Cartmel 17:05 RESULTED
Class 5 29 Aug 2026

Last Saturday Cengiz Sadik Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (For The Cengiz Sadik Memorial Trophy)

Cengiz Sadik Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (For The Cengiz Sadik Memorial Trophy) · 2m5f34y

Official Result

Cengiz Sadik Memorial Handicap Steeple Chase (For The Cengiz Sadik Memorial Trophy)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Illogical Logic (FR) Ellis Collier · David Thompson
    7/1
  2. 11/4F
  3. 15/2
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Curragh

13:18–16:50 · 7 races

Goodwood

13:25–16:55 · 7 races

Sandown

13:40–17:10 · 7 races

Beverley

13:45–16:45 · 6 races

Cartmel

14:05–17:05 · 6 races

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16:30–19:30 · 7 races

Chepstow

16:40–19:45 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 day, 3 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Kinbara Firstdraft silks
Kinbara Firstdraft
Age 7 · 12-0
-57454
95
59
106
7
12-0
33/1 25/1 33/1
Winless in his last five starts, Kinbara Firstdraft nonetheless holds strong claims here as the top-rated runner, with his rating of 106 lending confidence, and experience over today's trip and going counts in his favour under 168 lb, returning on a sharp 14-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

2
Bravethewaves silks
Bravethewaves
Age 9 · 11-8
47175-
89
54
83
9
11-8
40/1 25/1 40/1
Bravethewaves won three starts back but has since posted a seventh and a fifth, and 140 days off the track adds a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going before, though the weight of 162 lb is no help to his prospects here.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

3
Halfway House Lad silks
Halfway House Lad
Age 7 · 11-6
6-11PP
87
72
80
7
11-6
7/1
Halfway House Lad has run over today's trip and going, and back-to-back wins three and four starts back show he can deliver — but consecutive pulled-up efforts since make the 160 lb he carries under an official mark of 87 a stiff ask for a revival.
AI verdict

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Illogical Logic silks
Illogical Logic
Age 8 · 11-0
46P-52
81
68
87
8
11-0
11/1 15/2 11/1
Illogical Logic shaped with promise when second last time out and, rated 87, he represents a serious threat stepping back out just nine days later with distance and going experience in his favour; the worry is he remains winless in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Blazing Court silks
Blazing Court
Age 8 · 10-12
U-UP72
79
66
87
8
10-12
14/1 6/1 14/1
Blazing Court shaped with promise when second last time out and, with experience over today's trip and going in his favour, he rates a leading danger on our figures despite carrying 152 lb; the main concern is a patchy recent record that includes two unseats and a pull-up in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Judicial Review silks
Judicial Review
Age 8 · 10-12
-67P25
79
78
85
8
10-12
4/1 9/2 7/2
Judicial Review has run over today's trip and going, and his second two starts back shows he retains ability; the risk is the pulled-up run sandwiched in recent starts leaves a fitness question after 40 days off carrying 152 lb.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Roi Du Roume silks
Roi Du Roume
Age 6 · 10-11
34-426
78
79
77
6
10-11
10/3
Winless in his last five starts and ranked eighth of eleven on our figures, Roi Du Roume is hard to fancy, particularly after a below-par sixth last time out and 62 days off the track; he has run over today's trip before and that second two starts back offers a crumb of comfort, but the weight of 151 lb adds another burden.
AI verdict

