Fontwell 16:17 RESULTED
Class 5 21 Oct 2026

Yesterday tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple Chase

tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple Chase · 3m1f210y

Official Result

tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple Chase

Confirmed
  1. Winner Uncle Al (IRE) Kevin Healy · Jessica Bedi
    10/1
  2. 13/8F
  3. 14/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 4 hours, 48 minutes ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Saint Arion silks
Saint Arion
Age 5 · 12-0
-4642P
97
57
99
5
12-0
★☆☆☆☆
—
28/1 11/1 28/1
Saint Arion ran a good second two starts back and is only nine days on from a pulled-up effort, with experience of today's going and our second-ranked 99 making him a leading threat despite being winless in his last five. The risk is that he must shoulder 168 lb after that last-time-out stop.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

2
Carrigmoorna Rowan silks
Carrigmoorna Rowan
Age 9 · 11-13
4552-2
96
94
105
9
11-13
★★★☆☆
—
10/3 5/2 3/1
Carrigmoorna Rowan arrives fresh from back-to-back seconds, a second last time out and another two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. Top-rated on our figures, he's the one to beat, though he is yet to win in his last five and carries 167 lb.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Walkinthepresent silks
Walkinthepresent
Age 6 · 11-10
83314-
93
89
88
6
11-10
★★★☆☆
—
9/2 10/3 9/2
Walkinthepresent counts as a leading threat, having won two starts back, with a fourth last time out and two thirds before that, and he has run on today's going before. The main risk is a 203-day absence, and he carries 164 lb off an official mark of 93.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Daring Plan silks
Daring Plan FAV
Age 8 · 10-13
52-U11
82
93
84
8
10-13
★★★☆☆
—
13/8 32/17 5/4
Daring Plan arrives in cracking order, a winner last time out and again two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going before. The one concern is a quick turnaround after only four days, carrying 153 lb.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Uncle Al silks
Uncle Al
Age 7 · 10-11
163U23
80
75
84
7
10-11
★★☆☆☆
—
10/1 13/2 10/1
Uncle Al arrives fit after 19 days, with a third last time out and a second two starts back, and he has run over today's trip and going. Carrying 151 lb off an official mark of 80 is a stiff ask, though, and our rating of 84 only ranks him fifth of eight.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Pooroldmackley silks
Pooroldmackley
Age 7 · 10-10
7-4423
79
82
83
7
10-10
★★☆☆☆
—
9/1 5/1 17/2
Third last time out and a second the run before, Pooroldmackley is bang in form after 23 days off, and he has run over today's trip and going. Yet he's winless in his last five, carries 150 lb and comes from a yard 0/23 lately.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Hardy Buck silks
Hardy Buck
Age 8 · 10-6
2P-623
75
70
80
8
10-6
★★☆☆☆
—
14/1 7/1 14/1
Hardy Buck is winless in his last five but arrives in decent heart, third last time out and second two starts back, having run 25 days ago. He has run over today's trip and going, yet carrying 146 lb and ranked seventh of eight on our figures, he is hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Elpologreg silks
Elpologreg
Age 7 · 10-5
32P/2-
74
58
77
7
10-5
★☆☆☆☆
—
25/1 10/1 22/1
Elpologreg has been placed in three of his last four, including a second last time out, but he is yet to win in that spell, was pulled up two starts back and returns after 532 days off. He has run over today's trip and going, yet 145 lb and a rating of 77 on our figures, ranked eighth of eight, make him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Saint Arion 28/1 open 12.00 28/1 open 12.00 28/1 open 12.00 28/1 open 12.00 28/1 open 12.00 28/1 open 21.00 28/1 Bet365
2 Carrigmoorna Rowan 10/3 3/1 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 3.75 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 Bet365
3 Walkinthepresent 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 Bet365
4 Daring Plan 13/8 open 4.33 5/4 open 4.50 6/4 open 4.33 6/4 open 4.33 6/4 open 4.33 11/8 open 2.88 13/8 Bet365
5 Uncle Al 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 8.00 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 10/1 open 9.00 10/1 Bet365
6 Pooroldmackley 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 17/2 open 7.00 9/1 Bet365
7 Hardy Buck 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 8.50 14/1 Bet365
8 Elpologreg 25/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 13.00 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Daring Plan

Live signal

Daring Plan owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (52) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Susan Gardner Ciaran O'Shea(7)
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Carrigmoorna Rowan

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Samuel Drinkwater
✓ Value Signal

Saint Arion

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
52 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Dominant
100 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +8.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Daring Plan
60.9 13/8
2 2. Carrigmoorna Rowan
58.0 10/3
3 3. Walkinthepresent
55.4 9/2
4 6. Pooroldmackley
50.8 9/1
5 5. Uncle Al
45.4 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Daring Plan
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

★ Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 8 · 10-13
13/8
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾 —

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 9 · 11-13
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾 —

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 11-10
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾 —

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 7 · 10-10
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾 —

SR 82 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 7 · 10-11
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾 —

SR 75 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 8 · 10-6
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾 —

SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Daring Plan
Confidence: Speculative

Daring Plan (SR:93, 9/4) arrives on the back of back-to-back wins (Form:52-U11), carries a workable 10-13, and the market has shortened 26% — the most significant market move in the field. The trainer's 6% strike rate is modest but the jockey Ciaran O'Shea has a strong 25% strike rate from 44 rides, suggesting a live booking. Course:W0P3 at Fontwell shows familiarity with this track, DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are not red flags at this class level, and running off the same mark as last win (MarkMv:=) means connections aren't being punished for recent success. The combination of in-form horse, significant market confidence, and course familiarity makes this the standout selection. Each-way alternative: Carrigmoorna Rowan. Main danger: Carrigmoorna Rowan — Carrigmoorna Rowan (SR:94, 3/1) is the highest SR in the field, arrives off a mark 20lb lower than at last win (MarkMv:-20) which is a significant handicapper's gift, and jockey Jonathan Burke's 15% career strike rate from 762 rides gives the booking real weight.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Trainer Susan Gardner's 6% strike rate is notably weak — even with a live jockey booking, connections have a poor record converting market confidence into wins.
  • Carrigmoorna Rowan (SR:94, 3/1) rates fractionally higher on SR, has course form (W0P1), and drops 20lbs off its mark — a more attractive handicap position than Daring Plan running off the same mark.
  • Form reads 52-U11: the two wins came after a 'U' (unseated) and a break, raising the question of whether Daring Plan has been cherry-picked into a weakened race rather than beating genuine rivals — r…
  • Days:4 since last run is an unusually quick turnaround, and with a headgear entry (p), connections may be managing a horse that needs careful placing — risk of a flat run on the back of a short recov…
Shortlist Daring Plan, Carrigmoorna Rowan, Walkinthepresent
Each-way: Carrigmoorna Rowan Danger: Carrigmoorna Rowan

🗺 The Course Class 5

3m1f210y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Fontwell Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade