Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Jenny Spider owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (82) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/1G. M. LyonsColin Keane
73%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Palace Fever
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
10/1 · W. McCreery✓ Value Signal
Wynette
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Noel Meade◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Vishaya (SR:83, 10/3) is co-favourite alongside Nautic Star and brings the strongest convergence of signals in this field. DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirm she handles this trip and good ground, while her form string 33825 shows she has been competitive in runs, with a recent 5th after 88 days off suggesting she returns fresh. Trainer Joseph O'Brien (16% strike rate, 3,261 runners) and jockey Dylan Browne McMonagle (16%, 1,746 runners) is the most formidable connections pairing in the race — both operating at the top of their game — and the market has held firm with no drift. Although her SR of 83 is modest, this is a fillies maiden where the higher SR horses (Jenny Spider SR:148, Palace Fever SR:145) are unraced and the SR leader Jenny Spider has actually drifted 9% from opening, suggesting connections are not confident. The O'Brien/DBM combination in an Irish maiden is precisely the type of situation where market holding firm at 10/3 is meaningful.
Each-way alternative: Nautic Star.
Main danger: Nautic Star — Nautic Star (SR:85, 10/3) shares the co-favourite price, carries DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ identical to Vishaya, has a longer form record of 233234 showing consistent placed efforts, and trainer Jessica Harrington (10%) with Shane Foley (11%) is a solid combination — the only concern is the 14% drift from opening suggesting some doubt, but the proven course fitness makes her the biggest threat.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Vishaya's form string 33825 includes a conspicuous '8' — a near-last finish — sandwiched between her placings, suggesting she is inconsistent and capable of a poor run without warning.
88 days off is a significant absence; her most recent run was a 5th, and returning from such a break in a competitive fillies maiden with no market confidence signal (just holding, not shortening) is…
Co-favourite Nautic Star (Form:233234) has a more consistent recent form string over just 30 days off and is trained by Jessica Harrington, who has a comparable strike rate and whose runner has NOT d…
Vishaya's SR of 83 is the joint-lowest among the experienced runners, meaning her exposed form suggests she may simply not be good enough at this level against rivals with higher ceilings.