Curragh 13:53 RESULTED
Class 1 29 Aug 2026

Last Saturday Newtownanner Stud Irish EBF Stakes (Group 3)

Newtownanner Stud Irish EBF Stakes (Group 3) · 1m0f0y

Official Result

Newtownanner Stud Irish EBF Stakes (Group 3)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sea Of Rain (IRE) Colin Keane · J S Bolger
    18/1
  2. 14/1
  3. 17/2
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Ballyskeagh silks
Ballyskeagh
Age 2 · 9-2
51
84
92
2
9-2
16/1 13/2 16/1
Ballyskeagh won last time out but was fifth two starts back, giving her a mixed recent profile; she has run over today's trip and going before, though 44 days off and a 128 lb burden are tests of whether that winning fitness has been maintained.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Bellesque silks
Bellesque
Age 2 · 9-2
213
92
104
95
2
9-2
10/3 11/4 10/3
Placed third last time out after winning two starts back, Bellesque arrives on a fair fitness gap of 22 days with experience of today's trip and going in her favour, and carries 128 lb from stall 10.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Damsel In Distress silks
Damsel In Distress
Age 2 · 9-2
514
95
91
103
2
9-2
12/1 16/1 12/1
Damsel In Distress arrives here in fine fettle just 15 days on from a winning effort, and she has experience of today's trip and conditions; a fourth last time out is the only blemish, and at 128 lb our top-rated runner looks the one to beat.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Exceptionally silks
Exceptionally
Age 2 · 9-2
033
76
90
2
9-2
12/1 9/1 12/1
Twice third in her last three starts, Exceptionally arrives here in good order on 20 days' rest and has run over today's trip and going before, but she remains yet to win in recent starts and her rating of 90 leaves her mid-pack against this field.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Samnina silks
Samnina
Age 2 · 9-2
41
94
88
2
9-2
5/1 13/2 9/2
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and with a modest speed rating of 77, Samnina is hard to fancy despite winning last time out; she has run over today's trip and going before, and at least comes here fresh from stall two.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Sea Of Rain silks
Sea Of Rain
Age 2 · 9-2
422314
87
78
99
2
9-2
25/1 20/1 25/1
Sea Of Rain brings strong claims on the back of a win two starts back and a sequence of placed efforts in recent starts, and she has experience of both today's trip and going; the fourth last time out is the one blemish to address.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
So Lovely silks
So Lovely
Age 2 · 9-2
221
115
100
2
9-2
5/4 3/2 6/5
So Lovely arrives in cracking nick, a winner last time out and placed in each of her two starts before that, and she has experience of both today's trip and the going; the chief concern is whether 128 lb from stall seven will blunt that momentum.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

8
Speckles silks
Speckles
Age 2 · 9-2
62
83
90
2
9-2
14/1 8/1 14/1
Winless in her last two starts, with a sixth two starts back undermining confidence, Speckles faces a stiff task on these figures, though a return to a familiar trip and a run just 20 days ago at least leaves her fit and ready.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Sword Of State silks
Sword Of State
Age 2 · 9-2
718
78
64
90
2
9-2
80/1 28/1 66/1
Sword Of State won one start back but has since finished eighth, and with a speed rating of just 59 she ranks eighth of ten on our figures, making her hard to fancy despite having run over today's trip and going and returning quickly enough on an 11-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 64 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Tosca No Candis silks
Tosca No Candis
Age 2 · 9-2
5551
92
72
97
2
9-2
25/1 14/1 22/1
Tosca No Candis arrives on the back of a win last time out and gets in from stall one carrying 128 lb, with experience over today's trip and going working in her favour; the risk is that three of her four recent starts ended in fifth.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Ballyskeagh 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 7.50 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 open 8.00 16/1 Bet365
2 Bellesque 10/3 open 3.75 7/2 open 4.00 10/3 10/3 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 7/2 Paddy Power
3 Damsel In Distress 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 21.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 Bet365
4 Exceptionally 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 Bet365
5 Samnina 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 open 7.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 5/1 open 9.00 5/1 open 7.50 5/1 Bet365
6 Sea Of Rain 25/1 open 34.00 25/1 open 41.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 Bet365
7 So Lovely 5/4 open 2.63 11/8 open 2.50 5/4 open 2.75 5/4 open 2.75 11/8 open 2.63 6/5 open 2.75 11/8 Paddy Power
8 Speckles 14/1 open 11.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 open 10.00 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 Bet365
9 Sword Of State 80/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 66/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 29.00 66/1 open 41.00 80/1 Bet365
10 Tosca No Candis 25/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 15.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

So Lovely

Live signal

So Lovely owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/4 A P O'Brien Ryan Moore
75% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Bellesque

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Joseph Patrick O'Brien
✓ Value Signal

Sea Of Rain

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · J S Bolger
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
94 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.4 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. So Lovely
64.6 5/4
2 2. Bellesque
59.9 10/3
3 5. Samnina
54.6 5/1
4 3. Damsel In Distress
51.7 12/1
5 1. Ballyskeagh
48.8 16/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
So Lovely
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 2 · 9-2
5/4
★★★★☆ SR 115 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-2
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 2 · 9-2
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 2 · 9-2
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-2
16/1
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
So Lovely
Confidence: High

So Lovely (SR 115, 11/8) is the class standout in this field by a clear margin — 11 SR points above the next-best Bellesque (SR 104) and 21 above Samnina (SR 94). The form reads 2-2-1 with a recent win just 9 days ago, confirming peak freshness rather than fatigue, and she steps up one class tier with Ryan Moore retained — a booking that at 27% career strike rate is the strongest jockey signal in the field. The market has shortened 12% to 11/8, confirming stable and market confidence. DistFit confirmed (+) at a mile and AP O'Brien's 22% trainer strike rate is the best in the field; with Exceptionally drifting 59% and Speckles drifting 20%, So Lovely is clearly the yard's number-one shot. Each-way alternative: Samnina. Main danger: Bellesque — Bellesque (SR 104, 7/2) has proven distance and going credentials (DistFit:+ GoingFit:+), solid 2-1-3 form at the same class level, and Joseph O'Brien's stable-pick jockey Declan McDonogh retained — a slight drift to 7/2 is the only caution but the distance/going double-fit makes her the most credible threat to So Lovely.

Case against 4
  • So Lovely's two runner-up finishes (form 2-2-1) suggest she has been placed behind horses who beat her; the single win 9 days ago may have been a weaker opportunity rather than a true class confirmat…
  • Stepping up a class tier after only 3 career runs as a 2yo is a genuine risk — the SR 115 rating reflects what she has done, not necessarily what this stiffer group will demand.
  • Bellesque (SR 104, 22-day return) is a stablemate from the same powerful AP O'Brien/Joseph O'Brien operation and could split yard loyalties in running; Moore may have a pace-order obligation to So Lo…
  • At 11/8 on a 2yo filly stepping up in class, the margin for error is slim — Samnina (SR 94) has shortened 25% into 5/1, suggesting informed money sees a live danger that narrows So Lovely's value win…
Shortlist So Lovely, Bellesque, Samnina, Damsel In Distress
Each-way: Samnina Danger: Bellesque

🗺 The Course Class 1

1m0f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Curragh Track and setting
Class 1 Race grade