Weatherbys August Stakes (Listed Race) · 1m3f99y
SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 73 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Tenability | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Ambiente Friendly | 40/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 40/1 open 51.00 | 50/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Ghostwriter | 13/2 open 4.00 | 15/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 3.75 | 11/2 open 3.75 | 7/1 open 4.50 | 7/1 open 3.75 | 15/2 Paddy Power |
| 4 Respond | 15/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Sea Scout | 9/1 open 6.00 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 5.00 | 10/1 open 5.00 | 17/2 open 5.50 | 10/1 open 5.50 | 10/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Silawi | 9/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Warrant Holder | 5/2 open 6.50 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 4.33 | 5/2 open 6.50 | 9/4 open 5.50 | 5/2 open 6.50 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 8 White Birch | 6/1 open 9.00 | 5/1 open 9.00 | 11/2 open 9.00 | 11/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 9.00 | 13/2 William Hill |
| 9 Muddy Mooy | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 51.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Tenability owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (65) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 117 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Warrant Holder (SR 123, 3/1) is the class standout — the highest SR in the field by a meaningful margin over Tenability (SR 117) and the joint-SR runners at 113. Trained by John & Thady Gosden (25% strike rate, 776 runners — the sharpest yard represented), partnered by Billy Loughnane (19%, 1,804 runners), and with a 32% market move inward since opening, the money is firmly behind this horse. The form string 31-120 reads as a horse who showed high promise in a win-sequence, then was beaten last time stepping up in class — this Listed contest represents a structured rise (ClassMv:↑1) but the yard's 25% strike rate and the tongue-tie addition suggest they believe the horse is ready. The MarkMv:+11 is the only note of caution, but at 3/1 with Gosden confidence and the field's best SR, this is the play. Each-way alternative: Tenability. Main danger: Respond — Respond (SR 110, 15/2) has shortened 32% in the market — matching Warrant Holder's inward move — carries DistFit:+ confirming it handles this trip, and Andrew Balding's 19% yard strike rate adds credibility despite the +9lb mark rise.