With two wins in his last four starts, following up last time out after also scoring two starts back. Rated 17 lb clear of his official mark, 137 to 120, he's the one to beat, with a below-par effort three starts back the only blot.
Form last 6/0811/
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
105SR—RPR120OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Without a win in his last five starts, though a second four starts back shows ability, and he has form over today's distance. Rated above his official mark, 123 to 117, he's a threat on the figures, but a 446-day absence is the major concern.
Form last 662000/
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
88SR—RPR117OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Without a win in his last four starts, and the form has faded through that sequence - from second four starts back down to unseated last time out. He has form over today's distance and is rated 120, though a 198-day absence is a concern.
Form last 6/245U-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
129SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 129 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Runner-up last time out, and a winner three starts back, for one win in his last four starts, plus form over today's distance. Rated level with his official mark at 113, with a blank effort two starts back the only blot.
Form last 641/0-2
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
103SR—RPR113OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Without a win in his last five starts, though a second four starts back hints at ability, and he has form over today's distance. Rated above his official mark, 120 to 112, but a mixed recent sequence - pulled up, ninth, fourth - keeps the questions coming.
Form last 6B2P-94
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
94SR—RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Without a win in his last five starts, though improving through that sequence - third last time out after a fourth and fifth - with form over today's distance. Rated well above his official mark, 119 to 112, but the yard is out of form at 1/24 lately.
Form last 69054-3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
95SR—RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won two starts back, and third last time out, giving one win in his last five starts, and he has form over today's distance. Rated level with his official mark at 111, a seventh five starts back is the outlier in an otherwise consistent profile.
Form last 67251-3
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
111SR—RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Without a win in his last four starts, and a fall four starts back sits among modest efforts, though he has form over today's distance. Rated well clear of his official mark, 115 to 107, hinting at more promise than the bare results suggest.
Form last 6/F-769
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
71SR—RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Yet to win in his last five starts, but a serial runner-up when completing - three seconds in that sequence, including last time out - and he has form over today's distance. Racing again just 10 days later, a fall four starts back is the only real blemish.
Form last 62F2-02
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
95SR—RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to win in his last five starts, unseated three starts back, and eighth two starts back, hardly inspiring form, though third last time out with form over today's distance. Rated just above his official mark, 106 to 103.
Form last 634U8-3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR—RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to win in his last five starts and near bottom of our weights, though a second two starts back shows some ability, and he has form over today's distance. Rated just above his official mark, 103 to 100, with a seventh last time out.
Form last 6380-27
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
95SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 95 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bottom of the weights at 93 and yet to win in his last five starts, with two unplaced efforts in that sequence. He was runner-up five starts back and has form over today's distance, though only fourth last time out.
Form last 626-004
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
93SR—RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Tell Us This owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Andrew McNamaraMike O'Connor
77%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Phoenix Arizona
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/1 · John F O'Neill✓ Value Signal
Listentillitellyea
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Thomas Gibney◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Phoenix Arizona (SR:93, 6/1, Wgt:10-0) carries the minimum weight in the field, giving it a massive physical advantage — it is 1st 12lb lighter than top-weight Wolf Prince and 1st 3lb lighter than Tell Us This. The critical signal here is the market move: Mkt:in68% is an extraordinary steam, suggesting significant informed money has arrived. At just 10-0, the weight allowance on Good to Firm ground at a sharp 2m1f trip is a genuine edge that the SR alone undersells. The ★★★☆☆ AI probability rating places it joint-top in the field alongside Bridgehead and Tell Us This, confirming it is a credible contender despite the trainer's 0% strike rate — the market clearly knows something the bare trainer stats do not reflect.
Each-way alternative: Tell Us This.
Main danger: Tell Us This — Tell Us This (SR:111, 4/1, Wgt:11-3) is the highest-rated realistic contender, carries a manageable weight, and its 7251-3 form shows consistency including a recent win, though the MarkMv:+11 means it is now running 11lb higher than that win.
ShortlistPhoenix Arizona, Tell Us This, Bridgehead