Kempton (AW) 19:30 RESULTED
Class 5 21 Oct 2026

Yesterday Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)

Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier) · 0m6f0y

Official Result

Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap Stakes (London Sprint Series Qualifier)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Caragio (IRE) Shay Farmer · Adam Kirby
    4/1
  2. 25/1
  3. Third Liosa (IRE)
    12/1
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 hours, 49 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Caragio silks
Caragio
Age 6 · 9-9
156331
75
82
80
6
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
4/1 7/2 18/5
Caragio won last time out and has two wins in his last six starts, including a third two and three starts back, and he's fresh from a 14-day break having run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 80 backs him as a leading threat, though 135 lb from draw 8 is a hefty burden to carry after a win.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Modern Times silks
Modern Times
Age 5 · 9-9
563117
75
79
79
5
9-9
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 6/1 11/2
Modern Times won two starts back and three starts back before a seventh last time out, and he has run over today's trip and going before; our rating of 79 ranks him third of 12. The main risk is a 48-day absence, with 135 lb to carry from stall nine.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Serenity Dream silks
Serenity Dream
Age 5 · 9-9
621123
75
84
79
5
9-9
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 10/3 11/2
Serenity Dream arrives in cracking form, third last time out, a second two starts back, and a winner three starts back, having also won four starts back. He has run over today's trip and going, though a 28-day break is a small question.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Initial Blue silks
Initial Blue
Age 4 · 9-8
723116
74
78
73
4
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
6/1 5/1 6/1
Initial Blue won two and three starts back but was only sixth last time out, and he's ranked ninth of 12 on our figures, so he's hard to fancy under 134 lb. On the plus side, he has run over today's trip and going before, and a 26-day break shouldn't leave him short of fitness.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Buccabay silks
Buccabay
Age 6 · 9-8
373579
74
74
81
6
9-8
★★★☆☆
—
11/2 6/1 5/1
Buccabay has finished third twice in his last six, a fourth-time-back third among them, and returns just 16 days after a ninth, having run over today's trip and going before. Our rating of 81 tops the field, but he is yet to win in that spell and has faded to ninth last time.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Marlborough Place silks
Marlborough Place
Age 4 · 9-8
1-4590
74
50
79
4
9-8
★★☆☆☆
—
40/1 40/1 28/1
Marlborough Place has slipped since a win five starts back, with a fifth three starts back, then a ninth, then unplaced last time out, though he has run over today's trip and going and returns after 40 days off. Our rating of 79 ranks him fourth of 12, but carrying 134 lb from stall one he needs to arrest the decline.
AI verdict

SR 50 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Hundred Caps silks
Hundred Caps FAV
Age 4 · 9-6
574355
72
77
78
4
9-6
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 11/2 4/1
Consistent without winning, Hundred Caps has finished fifth in his last two and a third three starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. A fresh 18 days since his last run helps, but he is yet to win in recent starts and the yard's 1/20 fortnight is a concern.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Liosa silks
Liosa
Age 6 · 9-6
613504
72
75
73
6
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
8/1 7/1 13/2
Fourth last time out and back quickly after 14 days, Liosa has been consistent without winning since a victory five starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 132 lb from stall six, he's ranked eighth of twelve by our rating, which marks him as a midfield sort.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Royal Accord silks
Royal Accord
Age 4 · 9-5
-09731
71
70
69
4
9-5
★★★☆☆
—
10/1 6/1 8/1
Fresh from a win last time out and a third two starts back, Royal Accord has the recent form to respect, and he has run over today's trip. But our figures rank him 11th of 12, and carrying 131 lb from draw 10 off an official 71 makes him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Receipt silks
Receipt
Age 4 · 9-4
831098
70
51
76
4
9-4
★☆☆☆☆
—
66/1 33/1 50/1
Receipt has run over today's trip and going before, and a winner four starts back shows he has ability, but he's been well beaten in an eighth last time out and a ninth two starts back. Our rating of 76 sits above his official 70, though 130 lb from stall 12 leaves plenty to do.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

