County Champs comes here in good heart after finishing second last time out, 18 days ago, and he was also second five starts back, while he has run on today's going before. The risk is a patchy record, with a fall and a pulled up in between, and he is yet to win in recent starts under 166 lb.
Form last 622-PF2
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR92RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sailing By brings a modest recent record, with a seventh last time out and a fourth two starts back, yet he's yet to win in his last five. Our rating of 98 puts him top of this field of seven, and he's off an official 89 with 163 lb to carry, though 209 days off is a reservation.
Form last 677447-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR99RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fresh from a win last time out just eight days ago, he has run over today's trip and going, but a pulled up and a ninth before that make him hard to trust, and 153 lb is a hefty burden. Our rating of 80 ranks him fifth of seven.
Form last 6969P-1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR80RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Lakeview Lass comes in fresh enough after 18 days and has run on today's going before, while our rating of 81 ranks her fourth of seven, so she's a live threat on numbers. The main risk is a winless recent run of seventh, sixth and two ninths, plus 152 lb.
Form last 60996-7
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR81RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ritaan is hard to fancy: she is winless in her last five, beaten in a seventh last time out and a ninth before that, and she returns after 182 days off. She has run on today's going and our rating of 75 ranks her sixth of seven, though 150 lb is the only real positive.
Form last 645P97-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
48SR75RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Ghost Jury has been consistent, with a fourth last time out, a third two starts back and a second six starts back, and she's fresh enough after 18 days. She has run over today's trip and going, and our rating of 83 sits well clear of her official 74, but she's yet to win in her last six and carries 148 lb.
Form last 6252634
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR83RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Anothermanicmonday is winless in his last five, finishing seventh last time out, and that 100-day layoff raises fitness doubts. He has run over today's trip and going and the 145 lb burden is no help, though a fifth two starts back is his best recent effort, and our rating has him last of seven.
Form last 6P06-57
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
68SR68RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
I Love You Sivola owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/8Max ComleyFreddie Mitchell(3)
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Sailing By
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Joe Tizzard✓ Value Signal
Lakeview Lass
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · Jeremy Scott◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Ghost Jury (SR:83, 11/2) is the most compelling value case in this field. The 38% market move inward is the single loudest signal in the race — money has moved hard on this horse from its opening price, suggesting informed confidence. It carries a light 10-8, giving it a meaningful weight advantage over top-weight County Champs (11-12) and favourite I Love You Sivola (10-13), and its consistent form string of 252634 shows a horse that competes every time without the alarming non-completions seen elsewhere. Trainer Kayley Woollacott (14% strike rate) and jockey Ben Jones (17% strike rate, 684 career rides — the most experienced booking in the race) is a strong professional pairing. GoingFit:- is a concern, but the market support suggests connections believe good ground is not the obstacle it appears on paper.
Each-way alternative: County Champs.
Main danger: I Love You Sivola — I Love You Sivola (SR:81, 13/8) is the market favourite off a last-time-out win (Form ends in 1), runs at the same class and mark (ClassMv:=, MarkMv:=), and the light headgear addition (HG:p) combined with the short turnaround of just 8 days suggests connections are confident they have a horse in form — if Max Comley has found the right race, the favourite can justify its price.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
GoingFit:- flags Ghost Jury as unproven on today's ground — with no confirmed good-ground win on record, connections' optimism may be misplaced at Fontwell where going can be testing in October.
Form string 252634 shows a horse that consistently finishes mid-pack or worse; last three runs are 6-3-4, a trajectory trending in the wrong direction with no recent win to suggest a revival is immin…
At 11/2 Ghost Jury is joint-second in the market yet has a lower star rating (3★) than the clear favourite I Love You Sivola who just won last time out (form ending -1) only 8 days ago — the market m…
The 38% market move inward is offset by the fact that two other horses (Sailing By, Anothermanicmonday) are also drifting out significantly, suggesting the move could partly reflect money leaving riv…
ShortlistGhost Jury, I Love You Sivola, County Champs