Chepstow 17:45 RESULTED
Class 3 29 Aug 2026

Last Saturday Free Tips On Attheraces.com Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Free Tips On Attheraces.com Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race) · 0m7f16y

Official Result

Free Tips On Attheraces.com Ebf Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Midgham Man (GB) Jack Doughty · Rod Millman
    8/13F
  2. 16/1
  3. 11/4
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Flight Tracker silks
Flight Tracker
Age 2 · 9-7
2
157
2
9-7
2/5 5/14 5/17
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Mainshock silks
Mainshock
Age 2 · 9-7
152
2
9-7
4/1 15/2 7/2
SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Midgham Man silks
Midgham Man
Age 2 · 9-7
54
156
2
9-7
1/1 7/1 10/11
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Montgomery Bell silks
Montgomery Bell
Age 2 · 9-7
6
143
2
9-7
14/1 40/1 11/1
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Saxon Lodge silks
Saxon Lodge
Age 2 · 9-7
155
2
9-7
10/3 11/2 3/1
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

6
Time Glory silks
Time Glory
Age 2 · 9-2
4369
69
74
69OR
2
9-2
11/1 20/1 9/1
SR 74 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Flight Tracker 2/5 open 1.44 4/11 2/5 open 1.36 4/11 2/7 open 1.40 1/3 open 1.36 2/5 Bet365
2 Mainshock 4/1 open 8.50 4/1 open 9.00 7/2 open 9.00 7/2 open 9.00 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 open 9.00 4/1 Bet365
3 Midgham Man 1/1 open 9.00 1/1 open 8.00 evn open 8.50 evn open 8.50 10/11 open 8.50 10/11 open 8.50 1/1 Bet365
4 Montgomery Bell 14/1 open 41.00 12/1 open 41.00 12/1 open 41.00 12/1 open 41.00 12/1 open 41.00 11/1 open 41.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Saxon Lodge 10/3 open 6.50 3/1 open 7.00 3/1 open 7.00 3/1 open 7.00 3/1 open 7.00 3/1 open 7.00 10/3 Bet365
6 Time Glory 11/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 11/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 21.00 11/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Flight Tracker

High conviction

Flight Tracker owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (98). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/5 Ralph Beckett Edward Greatrex
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Midgham Man

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

1/1 · Rod Millman
✓ Value Signal

Montgomery Bell

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Heather Main
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
98 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
45 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +5.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Flight Tracker
75.5 2/5
2 3. Midgham Man
74.1 1/1
3 5. Saxon Lodge
72.6 10/3
4 2. Mainshock
72.2 4/1
5 4. Montgomery Bell
64.7 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Flight Tracker
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 2 · 9-7
2/5
★★★★☆ SR 157 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 2 · 9-7
1/1
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 2 · 9-7
10/3
★★★★☆ SR 155 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 152 🐾

SR 152 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 2 · 9-2
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 2 · 9-7
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 143 🐾

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Flight Tracker
Confidence: Speculative

Flight Tracker leads the field on SR (157) and is the market's strong favourite at 2/5, a price that reflects genuine ability rather than hype — Ralph Beckett's yard (17% strike rate from 958 runners) is a high-quality operation that doesn't send horses out at short prices without solid homework. The 2-year-old's single run produced a second-place finish (Form:2), which against a 7f novice backdrop at Class 3 is a positive foundation. Mainshock and Saxon Lodge are unraced (Form:------) and despite sharp market support, their SRs of 152 and 155 respectively trail Flight Tracker's 157 on the day where experience is an additional edge. Midgham Man (SR:156, 13/8) is the genuine danger here — an SR within 1 point of Flight Tracker and a 70% market shortening — but the 5-4 form line suggests inconsistency at the bottom end, and Beckett's runner holds the class edge in trainer quality. Each-way alternative: Midgham Man. Main danger: Midgham Man — SR of 156 is within a single point of Flight Tracker's 157, the market has shortened a massive 70% suggesting strong stable confidence, and while the 5-4 form reads as mixed, the most recent run (4th then improving to a clear beaten margin) could represent a horse on the upgrade at a track where sharp 7f novices thrive.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Flight Tracker's sole form figure is a second place, meaning we have no winning form to assess — at 2/5 there is zero margin for error if that debut run was flattered by the winner's subsequent form.
  • Midgham Man (SR:156) has a 70% market shortening and two runs of experience (form 54) giving connections a clearer picture of the horse's readiness, a meaningful edge over Flight Tracker's single out…
  • Saxon Lodge is 2/1 with a 57% market move in — a well-backed debutant from a yard with 10% strike rate commanded by Stevie Donohoe, suggesting strong stable confidence that could undermine Flight Tra…
  • Edward Greatrex's 13% strike rate (649 rides) is modest for a horse sent off at 2/5 — if the race develops on pace around Chepstow's turning track, a jockey with limited big-occasion profile could be…
Shortlist Flight Tracker, Midgham Man, Saxon Lodge, Mainshock
Each-way: Midgham Man Danger: Midgham Man

🗺 The Course Class 3

0m7f16y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Chepstow Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade