Newmarket 16:45 RESULTED
Class 3 21 Oct 2026

Yesterday British Stallion Studs EBF Future Stayers Novice Stakes (Sire And Dam-Restricted Race) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

British Stallion Studs EBF Future Stayers Novice Stakes (Sire And Dam-Restricted Race) (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m

Official Result

British Stallion Studs EBF Future Stayers Novice Stakes (Sire And Dam-Restricted Race) (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Muqarrabin (GB) William Buick · Charlie Appleby
    5/6F
  2. 100/30
  3. Third Mawrid (GB)
    12/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 hours, 49 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Muqarrabin silks
Muqarrabin FAV
Age 2 · 9-10
1
—
158
—
2
9-10
★★★★☆
—
8/13 FCST 4/7
Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Al Lahbab silks
Al Lahbab
Age 2 · 9-4
—
—
155
—
2
9-4
★★★★☆
—
10/3 5/1 3/1
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Manolin silks
Manolin
Age 2 · 9-4
—
—
142
—
2
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 8/1 10/1
SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Mawrid silks
Mawrid
Age 2 · 9-4
—
—
147
—
2
9-4
★★★★☆
—
13/2 10/3 6/1
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Vega's Mirage silks
Vega's Mirage
Age 2 · 9-4
—
—
125
—
2
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
40/1 33/1 40/1
SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 125 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Muqarrabin 8/13 open 1.73 4/7 8/13 8/13 8/13 8/13 8/13 Bet365
2 Al Lahbab 10/3 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 open 6.00 10/3 Bet365
3 Manolin 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365
4 Mawrid 13/2 open 4.33 6/1 open 4.33 13/2 open 4.33 13/2 open 4.33 13/2 open 4.33 13/2 open 4.33 13/2 Bet365
5 Vega's Mirage 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Muqarrabin

High conviction

Muqarrabin owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

8/13 Charlie Appleby William Buick
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Al Lahbab

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Charlie Appleby
✓ Value Signal

Vega's Mirage

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Stuart Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
32 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Muqarrabin
75.2 8/13
2 2. Al Lahbab
71.7 10/3
3 4. Mawrid
65.0 13/2
4 3. Manolin
63.8 10/1
5 5. Vega's Mirage
53.4 40/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Muqarrabin
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-10
8/13
★★★★☆ SR 158 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-4
10/3
★★★★☆ SR 155 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 2 · 9-4
13/2
★★★★☆ SR 147 🐾 —

Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 2 · 9-4
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 142 🐾 —

SR 142 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Muqarrabin
Confidence: Medium

Muqarrabin (SR 158, 4/6) is the standout on every material dimension. At SR 158 he sits 3 points clear of stablemate Al Lahbab and 11 clear of the next-best Mawrid, carrying 9-10 — a 6lb pull on all four rivals. He is the only runner with a racecourse run on his CV (Form:1, 21 days ago) and comes back at the same class (ClassMv:=), meaning Charlie Appleby and William Buick know exactly where he is. Appleby's 33% yard strike rate and Buick's 25% booking are the strongest connections combo in the field, and the market has held firm around 4/6 — no drift to explain away. Al Lahbab is the yard's second string with Ryan Moore but is a debutant and despite a 34% market steam, Appleby's clear number-one signal — tighter price, Buick — sits on Muqarrabin. Each-way alternative: Al Lahbab. Main danger: Al Lahbab — Al Lahbab (SR 155, 10/3) has steamed in 34% in the market, carries 6lb less than Muqarrabin, and Ryan Moore's 24% strike rate for Appleby suggests connections are genuinely sweet on this debutant — if the stablemate is unruly or poorly positioned, Al Lahbab could exploit the weight advantage at a mile.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Al Lahbab has steamed 34% in the market despite being a debutant — Appleby's yard clearly holds this runner in very high regard, and stable confidence in the unknown quantity is a direct threat to Mu…
  • Muqarrabin's sole career run was a maiden win 21 days ago; his SR of 158 is based on a single data point, making the rating potentially fragile against unexposed rivals with unknown ceilings.
  • Ryan Moore's booking on Al Lahbab is significant — Moore rode 1,078 winners at 24% and would not typically accept the Appleby second string without strong reason; his presence on the stablemate under…
  • Carrying 9-10 (6lb more than all rivals) on Newmarket's straight October track, where conditions can favour horses travelling light, is a concrete physical disadvantage against four unexposed rivals…
Shortlist Muqarrabin, Al Lahbab, Mawrid
Each-way: Al Lahbab Danger: Al Lahbab

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Newmarket Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade