Mountain Goat Tours Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m1f46y
SR 88 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 87 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 74 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 75 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 46 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Zamond | 11/2 open 5.50 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Mr Lincoln | 5/1 open 7.00 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 5/1 | 9/2 open 6.00 | 5/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Masekela | 22/1 open 12.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 open 13.00 | 25/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Lord Of The Glance | 11/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 Coral |
| 5 Mi Sueno | 9/4 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 4.00 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 9/4 open 3.75 | 2/1 open 3.75 | 9/4 Bet365 |
| 6 Alvesta | 3/1 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Malangen | 18/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Sadies Diamond | 12/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 open 15.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Ambassador | 10/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 | 9/1 | 9/1 | 9/1 | 11/1 Paddy Power |
| 10 Jeepydoff Meel | 40/1 open 34.00 | 35/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Mr Globalist | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 Coral |
| 12 Hopjes | 80/1 open 67.00 | 40/1 open 67.00 | 66/1 | 66/1 | 33/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Alvesta owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 87 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 88 suggests ability but 5/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 72 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 76 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Alvesta (SR:91, 3/1) holds the highest Saturday Rating in the field by a clear margin and carries a very manageable 10-12, giving her a 16lb weight advantage over top-weight Zamond while rating 3 points superior. Her form reads 6-7131 — three finishes in the top three from her last four starts — and she brings outstanding course credentials: 2 wins and 3 places at Cartmel specifically, confirming she handles this track's undulations and tight bends. DistFit:+ confirms she's proven at this distance, and the market has edged in 5% since opening, suggesting quiet confidence from the Moffatt yard. As the stable's #1 runner (Masekela drifted 22% and carries a lower SR:74), this is clearly where Moffatt's money is. Each-way alternative: Mi Sueno. Main danger: Mi Sueno — Mi Sueno (SR:84, 3/1) ran only 4 days ago suggesting peak fitness, carries a handy 10-13, and trainer Nick Scholfield's 17% strike rate is the strongest in the field — a horse dropping the tongue-tie and showing recent form of P45121 has serious each-way claims at level weights.