Play The Free £20,000 Matchbook Match 6 Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m3f99y
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 83 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Melek Alreeh | 33/1 open 15.00 | 40/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 open 15.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 Raulin | 12/1 open 4.50 | 12/1 open 6.00 | 12/1 open 4.50 | 12/1 open 4.50 | 12/1 open 4.50 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Percival | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.50 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 7/2 open 7.00 | 7/2 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Morcar | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 8.50 | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 6.50 | 12/1 open 11.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Just An Hour | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 8.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Tai Hang Pegasus | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 10/3 open 4.00 | 7/2 Paddy Power |
| 7 Cape Fear | 2/1 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 2.75 | 2/1 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 2.88 | 2/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Cape Fear owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (54) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 83 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Cape Fear (SR:97, 15/8) is the standout on every meaningful signal. The SR leads the field by 9 points over nearest rival Tai Hang Pegasus, and at 9-0 he carries the lightest weight in the race — a significant lbs advantage over top-weights Melek Alreeh and Raulin at 10-2. The market has sharpened 27% from opening, Oisin Murphy (21% career strike rate, 1,351 rides) is a high-calibre booking for Andrew Balding (19% strike rate, 1,486 runners), and the form string 2-3-2-1-3-2 shows relentless consistency at this class. GoingFit:+ confirms he handles good-to-firm, and a prior placing at Windsor (Course:W0P1) provides course familiarity. Each-way alternative: Tai Hang Pegasus. Main danger: Tai Hang Pegasus — Tai Hang Pegasus (SR:88, 10/3) holds the second-best SR, carries only 9-1, has DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirming he handles today's conditions, and his recent form 4-7-6-2-3-1 shows a progressive profile on a mark that has risen only 6lb since his last win — enough ability to exploit if Cape Fear finds the step up to this trip (DistFit:?) against him.