Tops our figures despite a modest recent sequence, unplaced last time and twice ninth before that in six starts without a win. Race fit after a 15-day break, with form over today's distance and going from draw 6, though the finishing figures give little encouragement lately.
Form last 6500990
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
94SR—RPR104OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Placed last time with a second after twice finishing sixth before that, The Highway Rat shows improvement without yet finding a win in five outings. He returns 35 days on with form over today's distance and going from draw 7, sitting midfield on our figures.
Form last 6346-62
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
95SR—RPR99OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Won three starts back and has since raced creditably in fourth and seventh, Howd'yadoit returns just eight days after his latest outing. He has form over today's distance and going from draw 3, a leading contender on our figures despite not repeating that winning effort since.
Form last 68-4174
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
85SR—RPR98OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
A midfield filly on our figures, Eclairage was runner-up four starts back. She has since tailed off, unplaced in two of her last three and winless throughout, and returns 14 days on with form over today's distance and going from draw 1.
Form last 64-2070
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Best effort came when second six starts back, and Kerdos backs it up with a strong 89 speed figure despite six starts without a win. Unplaced last time, he returns 14 days on with form over today's distance and going from draw 9.
Form last 6296860
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
78SR—RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Our selection on overall profile, Ipanema Queen won five starts back, and was runner-up four starts back - form that underpins her case. She returns from a 23-day break with form over today's distance and going from draw 10, though a sixth last time is the one blot.
Form last 61-2746
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR—RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Rosie Frith won last time out and has two wins from her last five starts, though an inconsistent middle spell (eighth, then unplaced) shows she can vary. Race-fit after just 10 days, she owns form over today's distance and going from draw 5.
Form last 621-801
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
97SR—RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Collective Power was runner-up two starts back but has otherwise struggled among six starts without a win, finishing ninth three runs ago. Fifth last time, he returns 35 days on with form over today's distance and going from draw 8, sitting eighth of ten on our figures.
Form last 6563925
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Final Melody has been remarkably consistent, second in four of her last five starts and winning the other, but she hasn't run for 212 days, a lengthy absence that leaves her form stale. She has form over today's distance and going from draw 4.
Form last 622212-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
87SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 87 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fox In Flight was runner-up two starts back but that form has since unravelled with a ninth last time out, leaving him without a win in five starts. He returns 15 days on with form over today's distance and going from draw 2.
Form last 63-8029
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR—RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ipanema Queen owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/4Robson De AguiarDavid Egan
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
The Highway Rat
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · A Oliver✓ Value Signal
Fox In Flight
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
20/1 · David Marnane◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Rosie Frith (SR 97, 13/2) matches Ipanema Queen at the top of the SR rankings but carries 9-2 — the same weight — yet brings confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+) and confirmed going fitness (GoingFit:+) that her stablemate rival cannot match (GoingFit:? for Ipanema Queen). Her form string 21-801 shows a recent win on the rightmost figure, and trainer Patrick Magee (11%, 111 runners) with Dylan Browne McMonagle (15%, 882 runners) is a sharp combination. The 9% market drift is a mild concern, but it is outweighed by the double fitness confirmation at this trip on this surface — the two signals that most directly govern a 5f AW contest — and a mark that has risen only 4lb since her last win, which is manageable.
Each-way alternative: Ipanema Queen.
Main danger: Ipanema Queen — Ipanema Queen (SR 97, 3/1) is the yard's declared #1 runner from the De Aguiar stable, carries David Egan (14% strike rate) and has shortened 8% in the market — that combination of top jockey booking and money confidence makes her the most credible threat to Rosie Frith despite the unresolved going fitness question.
ShortlistRosie Frith, Ipanema Queen, The Highway Rat