11
Elvetham silks
Elvetham
Age 4 · 9-2
361016
68
60
64
4
9-2
★★☆☆☆
—
20/1 11/1 16/1
Elvetham was sixth last time out, though he won two starts back and again four starts back, so the form isn't poor, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 128 lb off an official 68, he is ranked last of twelve on our figures, which makes him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Independent Expert silks
Independent Expert
Age 7 · 9-0
689466
66
48
73
7
9-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
50/1 40/1 45/1
Independent Expert is winless in her last six, with back-to-back sixths most recently and a fourth three starts back her best finish, so she is hard to fancy after 43 days off. She has run over today's trip and our rating of 73 sits above her official 66, but that only ranks her tenth of 12.
AI verdict

SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Caragio 4/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 5.50 18/5 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 5.00 4/1 9/2 Ladbrokes
2 Modern Times 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 William Hill
3 Serenity Dream 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 4.33 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 5.00 11/2 open 4.50 6/1 Coral
4 Initial Blue 6/1 6/1 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 Coral
5 Buccabay 11/2 open 7.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 8.00 11/2 open 7.50 11/2 open 7.00 11/2 Bet365
6 Marlborough Place 40/1 35/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 28/1 open 41.00 40/1 40/1 40/1 Bet365
7 Hundred Caps 9/2 open 7.00 4/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 Bet365
8 Liosa 8/1 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 13.00 8/1 open 8.00 15/2 open 13.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 Betfred
9 Royal Accord 10/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 Ladbrokes
10 Receipt 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 80/1 Coral
11 Elvetham 20/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 Coral
12 Independent Expert 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 45/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 Ladbrokes

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hundred Caps

Speculative

Hundred Caps owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (43) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Julie Camacho Dylan Hogan
64% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Serenity Dream

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

11/2 · Tony Carroll
✓ Value Signal

Marlborough Place

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

40/1 · Adrian Wintle
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Hundred Caps
53.3 9/2
2 3. Serenity Dream
53.2 11/2
3 5. Buccabay
52.7 11/2
4 1. Caragio
52.1 4/1
5 2. Modern Times
52.0 7/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Liosa
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 6 · 9-9
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-6
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾 —

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 9-9
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾 —

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 9-8
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-8
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾 —

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 9-9
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾 —

SR 79 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 9-6
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 4 · 9-5
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Age 4 · 9-2
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾 —

SR 60 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Liosa
Confidence: Speculative

Liosa (SR:75, 13/2) is the standout market mover in this field — a 34% inward move is the strongest signal in the race and points to stable confidence from a small yard (Zoe Hawkins, 7% strike rate) that rarely fires without reason. She carries just 9-6, has proven course form (W2P4 at Kempton), and her last run showing a '4' from '613504' followed a win and place on this track. Caragio (SR:82) is the highest-rated horse but has drifted 12% and runs off a mark 6lb higher than at last win with GoingFit:? — the market is actively moving away from the form pick. Liosa's weight (9-6) gives her a 3lb pull on Caragio and equal weight with Hundred Caps, and the sharp market move overrides the modest SR in this competitive Class 5 sprint. Each-way alternative: Hundred Caps. Main danger: Caragio — Caragio (SR:82) is the top-rated horse in the field with W2P2 course form and a recent run 14 days ago suggesting fitness, and despite the 12% drift, his raw ability edge could prove decisive over 6f on the all-weather.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Liosa's mark has risen +9 since last win — she's now racing off a career-high or near-career-high handicap mark, and her form string '613504' shows a '0' (pulled up/non-finisher) two runs ago, sugges…
  • Trainer Zoe Hawkins has a 7% strike rate from just 45 runners — a very small sample from a minor yard, meaning the market move could be unsupported by meaningful stable intelligence and may reflect t…
  • Serenity Dream (SR:84, 5/1) has the highest SR in the field, proven course form (W2P6 at Kempton), and is only 3lb heavier — she represents stronger form credentials and is shorter in the market desp…
  • No headgear flag listed for Liosa despite a '0' in recent form — several rivals (Caragio, Initial Blue, Hundred Caps) carry gear changes or retained headgear that may sharpen their performance, leavi…
Shortlist Liosa, Caragio, Hundred Caps, Serenity Dream
Each-way: Hundred Caps Danger: Caragio

🗺 The Course Class 5

0m6f0y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade