Ireland 7yo

Chanceitlucky (IRE)

T: Adrian Murray · J: Kevin Healy(7) · O: Neil Rawle

By Yorgunnabelucky (USA) out of Seedless (GB)

Form 09046-501

16/1 Current odds

1/8 W/R

77 RPR

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Active

8 runs
1 wins
placed
12% strike
12 d off
77 best RPR

Recent form

Form figures 09046-501 12 days off

1 0 5 6 4 0

On Good 1/4 1 win · 1 placed

Best RPR 77 Career peak

Deep analytics

Career trajectory, going + distance lenses, connections history

Career Trajectory

last 8 runs · form score 0–100

Win
Placed
Mid-pack
Rear
DNF
OR mark

Peak form: 100
Mean: 32
Win %: 12%
Placed %: 12%
Trend: Climbing

Course Record

6 venues

Career strike 12%; best at Ballinrobe (IRE) (0% from 2 runs).

Ballinrobe (IRE) 0% 0-0-2
Navan 0% 0-0-2
Fairyhouse (IRE) 100% 1-0-1
Kilbeggan 0% 0-0-1
Punchestown 0% 0-0-1
Roscommon 0% 0-0-1

Connections History

4 jockeys · 1 trainer

Jockeys

Eoin G Kelly 0% 0-0-4
Sean Flanagan 0% 0-0-2
Kevin Healy(7) NOW 100% 1-0-1
Donagh Meyler 0% 0-0-1

Trainers

Adrian Murray NOW 12% 1-0-8

Going Record

6 classifiable runs

Mixed No clear going preference — moderate strike on every surface they've tried.

Firm — 0 runs
Good to Firm — 0 runs
Good 25% 1-0-4
Good to Soft 0% 0-0-1
Soft — 0 runs
Heavy 0% 0-0-1

Distance Record

8 classifiable runs

Mixed No standout trip — every bracket comes in around the same modest strike rate.

Sprint ≤ 6f — 0 runs
Seven 6½ – 7f — 0 runs
Mile 7f – 1m1f — 0 runs
Middle 1m1f – 1m4f — 0 runs
Staying ≥ 1m4f 12% 1-0-8

Race history

8 of 8 runs

Date Race Pos Going Dist Jockey Odds

5 Oct 2026 Fairyhouse Racecourse Handicap Hurdle Fairyhouse (IRE) 1st/14 +0 Good 3m Kevin Healy OR 81 15/2

24 Aug 2026 Jerry McDonnell Memorial Handicap Hurdle Ballinrobe (IRE) T 12th/16 49 Good 2m6½f Sean Flanagan OR 82 9/2

10 Aug 2026 Tim Kelly Group Handicap Hurdle Ballinrobe (IRE) 5th/16 5.5 Good 2m6½f Donagh Meyler OR 82 20/1

16 Nov 2025 Gaeil Colmcille GAA Kells 'Day At The Races' Handicap Hurdle (0-100) Navan T 6th/24 5 Heavy 2m Sean Flanagan OR 85 25/1

14 Oct 2025 Play Final One Standing By William Hill Maiden Hurdle Punchestown T 4th/14 2.5 Good To Yielding 2m4f Eoin G Kelly 250/1

20 Sep 2025 Meath Farm Machinery Maiden Hurdle Navan 13th/14 16 Yielding 2m5f Eoin G Kelly 200/1

9 Aug 2025 Bernard Kenny Maiden Hurdle Kilbeggan 9th/10 0.3 Good To Yielding 2m3f Eoin G Kelly 100/1

7 Jul 2025 Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle Roscommon 11th/14 5.5 Good 2m4f125y Eoin G Kelly 66/1

Connections

Trainer: Adrian Murray 14%
Jockey: Kevin Healy(7) 10%
Owner: Neil Rawle
Sire: Yorgunnabelucky (USA)
Dam: Seedless (GB)
Dam sire: Mtoto
Country: Ireland
Age: 7yo

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