Fbc Manby Bowdler 'chasing Excellence' Beginners' Steeple Chase (gbb Race) · 2m4f
SR 111 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 102 suggests ability but 100/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Bill Joyce | 10/1 open 10.00 | 9/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 9/1 open 12.00 | 17/2 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Catch Him Derry | 50/1 open 12.00 | 50/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Klimt Madrik | 11/8 open 2.88 | 13/8 open 2.75 | 6/5 open 2.75 | 6/5 open 2.75 | 13/8 open 2.88 | 13/8 open 3.50 | 13/8 Paddy Power |
| 4 Scorpio Rising | 2/1 open 3.75 | 7/4 open 3.50 | 7/5 open 3.50 | 7/5 open 3.50 | 15/8 open 3.50 | 7/4 open 2.38 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Talk To The Man | 10/3 open 3.00 | 11/4 open 2.38 | 85/40 open 2.63 | 85/40 open 2.63 | 11/4 open 2.62 | 11/4 open 2.50 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 6 Vicomte Le Brave | 125/1 open 101.00 | 90/1 open 101.00 | 45/1 open 101.00 | 45/1 open 101.00 | 125/1 open 101.00 | 100/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Scorpio Rising owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (82) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 11-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 111 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Scorpio Rising (SR:148, 13/8) is the highest-rated runner in the field by 2 points over Klimt Madrik, carries the same weight as all rivals at 11-5, and brings a dominant form string of 11117- — four wins before the latest run. The 25% market move in (Mkt:in25%) with Sean Bowen booked (24% strike rate, 2,434 runners) screams stable confidence. The drop in class (ClassMv:↓2) is a significant advantage in a beginners' chase, and proven distance credentials (DistFit:+) at 2m4f remove trip uncertainty. The 193-day absence is the one flag, but the market is clearly not worried, and Olly Murphy's 24% trainer strike rate supports the horse being fit to go. Each-way alternative: Klimt Madrik. Main danger: Klimt Madrik — Klimt Madrik (SR:146, 15/8) is only 2 points behind on SR, is the market's second choice at a shorter price than the drift on Talk To The Man, and trainer Toby Lawes runs a compact yard where individual runners carry more significance — a horse this well-rated from a 19% strike-rate handler cannot be dismissed.