Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m5f16y
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 South West | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 Dowman | 11/4 open 2.63 | 11/4 open 2.38 | 11/4 open 2.88 | 11/4 open 2.88 | 11/4 open 2.88 | 11/4 open 2.88 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Sea Palace | 10/3 open 6.00 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.75 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 4 Maximus Meridius | 17/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 7/1 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Ard As A Rock | 7/1 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 open 6.00 | 7/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Pj's Corner | 11/4 open 5.50 | 11/4 open 5.50 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 5/2 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 11/4 open 5.00 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 7 Perigord Noir | 8/1 open 15.00 | 15/2 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 15/2 open 12.00 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Dowman owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 71 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Sea Palace (SR:79, 11/4) is the most compelling pick here despite a modest SR, primarily because of the 17% market move in — significant money arriving on a horse in a thin six-runner field demands respect. The form of 33 in nurseries is consistent rather than flashy, suggesting a horse that has run to a level and is likely improving, and the drop in class (ClassMv:↓1) means this is a softer opportunity than its last two starts. At 9-8 it shares top-weight with Dowman but critically avoids Dowman's massive 45% drift, which is a near-screaming market negative that overrides Dowman's superior SR of 89. Sangster/Donohoe are a low-profile combination but the market is speaking clearly. Each-way alternative: Pj's Corner. Main danger: Pj's Corner — Pj's Corner (SR:80, 7/2) has the best recent form trajectory in the field — an 8531 sequence showing a clear upward curve culminating in a win — is 15% shorter in the market, and carries the lightest weight of the leading trio at 9-4, giving it a genuine lbs edge over Sea Palace and Dowman.