Juddmonte EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m0f31y
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 121 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 129 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 122 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 126 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 124 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 123 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 8-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Camarda Rc | 4/5 open 2.50 | 8/11 open 2.75 | 8/11 open 1.91 | 8/13 open 1.91 | 4/5 open 2.62 | 8/11 open 1.83 | 4/5 Bet365 |
| 2 Distant Sun | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Regalism | 11/1 open 5.50 | 12/1 open 7.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 10/1 open 8.50 | 11/1 open 6.50 | 11/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 4 Aethelstan Gold | 18/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Banged Up | 50/1 open 21.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 | 28/1 | 50/1 open 23.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 Paddy Power |
| 6 Biscaysian | 20/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Son Of A Fish | 33/1 open 17.00 | 33/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 open 23.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 28/1 open 23.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 8 The Sergeon | 28/1 open 15.00 | 30/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 21.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 21.00 | 30/1 Paddy Power |
| 9 Hoosthat | 125/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 50/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 | 125/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Nakila Sun | 15/8 open 3.25 | 15/8 open 2.63 | 5/4 open 2.88 | 7/4 open 2.88 | 15/8 | 15/8 | 15/8 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Camarda Rc owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (96). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 8-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 141 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 129 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 126 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Camarda Rc (SR 157, 10/11) is the strongest-rated horse in this field by a clear 16 points over Nakila Sun (SR 159 — wait, Nakila Sun is actually SR 159, marginally higher), but Camarda carries 9-7 versus Nakila Sun's 8-12 — a 9lb weight concession that partially offsets the SR gap. The decisive factors are the market: Camarda has steamed in 16% to odds-on, while Nakila Sun has only tightened 11% to 13/8, suggesting stronger confidence in the Hannon runner. Camarda's sole run produced a win (Form:1), and Richard Hannon's yard at 12% strike rate over 1,296 runners is a major operation booking Sean Levey — their retained rider — signalling this is their number-one pick over stablemate Son Of A Fish (Pat Dobbs, drifted 33%). The 9lb weight pull in Camarda's favour over Nakila Sun is substantial at this trip for juveniles, and the market is decisively backing Camarda. Each-way alternative: Nakila Sun. Main danger: Nakila Sun — Nakila Sun (SR 159, 13/8) holds the marginal SR edge and carries 9lb less than Camarda Rc, with Oisin Murphy booked and a 11% market move inward suggesting Balding's yard is confident — if the weight difference proves decisive over a mile, she is the one to reverse the market verdict.