67
62
67OR
5
10-0
4/1 3/1 4/1
Celtic Druid's two wins are further back in his form, with three subsequent efforts yielding nothing better than a 3rd, leaving him only 10th of 13 on our figures at 63. He does have today's distance and going covered and a strong 74 speed figure, and is fit again at 16 days, but the recent dip is hard to ignore.
AI verdict

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Dancing Steve silks
Dancing Steve
Age 5 · 9-12
6000-0
65
34
65OR
5
9-12
33/1 25/1 28/1
Dancing Steve is winless in his last five starts and has struggled for placings, with only a 6th to show in that spell. He does have today's distance and going covered and returns at 18 days, with a smart 79 speed figure supporting a strong 72 rating, fourth in the field.
AI verdict

SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

3
Baila Conmigo silks
Baila Conmigo
Age 4 · 9-11
513025
64
55
64OR
4
9-11
17/2 11/2 8/1
Baila Conmigo has a win in his last six starts along with a 2nd and a 3rd, showing he's capable at this level, and rates 69 with us, fifth in the field. He was only 5th last time out and is back after 42 days off, though today's distance and going form is proven.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Rich Belief silks
Rich Belief
Age 9 · 9-11
728-60
64
38
64OR
9
9-11
40/1 22/1 40/1
Rich Belief has a 2nd among his last five starts and a strong 70 speed figure, marking him out as a leading contender at 73 on our figures, third in the field. He was only unplaced last time out and is without a win in that sequence, though today's distance and going form is banked.
AI verdict

SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

5
Porsche Lad silks
Porsche Lad
Age 5 · 9-10
224300
63
48
63OR
5
9-10
18/1 14/1 16/1
Porsche Lad has been knocking on the door, with two 2nds and a 3rd among his last six starts, and rates a strong 77 with us. He's quickly back in action after just 9 days and has today's distance and going form proven, with only a lack of a win in that spell to hold against him.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

6
Tero D'rosa silks
Tero D'rosa
Age 4 · 9-9
32-166
62
67
62OR
4
9-9
9/2
Tero d'Rosa has a win in his last five starts plus a 2nd and a 3rd, showing solid recent form, and rates 64 with us, ninth in the field. He was 6th last time out and is back at 30 days, with today's going already proven, though a modest 62 speed figure is a mild concern.
AI verdict

SR 67 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Chopsticks silks
Chopsticks
Age 6 · 9-7
120-34
60
43
60OR
6
9-7
16/1 8/1 14/1
Chopsticks has a win in his last five starts along with a 2nd, 3rd and 4th, showing solid form figures, and rates 69 with us, sixth in the field. Fit at 30 days with today's distance and going covered, the concern is the trainer's recent form — no winner from 22 runners in the last fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

8
Rising Sky silks
Rising Sky
Age 4 · 9-7
718030
60
43
60OR
4
9-7
SP FCST 18/1
Rising Sky has a win among her last six starts plus a 3rd, though results have been mixed, including an 8th and a 7th, and she was only unplaced last time out. Quickly back at 9 days with today's distance and going covered, she rates 66 with us, eighth in the field.
AI verdict

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

9
Grey Fable silks
Grey Fable
Age 6 · 9-6
-64019
59
51
59OR
6
9-6
12/1 FCST 11/1
Grey Fable has a win in his last five starts plus a 4th, but was only 9th last time out having also been unplaced in that spell. Back at 22 days with today's distance and going covered, a solid 68 speed figure supports his 67 rating, seventh in the field.
AI verdict

SR 51 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Sutton Hoo silks
Sutton Hoo
Age 3 · 9-6
69-10
71
67
71OR
3
9-6
13/2 10/1 13/2
Sutton Hoo has a win among his last four starts, with the others including an unplaced effort, a 9th and a 6th, yet he tops our figures at 77. Back after a 44-day break with today's going covered, he heads this field on pure form but the layoff is a query.
AI verdict

