Virgin Bet Celebration Mile Stakes (Group 2) · 1m0f0y
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 100 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Boiling Point | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Ebt's Guard | 12/1 open 26.00 | 11/1 open 23.00 | 7/1 open 17.00 | 7/1 open 17.00 | 11/1 open 29.00 | 11/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Fast Tracker | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 41.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Naqeeb | 12/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 open 10.00 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 Betfred |
| 5 Qirat | 6/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 5.50 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 5.50 | 13/2 Paddy Power |
| 6 Seagulls Eleven | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.33 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Arisaig | 25/1 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 Paddy Power |
| 8 Pina Sonata | 25/1 open 19.00 | 30/1 open 41.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 30/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 Zavateri | 13/8 open 3.00 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 11/8 open 3.00 | 11/8 open 3.00 | 6/4 open 2.88 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 7/4 Paddy Power |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Zavateri owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (69) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 122 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 120 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 100 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 102 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Zavateri (SR:125, 13/8) is the class standout in this field by SR margin, carries the lightest weight at 9-1 — a meaningful 6lb advantage over the 9-7 contingent — and has confirmed both distance and going fitness (DistFit:+, GoingFit:+) on good-to-firm ground at this exact mile trip. Course:W1P1 at Goodwood adds further comfort, and the market has shortened 6% to 13/8, indicating quiet confidence rather than noise. The 3-year-old age allowance built into the 9-1 weight means connections are willingly conceding less poundage than rivals, and the 7-day turnaround from an active stable is not a concern for a horse clearly in mid-season form. Each-way alternative: Boiling Point. Main danger: Seagulls Eleven — Seagulls Eleven (SR:122, 4/1) is the second-rated horse in the field, has course form (W1P1), and a GoingFit:~ that is not prohibitive on good-to-firm, making it the most likely runner to capitalise if Zavateri underperforms at the short price.