Border Boutique Hire Maiden · 1m2f150y
SR 112 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 128 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 125/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Dorie Miller | 125/1 | — | 125/1 open 51.00 | 125/1 open 51.00 | 125/1 open 81.00 | 125/1 open 81.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Let's Smash It | 7/4 open 3.25 | — | 13/8 open 3.00 | 13/8 open 3.00 | 13/8 open 3.00 | 13/8 open 3.00 | 7/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Matties Point | 20/1 open 17.00 | — | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Police Gazette | 7/1 open 6.50 | — | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 open 6.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Reynir | 8/11 open 1.67 | — | 8/11 open 1.67 | 8/11 open 1.67 | 8/11 open 1.62 | 8/11 open 1.62 | 8/11 Bet365 |
| 6 Perggosa | 125/1 open 81.00 | — | 125/1 open 51.00 | 125/1 open 51.00 | 125/1 open 81.00 | 125/1 open 67.00 | 125/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Let's Smash It owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-8 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 128 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Let's Smash It holds the highest SR in the field at 155 — a significant 9-point gap over Police Gazette (SR 146) and a 64-point gap over the 8/11 favourite Reynir (SR 91). At 9-8 with a market shortening of 9%, the money is backing the ability edge, and the light weight suits at this trip. Reynir is oddly priced at 8/11 with an SR of just 91 — well below the competitive threshold — and while the four-star rating may reflect a progressive profile, the raw SR simply does not justify favouritism in a field that contains a SR 155 runner. Trainer Robson De Aguiar's 14% strike rate supports confidence in the booking, and jockey Donagh O'Connor's experience (304 career rides) adds reliability. Each-way alternative: Police Gazette. Main danger: Reynir — Reynir is bet down to 8/11 favouritism — the market clearly knows something not fully captured by the SR of 91 — and a recent form line of 5-3-2 shows consistent progression that could spell an imminent win even if the ability metric appears modest.