Ballintubber Boy earns our vote on profile: a strong middle sequence of two runner-up efforts and a third, albeit winless, though his last two starts dipped to sixth and fourth. He has proven form over today's trip and going and returns fresh after a 31-day break.
Form last 6322-64
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
100SR—RPR120OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Secret Trix rates the leading danger having gone close in four of his last five starts, twice runner-up including his latest, without managing to get his head in front. He has proven form over today's trip and going, though a seventh earlier in that sequence and 38 days off are considerations.
Form last 6723-32
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
114SR—RPR120OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Speed Davis is a leading danger on the back of consecutive wins two and three starts back. He has proven form over today's trip and going, though a fifth last time out and a sixth before that pair show he needs things to fall right for him.
Form last 65611-5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR—RPR115OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Spit Spot is a leading danger on the strength of a win five starts back, and she has proven form over today's trip and going. That success is the outlier though: a pulled-up effort last time out, plus a seventh, fourth and sixth in between, are the risk.
Form last 61647P-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
79SR—RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Lowlands offers a balanced case for the middle order, a winner two starts back, with three runner-up efforts elsewhere in her recent form, but she has not added a second success since. She has run over today's going before, and the 46-day gap since her last run is on the longer side.
Form last 6223-12
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
111SR—RPR109OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ebselysees is hard to fancy on these figures despite a pair of wins two and three starts back, with her form either side of that at seventh and fifth, last time out, well below that level. She has proven form over today's trip and going, from a 36-day break.
Form last 6571-15
★AI Rating★★★★☆
107SR—RPR102OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 10-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Dalileo is the outsider on these figures but arrives fresh off a win last time out, just 10 days ago — his only success in these last five starts, with a seventh and fourth among the finishes before it. He has proven form over today's trip and going.
Form last 654-731
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR—RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Secret Trix owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (63) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/4Olly MurphySean Bowen
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Lowlands
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/4 · Nicky Richards✓ Value Signal
Spit Spot
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Secret Trix (SR 114, 9/4) is the highest-rated horse in the field and arrives with the most credible connections: Olly Murphy at 20% career strike rate and Sean Bowen at 23% — the standout jockey booking in this seven-runner field. Crucially, both DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm proven ability at today's trip and going, giving it a clear edge over the rest of the field where every other runner is marked DistFit:? and GoingFit:?. Running off a mark 7lb lower than its last win (MarkMv:-7) at the same class (ClassMv:=) is the classic handicap sweet spot, and its form string 723-32 shows consistent placement at this level. The market drift of 8% is a mild concern but is outweighed by the weight of evidence across SR, connections, distance and going fit, and the dropped mark.
Each-way alternative: Ebselysees.
Main danger: Lowlands — Lowlands (SR 111, 3/1) is steaming in the market at 7% and holds course form of W1P1 at Perth — a genuine course specialist angle that could offset running off a mark 8lb higher than its last win, and Nicky Richards at 18% is a strong local handler.