Perth 17:01 RESULTED
Class 5 12 Jul 2026

Last Sunday Scone Palace International Horse Trials Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Scone Palace International Horse Trials Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle · 2m47y

Official Result

Scone Palace International Horse Trials Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Follow Charlie (IRE) Murray Dodd · R Mike Smith
    14/1
  2. 15/2
  3. 4/1
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Big race Sat 18 Jul Weatherbys Super Sprint Stakes (GBB Race) Newbury · 15:37

Sligo

13:10–17:10 · 8 races

Stratford

13:50–17:20 · 7 races

Dundalk (AW)

14:00–17:30 · 7 races

Perth

14:06–17:01 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 days, 7 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Centurion's Sister silks
Centurion's Sister
Age 6 · 12-0
323-22
100
91
100OR
6
12-0
4/1 9/4 7/2
Ultra-consistent without a win — second last time, and placed in all of her last five starts (three seconds and two thirds). A 16-day break keeps her fresh, and she has form over today's distance and going — the pick on profile at 101 with us.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Scots Poet silks
Scots Poet
Age 10 · 11-13
31-211
99
104
99OR
10
11-13
3/1 4/1 9/4
A revitalised sort — won his last two starts and three of his last five (1-1-2-1-3). It's 35 days since that latest success, and we rate him just 95, below his official mark of 99, despite proven form over today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Follow Charlie silks
Follow Charlie
Age 7 · 11-12
2494-4
98
78
98OR
7
11-12
16/1 16/1 12/1
Yet to win in his last five starts, including a below-form ninth, but he tops our figures at 103, well clear of his 98 official mark. Fitness the query after 59 days off, though he holds form over today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

4
Jolyjump silks
Jolyjump
Age 6 · 11-11
22/48-
97
61
97OR
6
11-11
50/1 20/1 50/1
Big absentee back after 378 days off, but there's solid recent form — two runner-ups before a below-par eighth last time. Yet to win in his last four, rated 98 with us, in line with his 97 official mark, and form over today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

5
Tigress Lilly silks
Tigress Lilly
Age 5 · 11-6
700-66
92
60
92OR
5
11-6
40/1 28/1 33/1
Hard to fancy — well held in each of her last five starts, including two unplaced efforts, and yet to win in that run. Fresh 10 days after her latest outing and with form over today's distance and going, but rated below her 92 official mark.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

6
Storm The Dug silks
Storm The Dug
Age 4 · 11-2
9442-5
92
85
92OR
4
11-2
11/2 13/2 5/1
A workmanlike sort, yet to win in his last five, though he ran a good second two starts back, alongside a below-form ninth earlier in the sequence. Rated above his 92 official mark with form over today's distance and going, but a fifth last time keeps questions open.
AI verdict

SR 85 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Malangen silks
Malangen
Age 11 · 10-8
232U28
80
74
80OR
11
10-8
14/1 10/1 11/1
Yet to win in his last six starts, which include an unseated-rider effort and a well-beaten eighth last time, leaving him bottom of our figures. There's some encouragement though — three runner-up efforts in that run, fresh 10 days ago, with form over today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Lucky In Taipan silks
Lucky In Taipan
Age 4 · 10-2
/7P60-
74
75
74OR
4
10-2
15/8 5/4 32/17
Big field of intrigue for this one — unraced for 300 days and yet to win in his last four, including a pulled-up effort. Yet we rate him a stunning 101, way above his 74 official mark, and he does hold form over today's distance and going.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Centurion's Sister 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 4/1 open 3.25 7/2 open 3.25 4/1 Bet365
2 Scots Poet 3/1 open 6.50 5/2 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.00 5/2 open 5.00 3/1 Bet365
3 Follow Charlie 16/1 12/1 open 23.00 12/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 16/1 Bet365
4 Jolyjump 50/1 open 21.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 William Hill
5 Tigress Lilly 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 33/1 open 41.00 40/1 Bet365
6 Storm The Dug 11/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 11/2 Bet365
7 Malangen 14/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
8 Lucky In Taipan 15/8 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.25 2/1 open 2.25 2/1 open 2.25 2/1 open 2.25 2/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Scots Poet

Speculative

Scots Poet owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (58) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Ewan Whillans Charlie Maggs
74% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Centurion's Sister

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Nicky Richards
✓ Value Signal

Jolyjump

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

50/1 · Gary & Josh Moore
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +22.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Scots Poet
58.8 3/1
2 1. Centurion's Sister
54.3 4/1
3 6. Storm The Dug
53.7 11/2
4 8. Lucky In Taipan
53.3 15/8
5 3. Follow Charlie
48.0 16/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Scots Poet
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 4 · 10-2
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 10 · 11-13
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 12-0
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 11-2
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 11 · 10-8
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 7 · 11-12
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Scots Poet
Confidence: Medium

Scots Poet (SR:104, 11/4) is the clear class leader in this modest Class 5 field — his SR sits 13 points clear of second-best Centurion's Sister and 19 clear of third-best Storm The Dug. Crucially, he brings Course:W2P3 at Perth, a decisive advantage on a track that rewards specialists, and his form string 31-211 shows he ended last season in a winning streak. The 34% market move in (steaming from a higher price to 11/4 favourite) confirms stable confidence, and dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) means he faces easier opposition despite the +5 mark rise — his SR suggests he absorbs that penalty comfortably. Trainer Ewan Whillans (11%) and jockey Charlie Maggs (10%) are modest operators but the horse's own profile outweighs the connections concern here. Each-way alternative: Centurion's Sister. Main danger: Centurion's Sister — Centurion's Sister (SR:91, 7/2) carries top-weight 12-0 but has the second-best SR in the field and a solid 323-22 form string showing consistent placing, with trainer Nicky Richards (18%) representing a strong yard even if the 42% drift is a concern that needs explaining.

Shortlist Scots Poet, Centurion's Sister, Storm The Dug
Each-way: Centurion's Sister Danger: Centurion's Sister

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m47y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Perth Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade