Statuario is the one to beat on these figures: two wins in his last five starts, one two starts back, with proven form over today's trip and going. The yard is in good form (27% last 14 days); an eighth in between is the only blot.
Form last 61681-4
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
123SR—RPR131OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Parisencore rates a leading danger, runner-up last time out, with a win three starts back underlining his recent consistency. He has raced over today's going before and is fairly fresh at 21 days, though beaten in four of his last five he can still find one too good.
Form last 6441-52
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
114SR—RPR125OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 114 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Bleu d'Enfer is a leading danger despite being winless in his last five starts, with two runner-up efforts including his latest outing. He has proven form over today's trip and going, though a below-par ninth two runs back is the risk after a 58-day break.
Form last 64829-2
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
115SR—RPR125OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 115 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Grand Clermont is a leading danger with two wins in his last five starts, one of them three starts back, and he's already proven over today's trip and going. Quick to return after just 14 days, with a below-par sixth his only blip in that sequence.
Form last 61-6124
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
121SR—RPR124OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 121 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Walk On Quest is a fair yardstick for the middle order: a win two starts back shows he retains ability, but a below-par eighth followed last time out. He has proven form over today's trip and going, with a 35-day break that could bring him on again.
Form last 66P2-18
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
107SR—RPR123OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Wasdell Dundalk is hard to fancy on these figures, winless in his last five starts, though his latest run was a modest runner-up finish. He has proven form over today's trip and going, but the wider form line, no better than fourth before that, keeps him among the outsiders.
Form last 684-642
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
110SR—RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Inis Oirr is an outsider on these figures but shows scattered ability - a ninth four starts back, then a win three starts back, and back-to-back runner-up efforts in his last two starts. He has proven form over today's trip and going, but the overall profile rates modest for this field.
Form last 6591-22
★AI Rating★★★★☆
113SR—RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 10-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Grand Clermont owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
3/1David PipeRian Corcoran(5)
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Statuario
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/3 · Mickey Bowen✓ Value Signal
Parisencore
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
13/2 · Nicky Richards◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Grand Clermont (SR:121, 3/1) is the second-highest-rated horse in the field and carries a workable 11-8, meaningfully lighter than top-weight Statuario (12-1). The form string 1-6124 shows a recent win and two other placed efforts, and the horse is dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) — a positive signal. Critically, the market has shortened 13% since opening, indicating confidence from connections, while the higher-rated Statuario has drifted a dramatic 34% — the market is actively steering away from the apparent top-weight. Trainer David Pipe has a 10% strike rate from 213 runners and jockey Rian Corcoran posts a strong 20% from 45 rides, a tight booking that adds weight to the confidence case.
Each-way alternative: Inis Oirr.
Main danger: Inis Oirr — Inis Oirr (SR:113, 5/1) carries the lightest weight in the field at 10-6, has steamed in 29% in the market, holds course form (W0P2 at Perth), and the Russell/Scudamore yard's four-star AI probability rating suggests this is their stable's number one runner over the lesser-fancied Walk On Quest.