Beverley 16:10 RESULTED
Class 4 29 Aug 2026

Last Saturday Churchill Tyres Handicap Stakes

Churchill Tyres Handicap Stakes · 0m7f75y

Official Result

Churchill Tyres Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Supreme Clarets (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard & Peter Fahey
    100/30
  2. 4/1
  3. Third Son (GB)
    11/4J
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Settled
  • 12 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Obelix silks
Obelix Non-Runner
Age 6 · 10-1
015504
81
81OR
6
10-1
SP
1
Glenfinnan silks
Glenfinnan
Age 6 · 10-2
194201
82
76
85
6
10-2
9/1 6/1 8/1
Glenfinnan won last time out and has experience of today's trip and going, giving him solid claims, but an unplaced effort two starts back and 142 lb from stall 10 are factors to weigh against him.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Mudamer silks
Mudamer
Age 7 · 10-0
-33063
80
57
86
7
10-0
14/1
Mudamer has placed three times in his last five starts, including third last time out, and has run over today's distance and going before, making him a genuine threat from stall two on a mark of 80; the concern is that he remains yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

4
Son silks
Son
Age 5 · 9-13
734062
79
85
87
5
9-13
9/4 5/2 9/4
Runner-up last time out on suitable distance and going, Son heads this 12-runner field as the top-rated contender on an 87 rating, and a return to form after a flat run two starts back looks on the cards; yet to win in recent starts, he nevertheless appeals as the one to beat under 139 lb from stall six.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Misunderstood silks
Misunderstood
Age 4 · 9-12
767745
78
75
85
4
9-12
9/2 13/2 4/1
Misunderstood has run over today's trip and returns on a sharp ten-day turnaround in fine fettle, his rating of 85 suggesting he merits more respect than his official mark of 78 implies; the concern is that he has been winless in his last six starts, and breaking that duck from stall one is the challenge.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
The Sweet Escape silks
The Sweet Escape
Age 4 · 9-10
461121
76
84
75
4
9-10
10/3 FCST 3/1
Ranked 11 of 12 on our figures, The Sweet Escape makes this a tough assignment despite a lively recent sequence of three wins in his last six starts; he has run over today's trip and returns on a sound 15-day break, but the weight of 136 lb from stall 13 adds to the challenge.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Swift Salian silks
Swift Salian
Age 5 · 9-10
4-2220
76
58
77
5
9-10
16/1 22/1 16/1
Swift Salian has been a model of consistency in placing, with three seconds in his last five starts, though he remains yet to win and an unplaced run last time out is a concern; has run over today's trip and going, and 18 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh enough to threaten again.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Zowal silks
Zowal
Age 4 · 9-10
0-6130
76
61
76
4
9-10
14/1
Zowal has a win three starts back and was third two starts back, but an unplaced effort last time and a ranking of tenth of twelve on our figures make him hard to fancy; he has run over today's trip and 35 days off shouldn't inconvenience him.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
One Night Thunder silks
One Night Thunder
Age 6 · 9-7
-03876
73
81
80
6
9-7
3/1 10/1 11/4
Winless in his last five starts, One Night Thunder does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a return to form showed with a third four starts back; however, recent efforts of sixth, seventh and eighth suggest he faces a stiff task from stall four carrying 133 lb.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Arduis Invicta silks
Arduis Invicta
Age 3 · 9-7
066240
78
57
86
3
9-7
25/1 25/1 20/1
Winless in her last six starts, Arduis Invicta nonetheless shaped with promise when second three starts back, and our rating of 86 marks her as a serious contender here; the risk is that unplaced efforts last time out and six starts back raise a question over consistency.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

11
Highland Shah silks
Highland Shah
Age 3 · 9-0
43-413
71
75
76
3
9-0
9/1 15/2 17/2
Highland Shah returns after 51 days off and, ranked ninth of twelve on our figures, is hard to fancy at these weights, though he does bring a win two starts back and has run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Shadow Run silks
Shadow Run
Age 3 · 9-0
-24025
71
51
80
3
9-0
28/1 18/1 25/1
Shadow Run has shown consistency without converting, with a second two starts back and fifth last time out, but he remains winless in recent starts and his trainer is in a difficult patch of form at just 4% over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

