Won two and three starts back, then faded to fifth last time out, with two wins in her last four starts marking solid recent form over today's distance. Rated 117, second in the field, she is a leading threat back after 290 days off.
Form last 62/115-
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
138SR—RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 138 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Yet to win in her last five starts, though runner-up two starts back and has raced over today's distance before. Top-rated in the field at 117, she remains a leading contender on figures, but unseating last time out, 12 days ago, is the obvious blot.
Form last 65-772U
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
78SR—RPR116OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Won last time out - her only success in the last five starts - and she has already run over today's distance. Rated 115, above her official mark of 113, she's a solid case on that improving profile, with a 44-day layoff since the sole concern.
Form last 6687-31
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
105SR—RPR113OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Won three starts back, then runner-up two starts back, before fading to ninth last time out - one win in her last four starts. She has form over today's distance, but rated below her official mark of 111 at 106, suggesting more to find.
Form last 63129-
★AI Rating★★★★☆
117SR—RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 117 backed by market confidence at 15/8 — a genuine contender.
Rated above her official mark, 111 to 108, and freshly raced just 8 days ago with form over today's distance. But recent starts are mixed - fifth last time out and unseated two back - for only one win in her last five starts.
Form last 6105-U5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
96SR—RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Without a win in her last four starts, but competitive on her best form: third two starts back, then fourth three starts back, and she has form over today's distance. Rated a shade above her official mark, 105 to 103, a 61-day absence since is the query.
Form last 67/43-7
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
73SR—RPR103OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Yet to win in her last five starts, with a pulled-up and a ran-out among the finishes, and the yard is out of form at 1/27 this fortnight. She was runner-up three and four starts back, though, and does have form over today's distance.
Form last 6O22P0/
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR—RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Without a win in her last five starts, and she fell five starts back, but two thirds in the middle of that sequence show ability, and she has form over today's distance. We rate her well clear of her official mark, at 106 to 95.
Form last 6F7-336
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR—RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bottom of our weights at 98, and yet to win in her last five starts, following an unplaced effort last time out. She was runner-up three and four starts back, though, and does have form over today's distance.
Form last 6P22-50
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
88SR—RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to win in her last four starts, but the form is on the up - two eighths preceded a fourth last time out - and she has form over today's distance. Rated above her official mark, 100 to 91, there's a sliver of encouragement here.
Form last 60/88-4
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
94SR—RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Kenisa Sport owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (77) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/2Gordon ElliottJoshua Halford(7)
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Our Lucky Lady
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
15/8 · P G Fahey✓ Value Signal
Beauforts Storm
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Timothy Doyle◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Our Lucky Lady (SR:117, 15/8) is the class standout in this field by a considerable margin — 21 points clear of the next-best Kenisa Sport (SR:138 is the outlier but carries 11-12 and has been absent 290 days). At 11-5, she carries a manageable weight and has attracted sharp market support, steaming in 30% from her opening price, the strongest move in the race. Her form reading 3129- shows a win and consistent placing form, and at just 5 years old on a 7lb claimer (Cian Cullinan) she has scope. The MarkMv:+57 is a concern as she runs off a mark 57lb higher than her last win, suggesting the handicapper has caught up, but the SR dominance and market confidence are compelling signals that connections believe this mark is still beatable.
Each-way alternative: Steps In The Sand.
Main danger: Steps In The Sand — Steps In The Sand (SR:94, 7/1) carries a featherweight of 10-0, has a confirmed DistFit:+ at today's trip — the only runner with that signal — has steamed in 21% in the market, and has a decent jockey booking in Josh Williamson (11% strike rate, 5lb claim), making her a legitimate each-way threat if Our Lucky Lady's high new mark proves problematic.
ShortlistOur Lucky Lady, Steps In The Sand, Kenisa Sport
Each-way: Steps In The SandDanger: Steps In The Sand