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Sonny Corleone silks
Sonny Corleone
Age 3 · 9-0
0-44
65
63
65OR
3
9-0
6/1 5/2 11/2
Sonny Corleone is winless in his last three starts, with two 4ths and an unplaced effort among them, and rates only 62 with us, 11th in the field. He does have today's going covered and a fair 66 speed figure, but a 44-day break adds to the task.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Mystic Rose silks
Mystic Rose
Age 4 · 8-11
640755
50
45
50OR
4
8-11
12/1
Mystic Rose is winless in her last six starts and has never finished better than 4th in that spell. She sits 12th of 13 on our figures at 57 but does have today's distance covered and a fair 69 speed figure, fit again at 10 days.
AI verdict

SR 45 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Folk Warrior silks
Folk Warrior
Age 4 · 8-7
0/0-54
45
53
45OR
4
8-7
9/2 8/1 7/2
Folk Warrior is winless in his last four starts, with finishes no better than 4th and a pair of unplaced efforts, and sits bottom of our figures at 55. He does have today's distance and going covered and a fair 69 speed figure, back at 22 days, but he's up against it here.
AI verdict

SR 53 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Celtic Druid 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 4/1 Bet365
2 Dancing Steve 33/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 33/1 Bet365
3 Baila Conmigo 17/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 17/2 open 6.50 8/1 open 6.50 17/2 Bet365
4 Rich Belief 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 40/1 40/1 Bet365
5 Porsche Lad 18/1 open 34.00 16/1 16/1 18/1 open 15.00 16/1 18/1 Bet365
6 Tero D'rosa 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 9/2 Bet365
7 Chopsticks 16/1 open 10.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 16/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 16/1 Bet365
8 Rising Sky 18/1 22/1 open 21.00 20/1 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 22/1 Coral
9 Grey Fable 12/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 11/1 14/1 Coral
10 Sutton Hoo 13/2 open 15.00 13/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 12.00 13/2 open 11.00 13/2 Bet365
11 Sonny Corleone 6/1 open 3.50 6/1 open 3.50 6/1 open 3.50 11/2 open 3.50 11/2 6/1 Bet365
12 Mystic Rose 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 Bet365
13 Folk Warrior 9/2 open 15.00 5/1 open 9.50 5/1 open 9.50 7/2 open 9.00 9/2 open 9.50 5/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Tero D'rosa

Speculative

Tero D'rosa owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (37) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Ross O'Sullivan Patrick McGettigan(2)
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Celtic Druid

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · T G McCourt
✓ Value Signal

Dancing Steve

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Adrian McGuinness
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Tero D'rosa
52.4 9/2
2 1. Celtic Druid
51.2 4/1
3 10. Sutton Hoo
49.6 13/2
4 11. Sonny Corleone
49.0 6/1
5 3. Baila Conmigo
46.9 17/2
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Sutton Hoo
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 10-0
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-9
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 4 · 8-7
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 53 🐾

SR 53 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 3 · 9-0
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-6
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 67 🐾

SR 67 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-11
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 6 · 9-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Age 4 · 8-11
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 45 🐾

SR 45 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-7
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 43 🐾

SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
Age 5 · 9-10
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 48 🐾

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sutton Hoo
Confidence: Medium

Sutton Hoo (SR:67, 13/2) matches Tero D'rosa for the top SR in the field but carries 9-6 versus Tero D'rosa's 9-9 — a 3lb weight advantage that matters at 1m4f on AW. Crucially, the market has shortened 33% since opening, the single strongest steaming move in the race, suggesting informed money is landing on this 3-year-old. Trainer Lupini runs at a solid 9% strike rate from 97 runners, and jockey Harnett posts 9% from 213 rides — the most experienced and effective combination among the shortlisted horses. The form line 69-10 shows a last-time-out win, which is the form marker that counts most here. Each-way alternative: Folk Warrior. Main danger: Tero D'rosa — Tero D'rosa shares the top SR (67) with Sutton Hoo, is trained by Ross O'Sullivan (10% strike rate, 490 runners — the best trainer stats in the field), and last-time-out form of 6 after a string of placed efforts suggests a return to form is overdue, with 3lb more weight the only handicap versus the selection.

Shortlist Sutton Hoo, Tero D'rosa, Folk Warrior, Celtic Druid
Each-way: Folk Warrior Danger: Tero D'rosa

🗺 The Course Race conditions

1m4f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
13 Confirmed runners
Dundalk (AW) Track and setting