Ras Kassar remains unexposed and open to improvement, with four wins in his last five starts underlining plenty of ability. An unplaced effort two starts back is the only blip in an otherwise ultra-consistent sequence. He returns after a 42-day break carrying 167 lb, with more clearly still to come.
Form last 611-101
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
123SR—RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Conquer The Breeze is an outsider on our figures despite three wins in his last five starts, including his latest outing — the pulled-up effort right at the start of that sequence is the concern behind the modest placing. He has proven form over today's trip and going, back within 21 days.
Form last 6P-1141
★AI Rating★★★★☆
118SR—RPR110OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 118 backed by market confidence at 15/8 — a genuine contender.
Hypotenus is the one to beat on these figures on the strength of admirable consistency — three thirds in his last five starts, even without a win in that time. He has proven form over today's trip and going, though a sixth earlier in the sequence and 35 days off are considerations.
Form last 6633-34
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
107SR—RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Tree Top Tyson is a leading danger, a winner four starts back, and runner-up five starts back, with a fourth three starts back too. He has proven form over today's trip and going, though his last two starts - fifth and pulled up - plus a 171-day absence are the concerns.
Form last 62145P-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
93SR—RPR107OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Garde Des Champs is a leading danger, winless in his last five starts but with back-to-back thirds in his latest two runs. Two fourths and an eighth make up the rest of that sequence. He has proven form over today's trip and going, and returns quickly within just 10 days.
Form last 648-433
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
102SR—RPR105OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Kinbara Firstdraft is a leading danger on our figures despite being winless in his last five starts — a pair of fourths and two sevenths show a fairly modest scoreline, though a fifth in between adds some substance. He has proven form over today's trip and going, back within just 10 days.
Form last 674-574
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
88SR—RPR100OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Conquer The Breeze owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/4Adam NicolRyan Mania
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Ras Kassar
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/2 · J Boisnard✓ Value Signal
Kinbara Firstdraft
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
16/1 · Leonard Kerr◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Ras Kassar (SR 123, 5/2) carries the joint-heaviest burden at 11-13 but is the clear class leader by SR in a modest Class 4 field where the next-best is SR 118. The market move tells the real story — steaming in 46% from opening price is a dramatic signal of informed confidence that demands respect. Recent form of 11-101 shows two wins in the last four completed runs, and at just five years old this horse has obvious upside. The weight is manageable on good ground over 2m in a small six-runner field.
Each-way alternative: Hypotenus.
Main danger: Conquer The Breeze — Conquer The Breeze (SR 118, 15/8) holds the DistFit:+ edge over 2m and drops a class, but the 31% drift from morning price is a significant red flag — the market is actively opposing this horse despite its current favouritism, and running off a mark 8lb above its last win (MarkMv:+8) compounds the concern.
ShortlistRas Kassar, Conquer The Breeze, Hypotenus