Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Miss Mona Keeba owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
5/6A. SlatteryAndrew Slattery
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Villaray
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · G. M. Lyons✓ Value Signal
Always Changing
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
50/1 · Ross O'Sullivan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Miss Mona Keeba (SR 158, 5/4) carries the highest Saturday Rating in the field by a clear margin — 6 points ahead of Villaray (SR 152) and 11 points ahead of Tequila Belle (SR 147) — and is the A. Slattery yard's designated number one, ridden by the trainer's son Andrew Slattery rather than the lower-profile bookings on stablemates. Her form figure of '2' from debut shows she ran to a high level at first asking, and critically the market has firmed 6% (Mkt:in6%) while all three stablemates and the second-favourite Villaray have drifted. As Slattery's clear first string, this is the yard targeting the race, and the combination of top SR, market support, and a strong debut performance makes her the standout selection.
Each-way alternative: Villaray.
Main danger: Villaray — Villaray (SR 152, 3/1) is trained by G. M. Lyons (16% strike rate, the strongest in the field) and ridden by Colin Keane (16% strike rate), the standout connections pairing, and while the 21% drift is a concern it may simply reflect market money piling onto Miss Mona Keeba rather than any known problem with the horse.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Miss Mona Keeba's sole form figure is a '2' — a debut second — meaning she has never actually won a race, and her SR of 158 is entirely projected/modelled rather than proven by a victory.
Villaray (SR 152, 3/1) is trained by G. M. Lyons whose stable strike rate of 16% is the highest in the field, paired with Colin Keane (16% SR) — the most powerful trainer-jockey combination here, and…
Andrew Slattery's jockey strike rate of 9% (978 rides) is the weakest of any of the leading fancies' riders; Villaray's Colin Keane at 16% is materially superior in a race where the margin for error…
At 5/4, Miss Mona Keeba offers minimal margin for error in a 16-runner field of unraced or lightly-raced juveniles where form is highly volatile; a debut second is a thin foundation to justify odds-o…
ShortlistMiss Mona Keeba, Villaray, Tequila Belle, Direct Action