13
Supreme Clarets silks
Supreme Clarets
Age 3 · 8-13
492241
70
86
74
3
8-13
9/2 5/1 4/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Supreme Clarets faces a stiff ask, though he arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience of today's trip and conditions, giving connections something to build on.
AI verdict

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Obelix
1 Glenfinnan 9/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 9/1 Bet365
3 Mudamer 14/1 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
4 Son 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 3.50 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 4.00 9/4 open 3.75 9/4 Bet365
5 Misunderstood 9/2 open 7.50 9/2 open 10.00 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 4/1 open 9.00 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 Bet365
6 The Sweet Escape 10/3 open 4.00 3/1 3/1 3/1 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 Bet365
7 Swift Salian 16/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 Bet365
8 Zowal 14/1 open 21.00 14/1 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 17.00 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 Bet365
9 One Night Thunder 3/1 open 17.00 3/1 open 12.00 3/1 open 11.00 3/1 open 11.00 11/4 open 13.00 3/1 open 11.00 3/1 Bet365
10 Arduis Invicta 25/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 26.00 25/1 20/1 open 26.00 25/1 22/1 open 29.00 25/1 Bet365
11 Highland Shah 9/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 9/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 8.50 9/1 Bet365
12 Shadow Run 28/1 open 19.00 25/1 open 29.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 open 23.00 25/1 28/1 Bet365
13 Supreme Clarets 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.00 9/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Son

Speculative

Son owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Tim Easterby David Allan
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Supreme Clarets

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Richard & Peter Fahey
✓ Value Signal

Shadow Run

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Scott Dixon
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Son
55.8 9/4
2 13. Supreme Clarets
55.0 9/2
3 9. One Night Thunder
53.1 3/1
4 5. Misunderstood
51.6 9/2
5 6. The Sweet Escape
50.3 10/3
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Son
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Son
Age 5 · 9-13
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 6 · 9-7
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 4 · 9-10
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 4 · 9-12
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 3 · 8-13
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 6 · 10-2
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-0
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 10-0
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

8
Age 4 · 9-10
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 5 · 9-10
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Son
Confidence: Speculative

Son (SR:85, 9/4) carries 9-13 and is the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Supreme Clarets, but enjoys a clear weight edge over Glenfinnan (10-2) and The Sweet Escape (9-10 stepping up in class). The 20% market move in from the morning price is the most emphatic steaming signal in the field among the genuine contenders, indicating significant market confidence. Tim Easterby's 9% strike rate from 2027 runners is a high-volume operation that rarely goes in blind, and the 10-day turnaround suggests a fit, ready horse. Although DistFit is flagged as '-' and GoingFit as '?', the recent form-string finishing with a '2' last time out shows competitive returns, and at 9/4 the market is pricing this as the most likely winner. Each-way alternative: Supreme Clarets. Main danger: Supreme Clarets — Supreme Clarets (SR:86, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries a featherweight 8-13, has steamed in 25% in the market, and arrives on a recent '1' last time out — the class rise is the only concern, and the weight advantage may more than compensate.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Son's form string 734062 shows a '0' two runs back — a non-completion or last-place finish — raising questions about consistency at this level despite the recent second.
  • Both DistFit and GoingFit are flagged negative/unknown for Son, meaning today's trip and going conditions may not suit based on past evidence, unlike rivals with confirmed positive fits.
  • Supreme Clarets carries 9 lbs less (8-13 vs 9-13), matches Son's SR at 86 (marginally higher), has a fresher recent form string ending 241, and is also steaming in (25%) — a live market rival with a…
  • David Allan's 11% strike rate from 918 rides is unspectacular, and Son has no Course record listed, whereas The Sweet Escape and Glenfinnan both have proven Beverley course form (W2P2 and W2P3 respec…
Shortlist Son, Supreme Clarets, The Sweet Escape, One Night Thunder
Each-way: Supreme Clarets Danger: Supreme Clarets

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m7f75y Distance to cover
Soft Expected going
12 Confirmed runners
Beverley Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade