Navan 15:17 RESULTED
21 Oct 2026

Yesterday Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap

Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap · 0m5f0y

Official Result

Final Fence Marquee Hospitality Package 14th & 15th November On Sale Now Handicap

Confirmed
  1. Winner Irish Rumour (IRE) Orla Tynan · Miss Jennifer Anne Lynch
    4/1
  2. 7/2J
  3. 17/2
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 hours, 50 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Gazelle d'Or silks
Gazelle d'Or
Age 4 · 10-5
224007
85
73
92
4
10-5
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 FCST 13/2
Gazelle d'Or has run over today's trip and going, was second twice five and six starts back, and returns just 11 days after a seventh last time, while our rating of 92 tops the field. She is yet to win in her last six, but she's the one to beat off 145 lb from draw 9.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
She's Too Kool silks
She's Too Kool
Age 3 · 9-12
043145
78
68
74
3
9-12
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 14/1 8/1
She's Too Kool is consistent without being a regular winner, with a victory three starts back and a fifth last time out, and she's fresh enough after nine days. Our rating of 74 puts her fifth of nine, and 138 lb off an official 78 looks a stiff ask.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Bay Of Supremacy silks
Bay Of Supremacy
Age 3 · 9-6
-31555
72
69
75
3
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
17/2 5/1 15/2
Bay Of Supremacy is back quickly after 11 days, has run over today's trip and going, and won four starts back, while our rating of 75 ranks him third of nine. The risk is a trio of fifths in his last three outings, so he needs to rediscover that winning spark from stall 2.
AI verdict

SR 69 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Gotta Catch'em All silks
Gotta Catch'em All
Age 6 · 9-6
129356
72
65
72
6
9-6
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 7/1 17/2
Sixth last time out and a fifth the run before, this gelding has drifted since a third three starts back, though he has run over today's trip and going before. A 46-day break and 132 lb from stall seven leave him a mid-pack type, ranked sixth of nine by our rating.
AI verdict

SR 65 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Bad Boy Rizz silks
Bad Boy Rizz
Age 3 · 9-4
235480
70
68
78
3
9-4
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 3/1 10/3
Bad Boy Rizz is yet to win in his last six, but a second and a third five and six starts back show he has ability, and he has run over today's trip. Our 78 rating, second-best in the field, backs him as a threat; the risk is a poor eighth two starts back and an unplaced run last time.
AI verdict

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Gerrit's Gem silks
Gerrit's Gem FAV
Age 6 · 9-4
703402
70
74
75
6
9-4
★★☆☆☆
—
7/2 10/3 3/1
Gerrit's Gem arrives sharp after a second last time out just 11 days ago, and he has run over today's trip and going before, while our rating of 75 ranks him fourth of nine. The one concern is that he is yet to win in his last six starts.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Happy Henry silks
Happy Henry FAV
Age 5 · 9-1
159334
67
66
64
5
9-1
★★☆☆☆
—
7/1 4/1 6/1
Fourth last time out and a third two and three starts back suggest Happy Henry is competitive, but he has not won since six starts back and is back quickly after six days. He has run over today's trip and going, yet our rating of 64 ranks him eighth of nine.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Irish Rumour silks
Irish Rumour
Age 6 · 9-1
503155
67
72
66
6
9-1
★★★☆☆
—
7/2 7/2 10/3
Irish Rumour has finished fifth in her last two outings and hasn't won since a victory three starts back, so she is hard to fancy as the seventh-ranked of nine on our figures. In her favour, she has run over today's trip and going before, and she's fresh enough after 17 days off.
AI verdict

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Ballysax Lil' Mick silks
Ballysax Lil' Mick
Age 8 · 8-7
060552
45
36
51
8
8-7
★☆☆☆☆
—
16/1 10/1 15/1
Winless in his last six, Ballysax Lil' Mick is hard to fancy, though a second last time out, 20 days ago, offers some encouragement, and he has run over today's trip and going. Rated bottom of nine on our figures, he steps up from a lowly base of 45 officially, carrying 119 lb from stall eight.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Gazelle d'Or 7/1 open 11.00 13/2 open 9.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 13/2 7/1 Bet365
2 She's Too Kool 9/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 17/2 open 17.00 9/1 Bet365
3 Bay Of Supremacy 17/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 Bet365
4 Gotta Catch'em All 9/1 open 9.00 17/2 open 8.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 17/2 open 9.00 9/1 Bet365
5 Bad Boy Rizz 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 Paddy Power
6 Gerrit's Gem 7/2 open 4.33 3/1 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
7 Happy Henry 7/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 5.00 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 7/1 Bet365
8 Irish Rumour 7/2 open 6.50 10/3 open 7.50 7/2 7/2 10/3 open 4.50 7/2 7/2 Bet365
9 Ballysax Lil' Mick 16/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 26.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 15/1 open 21.00 18/1 open 21.00 20/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Gerrit's Gem

Speculative

Gerrit's Gem owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 J G Coogan Terry Casey(7)
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Happy Henry

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · W. McCreery
✓ Value Signal

Ballysax Lil' Mick

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

16/1 · Miss Katy Brown
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
35 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Gerrit's Gem
55.6 7/2
2 7. Happy Henry
51.8 7/1
3 5. Bad Boy Rizz
51.1 7/2
4 1. Gazelle d'Or
48.9 7/1
5 2. She's Too Kool
48.8 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Gazelle d'Or
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-4
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 9-4
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾 —

SR 74 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 9-1
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾 —

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 4 · 10-5
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾 —

SR 73 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-1
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾 —

SR 66 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-6
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 69 🐾 —

SR 69 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-12
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾 —

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-6
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 65 🐾 —

SR 65 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 8 · 8-7
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 36 🐾 —

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Gazelle d'Or
Confidence: Speculative

Gazelle d'Or (SR 73, 7/1) carries the highest SR in the field and is proven at Navan (Course:W1P1), the only meaningful course form advantage on a track where familiarity matters. Going fitness is confirmed (GoingFit:+) — unique in this field where every other runner shows GoingFit:- or GoingFit:? on today's good ground — and despite carrying 10-5, the weight penalty is offset by clearly superior class evidence. The MarkMv:+2 is a modest rise, not a penalty that blocks contention, and a recent 11-day turnaround with no headgear change suggests a stable, fit horse being produced in good order. Each-way alternative: Irish Rumour. Main danger: Irish Rumour — Irish Rumour (SR 72, 4/1) holds the second-highest SR in the field, has course form (Course:W1P2), has been gently supported (Mkt:in6%), and jockey Orla Tynan's 12% career strike rate from 97 runners is notably sharp — the GoingFit:- concern is shared by most rivals and may be less of a barrier than it appears.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 224007 includes a '0' (last-6 most recent end) suggesting a non-completion or pulled-up run very recently, casting doubt on current soundness/enthusiasm.
  • Jockey Jack Cleary (5lb claimer) strikes at only 8% from 595 rides — a low-percentage pilot on a horse needing a career-best effort at 7/1.
  • Trainer M C Grassick hits at just 9% from 411 runners, well below the field's stronger yards (Murtagh 11%, Ross O'Sullivan 10%), reducing confidence in race-fit preparation.
  • Gerrit's Gem (SR:74, 7/2) holds a superior Speed Rating despite carrying 10lb less, is shortening in the market (in9%), and represents a serious class/weight threat Gazelle d'Or must physically overc…
Shortlist Gazelle d'Or, Irish Rumour, Gerrit's Gem
Each-way: Irish Rumour Danger: Irish Rumour

🗺 The Course Race conditions

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Navan Track and setting