Caragio won last time out and has two wins in his last six starts, including a third two and three starts back, and he's fresh from a 14-day break having run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 80 backs him as a leading threat, though 135 lb from draw 8 is a hefty burden to carry after a win.
Form last 6156331
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR80RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Modern Times won two starts back and three starts back before a seventh last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 79 ranks him third of 12. The main risk is a 48-day absence, with 135 lb to carry from stall nine.
Form last 6563117
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR79RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Serenity Dream arrives in cracking form, third last time out, a second two starts back, and a winner three starts back, having also won four starts back. He has run over today's trip and going, though a 28-day break is a small question.
Form last 6621123
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR79RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Initial Blue won two and three starts back but was only sixth last time out, and he's ranked ninth of 12 on our figures, so he's hard to fancy under 134 lb. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip and going before, and a 26-day break shouldn't leave him short of fitness.
Form last 6723116
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
78SR73RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Buccabay has finished third twice in his last six, a fourth-time-back third among them, and returns just 16 days after a ninth, having run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 81 tops the field, but he is yet to win in that spell and has faded to ninth last time.
Form last 6373579
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
74SR81RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Marlborough Place has slipped since a win five starts back, with a fifth three starts back, then a ninth, then unplaced last time out, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns after 40 days off. Our rating of 79 ranks him fourth of 12, but carrying 134 lb from stall one he needs to arrest the decline.
Form last 61-4590
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
50SR79RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 50 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Consistent without winning, Hundred Caps has finished fifth in his last two and a third three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. A fresh 18 days since his last run helps, but he is yet to win in recent starts and the yard's 1/20 fortnight is a concern.
Form last 6574355
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
77SR78RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Fourth last time out and back quickly after 14 days, Liosa has been consistent without winning since a victory five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 132 lb from stall six, he's ranked eighth of twelve by our rating, which marks him as a midfield sort.
Form last 6613504
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR73RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fresh from a win last time out and a third two starts back, Royal Accord has the recent form to respect, and he has run over today's trip. But our figures rank him 11th of 12, and carrying 131 lb from draw 10 off an official 71 makes him hard to fancy.
Form last 6-09731
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
70SR69RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Receipt has run over today's trip and going before, and a winner four starts back shows he has ability, but he's been well beaten in an eighth last time out and a ninth two starts back. Our rating of 76 sits above his official 70, though 130 lb from stall 12 leaves plenty to do.
Form last 6831098
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR76RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Elvetham was sixth last time out, though he won two starts back and again four starts back, so the form isn't poor, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 128 lb off an official 68, he is ranked last of twelve on our figures, which makes him hard to fancy.
Form last 6361016
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR64RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Independent Expert is winless in her last six, with back-to-back sixths most recently and a fourth three starts back her best finish, so she is hard to fancy after 43 days off. She has run over today's trip and our rating of 73 sits above her official 66, but that only ranks her tenth of 12.
Form last 6689466
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR73RPR66OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Hundred Caps owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
9/2Julie CamachoDylan Hogan
64%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Serenity Dream
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
11/2 · Tony Carroll✓ Value Signal
Marlborough Place
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Adrian Wintle◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Liosa (SR:75, 13/2) is the standout market mover in this field — a 34% inward move is the strongest signal in the race and points to stable confidence from a small yard (Zoe Hawkins, 7% strike rate) that rarely fires without reason. She carries just 9-6, has proven course form (W2P4 at Kempton), and her last run showing a '4' from '613504' followed a win and place on this track. Caragio (SR:82) is the highest-rated horse but has drifted 12% and runs off a mark 6lb higher than at last win with GoingFit:? — the market is actively moving away from the form pick. Liosa's weight (9-6) gives her a 3lb pull on Caragio and equal weight with Hundred Caps, and the sharp market move overrides the modest SR in this competitive Class 5 sprint.
Each-way alternative: Hundred Caps.
Main danger: Caragio — Caragio (SR:82) is the top-rated horse in the field with W2P2 course form and a recent run 14 days ago suggesting fitness, and despite the 12% drift, his raw ability edge could prove decisive over 6f on the all-weather.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Liosa's mark has risen +9 since last win — she's now racing off a career-high or near-career-high handicap mark, and her form string '613504' shows a '0' (pulled up/non-finisher) two runs ago, sugges…
Trainer Zoe Hawkins has a 7% strike rate from just 45 runners — a very small sample from a minor yard, meaning the market move could be unsupported by meaningful stable intelligence and may reflect t…
Serenity Dream (SR:84, 5/1) has the highest SR in the field, proven course form (W2P6 at Kempton), and is only 3lb heavier — she represents stronger form credentials and is shorter in the market desp…
No headgear flag listed for Liosa despite a '0' in recent form — several rivals (Caragio, Initial Blue, Hundred Caps) carry gear changes or retained headgear that may sharpen their performance, leavi…