Giorgia Rose has been a model of consistency, finishing third four times in her last five starts, and has experience over today's trip and conditions — the main concern is whether she can convert that reliability into a win, as she remains winless in recent starts despite carrying a hefty 166 lb.
Form last 638-333
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR92RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Joshua Chamberlain, rated 97 and the top-rated of 19, brings a win four starts back and has run over today's trip and going, making him hard to oppose under 163 lb after 34 days off — a run to sharpen him up cannot be ruled out.
Form last 6515/04
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
75SR97RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Gerrys Wish has been placed three times in her last five starts but has a pulled-up run to her name and she remains yet to win in recent starts; has run over today's going before and returns after 32 days, though 162 lb is a stiff ask ranked fifth of nineteen.
Form last 622-8P2
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR90RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
The Vegas Raider has run over today's trip and going before and, rated 94 by us, ranks second of nineteen in this field — a solid threat despite carrying 160 lb, though he is yet to win in his last five starts and that blank record remains the chief concern.
Form last 6920/U0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
61SR94RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Barryroe Madam nonetheless steps back in distance and going conditions she has experience of, and her fourth last time out hints at a return to form, with our rating of 92 making her a legitimate threat — the weight burden of 159 lb is the chief concern.
Form last 600-004
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR92RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Twice placed in recent starts but winless in his last five, My Good Pal brings distance and going experience to the table and a trainer firing at 26% over the past fortnight; the 159 lb burden and a ranking of tenth of nineteen temper expectations.
Form last 6-2U852
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR86RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Yet to score in her last five starts, and a fell and pulled-up among those recent outings raise clear questions about reliability, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns on a quick 14-day turnaround at 156 lb.
Form last 6-0PF89
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
68SR90RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in his last five starts and pulled up on one occasion, Ballyminnion Boy at least returns on a quick turnaround of 17 days with going experience in his favour, though carrying 155 lb looks a stiff ask for a gelding ranked ninth of nineteen.
Form last 6P-0080
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
55SR87RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Winless in his last five starts and with two pulled-up efforts a concern, Ranger Billy does bring distance and going experience and ran third two starts back to suggest some capability, though 153 lb is no easy burden for a gelding ranked seventh of nineteen.
Form last 60-PP37
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
59SR88RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Landed a win in his last five starts but that sole success came over 1,000 days ago, leaving fitness a major question mark; has run over today's trip and a rating of 85 offers some encouragement, though recent efforts since that win have been modest at best.
Form last 616009/
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR85RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 16 of 19 on our figures, Chanceitlucky looks up against it here, carrying 151 lb; he has run over today's trip and going before, though his recent finishes offer little encouragement.
Form last 69046-5
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR73RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fine Print arrives on the back of a sixth last time out and has been winless in his last five starts, with a fourth three starts back offering some encouragement, though his 150 lb burden and a ranking of twelfth of nineteen make a reversal of fortune difficult to envisage.
Form last 678-406
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
73SR84RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 13 of 19 on our figures, Phildante faces a stiff ask, and a fall interrupting her recent sequence does little to inspire confidence, though she won last time out and has experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 66-64F1
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR79RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Unexposed and open to improvement, Tawny Lea arrives 31 days between runs and yet to score, but her recent form — including a refusal two starts back — leaves her profile hard to read and questions remain ahead of this assignment.
Form last 608R0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
53SR—RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
Winless in her last four starts and ranked near the foot of the field on our figures, Princess Felicia faces a stiff ask under 146 lb, though she has placed in three of those outings and has run over today's going before.
Form last 63U/3-2
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
79SR72RPR77OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Tantrum Boy has been winless in his last five starts, with a pair of fourths his best efforts and three worse finishes beneath that, and a rating of 75 ranked 15th of 19 here offers little encouragement, though the 20-day break is reasonable and he has experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 60-0844
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR75RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and off the track for 500 days, But What About Me faces a stiff task carrying 149 lb, ranked 14 of 19 on our figures; experience over today's trip and going is the one modest positive.
Form last 67F087/
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR77RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in her last four starts and returning after a lengthy 327-day absence, St Anthonys Corner faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's trip and going before and our rating of 88 suggests she retains ability above her official mark.
Form last 6/0900-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
66SR88RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Gerrys Wish owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/2Gordon ElliottJack Kennedy
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Giorgia Rose
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/1 · Emmet Mullins✓ Value Signal
Tawny Lea
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · Thomas Coyle◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Gerrys Wish (SR:85, 5/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field by a clear margin and sits in the SR 85 bracket versus a field where the next-best cluster is 79-82. Gordon Elliott at 15% career strike rate and Jack Kennedy at 19% is a top-tier NH partnership that commands respect at any level. The weight of 11-8 is manageable — heavier than Princess Felicia's 10-6 but the SR advantage more than compensates. The form string 22-8P2 shows consistency at placed level with the P and 8 explainable excursions, and the last run was a placed effort. Yes, the market has drifted 9% and GoingFit is only moderate (~), but the SR edge over this modest €6k field is decisive and no rival combines both high ability and strong connections.
Each-way alternative: Princess Felicia.
Main danger: Princess Felicia — Princess Felicia (SR:79, 4/1) is the market's pick, carries only 10-6 — a 16lb weight advantage over Gerrys Wish — and her form string 3U/3-2 shows solid placed consistency; the featherweight on an unknown going/distance sample (both DistFit and GoingFit unknown) means she could easily handle conditions and her lighter burden is a genuine leveller.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Market has drifted 9% despite top connections — money is going elsewhere, notably Princess Felicia (4/1, no drift) who is shorter in the market despite a 6-point SR deficit, suggesting market intelli…
Form string 22-8P2 includes a pull-up (P) and an 8th — two non-completion or poor efforts in a short sequence for a 5yo who should be progressing; last winning form is absent entirely.
Going fit rated only moderate (~) for Gerrys Wish specifically flagged; the 'b' headgear has not converted placed form into wins, raising questions about resolution under pressure in this 19-runner h…
Princess Felicia (SR:79, 4/1) is market-shorter, fresher (11 days), has a cleaner recent form line (3U/3-2) and carries 16lb less — a combination of recency, weight and market confidence that directl…