Heider Family Stables Round Tower Stakes (Group 3) · 0m6f0y
Favourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 96 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Great Barrier Reef | 8/11 open 1.80 | 4/5 open 1.83 | 4/5 open 1.73 | 4/5 open 1.73 | 8/11 open 1.80 | 4/5 open 1.83 | 4/5 Paddy Power |
| 2 Push The Boat Out | 11/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 11/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 William Hill |
| 3 Ruler's Control | 28/1 open 12.00 | 33/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 open 11.00 | 33/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Where Love Lives | 20/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 12.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Beibhinn | 66/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 open 34.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 open 23.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 80/1 William Hill |
| 6 Livenka | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Velozee | 4/1 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 8.00 | 10/3 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 7/2 open 7.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Great Barrier Reef owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-10 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Great Barrier Reef (SR 120, 4/5) is the clear standout on multiple converging signals. A perfect 111 form line at the same class level (ClassMv:=) demonstrates consistent, progressive ability, and Ryan Moore's booking — a jockey striking at 27% career — is the strongest riding appointment in the field. Aidan O'Brien's 22% yard strike rate is elite at this level, and the horse's confirmed DistFit:+ at 6f means the trip holds no question marks. The only caveat is GoingFit:? (limited good-ground data), but at 2yo with a 111 record, this is not a horse showing going sensitivity — it's simply a sample-size gap. No rival comes close on SR or form consistency. Each-way alternative: Velozee. Main danger: Velozee — Velozee (SR 120, 4/1) matches Great Barrier Reef on SR, is confirmed DistFit:+ at 6f, and has steamed in 29% in the market — the strongest move in the field — suggesting Twomey's yard has him primed for a peak performance after a below-par run last time.