Christmas Parties At Navan Racecourse 5th & 13th December Handicap · 0m5f180y
SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 61 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 32 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 51 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 28 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 27 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 16 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 25 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
SR 44 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Coincidental Glory | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 6.50 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 | 9/2 Coral |
| 2 Eschweiler | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 open 41.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Carrigans Grove | 7/1 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 4 El Fontenaro | 7/1 open 6.00 | 9/1 open 7.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 17/2 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Friendly Invoice | 50/1 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 50/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 6 One Cool Bear | 11/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Rodeeve | 17/2 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Alnofoor | 13/2 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 6/1 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 8.50 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Raven's Call | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Ukiyo | 14/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Plushy | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Whatswrongnow | 16/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 13 Another Nice'day | 11/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 14 Gold Inn | 25/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 19.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 15 Aboveheronlysky | 22/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 16 Gonirianbotharleat | 33/1 open 15.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 50/1 | 66/1 Paddy Power |
| 17 Micasso | 11/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 18 Amazing Force | 80/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 | 80/1 Bet365 |
| 19 Emily's Boy | 25/1 open 51.00 | 25/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 open 51.00 | 28/1 open 51.00 | 25/1 open 51.00 | 20/1 | 28/1 Coral |
| 20 Sand Art | 17/2 open 10.00 | 8/1 | 7/1 open 9.50 | 7/1 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.50 | 15/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 21 Step Back In Time | 18/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Coincidental Glory owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (36) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 57 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 61 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 55 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 44 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 51 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 34 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 37 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Coincidental Glory (SR:65, 4/1) is the clear SR leader in a weak 21-runner handicap where the next best is Carrigans Grove at SR:61. The market has steamed in 17% — the strongest move in the field — and the 12lb mark drop (MarkMv:-12) means connections are targeting this race seriously. The visor headgear is a positive intervention on a horse showing 4030 recent form, and Adrian McGuinness has clearly designated this as the yard's #1 (Reese Holohan's booking versus the apprentice on One Cool Bear). The one concern is DistFit:- at 5f180y, but GoingFit:~ on good ground is manageable and the SR advantage plus market confidence outweighs that. Each-way alternative: Carrigans Grove. Main danger: Carrigans Grove — Carrigans Grove (SR:61, 9/2) is backed in 15%, carries only 10-1, has a -9 mark drop, and the cheekpieces are a first-time positive intervention — it is the most credible threat to the selection in terms of SR proximity and market confidence.