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Path Of Stars silks
Path Of Stars
Age 5 · 10-11
3-5124
78
77
76
5
10-11
11/2 5/1 9/2
Ranked ninth of eleven on our figures and carrying a hefty 151 lb, Path Of Stars is hard to fancy at face value, though she showed she can win in recent starts and has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Aill Dubh silks
Aill Dubh
Age 9 · 10-10
31-441
77
80
77
9
10-10
4/1 10/3 4/1
Aill Dubh won last time out and was a winner four starts back, though a pair of fourths in between show some inconsistency; he has experience over today's trip and going, but a 40-day absence and a hefty 150 lb burden are testing factors here.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Scoro silks
Scoro
Age 6 · 10-7
P4-466
74
72
74OR
6
10-7
10/1 17/2 9/1
Winless in his last five starts but unexposed and open to improvement, Scoro returns after 44 days carrying 147 lb, and his two consecutive fourth-place finishes before recent sixths suggest there is still a profile to unravel here.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Fast Deal silks
Fast Deal
Age 9 · 10-2
P-8666
64
41
69
9
10-2
66/1 100/1 40/1
Fast Deal has been winless in his last five starts, finishing sixth on three successive occasions after pulling up, and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures he makes little appeal here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a sharp 14-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 41 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Kinbara Firstdraft 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 26.00 33/1 33/1 Bet365
2 Bravethewaves 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 open 34.00 40/1 Bet365
3 Halfway House Lad 7/1 open 8.50 8/1 open 10.00 8/1 8/1 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 Paddy Power
4 Illogical Logic 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 9.50 11/1 Bet365
5 Blazing Court 14/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 7.00 16/1 open 8.50 16/1 Paddy Power
6 Judicial Review 4/1 open 6.00 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 5.50 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 Bet365
7 Roi Du Roume 10/3 open 5.00 10/3 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 Coral
8 Path Of Stars 11/2 6/1 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 9/2 open 6.50 11/2 6/1 Paddy Power
9 Aill Dubh 4/1 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 open 4.33 9/2 Paddy Power
10 Scoro 10/1 open 17.00 9/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 9.50 9/1 open 11.00 10/1 Bet365
11 Fast Deal 66/1 open 101.00 50/1 open 101.00 50/1 open 101.00 50/1 open 101.00 50/1 open 101.00 40/1 open 126.00 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Roi Du Roume

Speculative

Roi Du Roume owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 Mickey Bowen Sean Bowen
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Judicial Review

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · James Moffatt
✓ Value Signal

Kinbara Firstdraft

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Leonard Kerr
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +16.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 7. Roi Du Roume
54.5 10/3
2 6. Judicial Review
52.4 4/1
3 10. Scoro
50.8 10/1
4 8. Path Of Stars
50.7 11/2
5 9. Aill Dubh
49.5 4/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Roi Du Roume
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

7
Age 6 · 10-11
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 8 · 10-12
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 9 · 10-10
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 5 · 10-11
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 11-6
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 6 · 10-7
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 8 · 11-0
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 8 · 10-12
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 66 🐾

SR 66 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Roi Du Roume
Confidence: Speculative

Roi Du Roume (SR:79, 7/2) carries the joint-lightest competitive weight at 10-11 alongside Path Of Stars, holds the top SR among the market principals, and crucially has Sean Bowen in the saddle — a jockey striking at 23% from 1,224 career rides, the standout booking in this field. The market has already shortened 9% since opening, confirming professional confidence. Trainer Mickey Bowen runs at 16% which is strong for this class. The DistFit:- flag is a concern at 2m5f, but Cartmel's unique flat-and-tight configuration compresses the stamina test, and the 34-426 form shows consistent engagement at this level — the 6 last time out can be forgiven given 62 days off. At 7/2 with money coming in, this represents genuine value over a weak field. Each-way alternative: Aill Dubh. Main danger: Aill Dubh — Aill Dubh (SR:80, 4/1) carries the highest SR in the field, has won at Cartmel (Course:W1P1), and returns on a mark only 2lb above his last win — the 31-441 form includes a recent victory and he is the one horse in the field who can point to genuine course-winning evidence at this track.

Case against 4 clamped
  • DistFit flag at 2m5f is a live worry — Roi Du Roume's form figures of 34-426 show no win or placed finish at this trip, and Cartmel's extended run-in still demands genuine stamina.
  • Aill Dubh (SR:80, 4/1) rates higher on SR, is shorter in the market, has an actual course win, and comes here fresher from a recent win — a materially stronger profile than the primary pick.
  • 62-day layoff combined with a 6 last time out means Roi Du Roume has neither racefitness nor recent confidence; the HG:tb headgear flag suggests management issues that a break alone may not have reso…
  • Course record is W0P1 only — no win at Cartmel — while Halfway House Lad and Path Of Stars have stronger course form, undermining the case that Cartmel's configuration suits this horse specifically.
Shortlist Roi Du Roume, Aill Dubh, Judicial Review, Path Of Stars
Each-way: Aill Dubh Danger: Aill Dubh

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m5f34y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Cartmel Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade