Windsor 17:13 RESULTED
Class 4 24 Aug 2026

Monday 24 August Matchbook Betting Exchange Supporting UK Racing Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Matchbook Betting Exchange Supporting UK Racing Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m6f12y

Official Result

Matchbook Betting Exchange Supporting UK Racing Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Sunday Girl (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Ed Walker
    15/8
  2. Second Encore (FR)
    1/1F
  3. Third Cercis (GB)
    6/1
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 5 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Encore silks
Encore
Age 4 · 9-5
5-
153
4
9-5
7/4 FCST 31/19
Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Cercis silks
Cercis
Age 3 · 9-2
5-42
58
60
58OR
3
9-2
9/1 6/1 8/1
SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Just Dreaming silks
Just Dreaming
Age 3 · 9-2
5-752
57
52
57OR
3
9-2
20/1 5/1 20/1
SR 52 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 52 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Queen Of Hope silks
Queen Of Hope
Age 3 · 9-2
143
3
9-2
14/1 FCST 10/1
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Sunday Girl silks
Sunday Girl
Age 3 · 9-2
3-
158
3
9-2
10/11 10/11 5/6
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Encore 7/4 open 3.50 7/4 open 2.63 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 open 2.63 13/8 15/8 Coral
2 Cercis 9/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 8.50 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 9/1 8/1 open 10.00 9/1 Bet365
3 Just Dreaming 20/1 open 6.00 22/1 open 7.00 22/1 open 6.50 22/1 open 6.50 22/1 open 10.00 22/1 open 10.00 22/1 Paddy Power
4 Queen Of Hope 14/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 15.00 12/1 12/1 12/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
5 Sunday Girl 10/11 open 2.25 5/6 open 2.20 10/11 open 2.25 10/11 open 2.25 10/11 open 2.00 5/6 open 1.91 10/11 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sunday Girl

High conviction

Sunday Girl owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/11 Ed Walker Kieran Shoemark
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Encore

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/4 · William Haggas
✓ Value Signal

Just Dreaming

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Eve Johnson Houghton
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
96 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
61 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Sunday Girl
75.0 10/11
2 1. Encore
74.6 7/4
3 4. Queen Of Hope
62.8 14/1
4 2. Cercis
46.0 9/1
5 3. Just Dreaming
38.7 20/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sunday Girl
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 3 · 9-2
10/11
★★★★☆ SR 158 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 4 · 9-5
7/4
★★★★☆ SR 153 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-5 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 3 · 9-2
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-2
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 143 🐾

SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-2
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sunday Girl
Confidence: Speculative

Sunday Girl (SR 158) is the class leader in this field by 5 points over Encore and carries a favourable 9-2 — 3lb lighter than Encore despite superior ability. Her single run showing a third-place finish suggests she has already shown a competitive level of form, and Ed Walker (15% strike rate, 850 runners) is a capable handler of progressive fillies. The market has installed her as the clear 11/10 favourite, and at SR 158 in a Class 4 novice with only 5 runners, she is simply too good on paper to oppose without a concrete reason. Each-way alternative: Encore. Main danger: Encore — Encore (SR 153, 15/8) is a 4-year-old stepping up in class but carries the experience advantage over younger rivals and William Haggas (21% strike rate) rarely runs horses this short of peak fitness — a 343-day absence is a concern, but the trainer's record with returning horses is strong enough to make her the likeliest threat.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Sunday Girl has been off the track for 361 days — nearly a full year — making her fitness and match-sharpness a significant question on her seasonal return.
  • Her sole career run was a third-place finish; the form has had no chance to be tested or franked since, leaving her SR of 158 built on a single data point with no confirmation.
  • Encore, trained by William Haggas (21% strike rate vs Walker's 15%), has had a recent pipe-opener 343 days ago and represents a yard with a meaningfully superior strike rate — sharper operation for a…
  • Kieran Shoemark's 12% strike rate is modest, and Sunday Girl's single run experience means the jockey has very little intel on how she responds under race pressure — a potential issue in a tight 5-ru…
Shortlist Sunday Girl, Encore, Queen Of Hope
Each-way: Encore Danger: Encore

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m6f12y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Windsor Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade