Kondratiev Wave has run over today's trip and going, and his recent form includes a second two starts back and a second five starts back, giving him solid each-way claims here; the main risk is a trainer firing at just 5% over the past fortnight.
Form last 6224624
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
60SR58RPR55OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, Berning Hot showed encouragement with a second four starts back but has been below that level since, posting a fifth last time out after 19 days off; she has run over today's trip and going, though 133 lb from stall seven is no straightforward task.
Form last 6862605
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
41SR56RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Thanks Dad won last time out, which catches the eye, but that single victory in his last five starts is surrounded by poor efforts, and he rates well below most rivals on our figures, ranked seventh of nine.
Form last 60-0861
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
49SR51RPR53OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 49 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Mister Sandman is the top-rated runner in the field and has experience of today's trip and conditions, showing consistent placing ability with a second two starts back; yet to score in his last five starts, and that lack of a win remains the chief concern.
Form last 634-424
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR61RPR49OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Superstorm shaped as a strong contender here, returning off a confident 17-day break as a winner last time out and carrying experience of today's trip and conditions into the race from stall one; the risk is that his form in the five starts prior to that win was inconsistent.
Form last 6246641
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
63SR61RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Barry The Worm won five starts back but has been well held in three of his four most recent efforts, and while he has run over today's trip and going and returns on a reasonable 27-day break from stall 5, an official mark of 52 leaves little room to enthuse.
Form last 61-6078
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
42SR56RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 42 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Neat And Tidy returns on a quick turnaround of 14 days and has run over today's trip and going, giving her experience of the conditions. Winless in her last five starts, but our rating of 57 edges above her official mark, making her interesting from stall six.
Form last 659-055
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
47SR57RPR52OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 47 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Girls Allowed faces a stiff ask here, though she does bring distance and going experience to the table and a return run 22 days ago suggests she is fit enough.
Form last 666-462
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR48RPR50OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts, with a seventh last time out and a return to form as a second three starts back not enough to inspire confidence here; she has run over today's trip and is drawn in stall four, but our figures rank her eighth of nine.
Form last 6948257
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
55SR49RPR48OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Superstorm owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Charlie FellowesMikkel Mortensen(5)
71%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Kondratiev Wave
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Tony Carroll✓ Value Signal
Barry The Worm
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
25/1 · Edward Smyth-Osbourne◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Kondratiev Wave (SR:60, 9/2) carries the strongest Saturday Rating in the field and has steamed in 30% in the market — the most significant move on the card and a clear signal that connections and informed money are confident. At 9-9 for a 9-year-old, the weight is manageable in a Class 6 sprint, and jockey Billy Loughnane (19% strike rate across 1,779 rides) is a strong booking that upgrades the chances materially. The DistFit:- and GoingFit:- are genuine concerns, but at this level the SR dominance and the dramatic market move override moderate going/distance reservations — Tony Carroll (13%, 1,446 runners) doesn't steam a horse 30% without intent.
Each-way alternative: Superstorm.
Main danger: Superstorm — Superstorm (SR:63, 9/2) actually leads the field on SR, carries a favourable 9-1 with a MarkMv:+2 that barely stings, and has a confirmed Course:W1P1 record at Brighton — course specialisation at this track is a meaningful edge and the form figure of '1' last time out is live.