Musselburgh 15:15 RESULTED
Class 5 24 Aug 2026

Monday 24 August 'Celebrating Veteran Armed Forces' Selling Handicap Stakes

'Celebrating Veteran Armed Forces' Selling Handicap Stakes · 1m0f208y

Official Result

'Celebrating Veteran Armed Forces' Selling Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Runninsonofagun (IRE) Jason Hart · Tristan Davidson
    9/4F
  2. 7/1
  3. 14/1
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Musselburgh

14:15–16:45 · 6 races

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Settled
  • 11 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 6 days, 5 hours ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Yermanthere silks
Yermanthere
Age 8 · 10-0
-05122
70
71
69
8
10-0
11/2 11/4 5/1
Yermanthere arrives in fine nick, placing second twice in his last two starts and a winner three starts back, with experience over today's trip and going in his favour; the main concern is a trainer operating at just three per cent over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Runninsonofagun silks
Runninsonofagun
Age 4 · 9-12
513226
68
70
68
4
9-12
3/1 7/2 11/4
Runninsonofagun caught the eye with a second two starts back and a third four starts back, and at just seven days since his last run he arrives in good order, having run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Theme Park silks
Theme Park
Age 6 · 9-12
-05123
68
58
68
6
9-12
12/1 11/2 12/1
Theme Park arrives here in excellent heart, placing third last time out and a winner three starts back, with experience of today's trip and going working in his favour; the 138 lb burden is the one factor that could anchor his chances.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Simple Star silks
Simple Star
Age 8 · 9-9
962545
65
39
69
8
9-9
33/1 22/1 33/1
Simple Star brings solid fitness on a 17-day turnaround and has run over today's distance and going before, while a rating of 69 ranks him second among these 11 — the case for him as a leading danger is real; yet he remains winless in his last six starts, which is the nagging concern.
AI verdict

SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

5
Titainium silks
Titainium
Age 5 · 9-7
57-876
63
57
65
5
9-7
10/1 8/1 9/1
Winless in his last five starts, Titainium at least has experience of today's trip and going to call on, and 18 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh; the concern is a pattern of finishes deep in the field, and 133 lb is no featherweight task from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Mayor Of Maghera silks
Mayor Of Maghera
Age 4 · 9-5
341760
61
51
62
4
9-5
11/1 16/1 10/1
Mayor Of Maghera brings distance and going experience and a win four starts back to recommend him, but he has finished unplaced last time out and has been out of the frame in three of his last four, making it hard to argue he is in the form of his life off 131 lb.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

7
Falcon Nine silks
Falcon Nine
Age 6 · 9-4
249222
60
65
62
6
9-4
9/2 11/4 4/1
Falcon Nine has been placed in four of his last six starts, including three consecutive runner-up finishes, yet remains winless in recent starts and his trainer is badly out of form at 4% over the past fortnight — a concern despite him returning on a handy 17-day break with distance and going experience in his favour.
AI verdict

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Princess Niyla silks
Princess Niyla
Age 6 · 9-2
356537
58
50
65
6
9-2
16/1 12/1 14/1
Winless in her last six starts, Princess Niyla does bring distance and going experience to the table, and her third two starts back offers some encouragement, but a seventh last time out is hard to ignore and she faces a stiff task from a field of eleven.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

9
Motawaared silks
Motawaared
Age 4 · 9-2
765654
58
60
61
4
9-2
5/1 11/2 5/1
Motawaared has been winless in his last six starts, finishing no better than fourth throughout that sequence, and our figures rank him ninth of eleven here, making him hard to fancy at face value; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a 14-day turnaround suggests he arrives fresh.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Miners Gamble silks
Miners Gamble
Age 5 · 8-10
968053
52
57
54
5
8-10
13/2 15/2 6/1
Winless in his last six starts and ranked tenth of eleven on our figures, Miners Gamble faces a stiff ask here, though he has experience of today's distance and going, and a third last time out offers a crumb of comfort; fresh enough at 17 days since his last run.
AI verdict

SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

11
Langton Wold silks
Langton Wold
Age 7 · 8-9
75/578
46
23
46
7
8-9
66/1 33/1 66/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Langton Wold faces a stiff task here; he has run over today's trip and returns on a quick turnaround of 12 days, but his recent string of sevenths and eighths makes him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 23 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Yermanthere 11/2 open 4.33 5/1 open 3.75 11/2 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.00 6/1 open 4.00 6/1 open 4.33 6/1 William Hill
2 Runninsonofagun 3/1 open 6.00 11/4 open 6.50 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 6.00 11/4 open 4.50 3/1 Bet365
3 Theme Park 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 6.50 14/1 open 6.50 14/1 open 6.50 16/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 7.50 16/1 William Hill
4 Simple Star 33/1 35/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 29.00 40/1 open 26.00 40/1 Coral
5 Titainium 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 11/1 open 15.00 9/1 open 9.00 11/1 Coral
6 Mayor Of Maghera 11/1 open 19.00 10/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 11/1 Bet365
7 Falcon Nine 9/2 open 3.75 4/1 open 4.00 5/1 open 3.75 5/1 open 3.75 11/2 open 3.75 5/1 open 4.00 11/2 William Hill
8 Princess Niyla 16/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 21.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 open 17.00 16/1 Bet365
9 Motawaared 5/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.50 5/1 open 8.00 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 Bet365
10 Miners Gamble 13/2 open 8.50 6/1 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 8.50 13/2 Bet365
11 Langton Wold 66/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 34.00 80/1 open 67.00 80/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Runninsonofagun

Speculative

Runninsonofagun owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (39) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Tristan Davidson Jason Hart
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Miners Gamble

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Brian Ellison
✓ Value Signal

Simple Star

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Gary Rutherford
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +14.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Runninsonofagun
54.1 3/1
2 10. Miners Gamble
48.7 13/2
3 1. Yermanthere
47.7 11/2
4 9. Motawaared
46.7 5/1
5 7. Falcon Nine
46.4 9/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Runninsonofagun
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 4 · 9-12
3/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 6 · 9-4
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 65 🐾

SR 65 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 4 · 9-2
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 8 · 10-0
11/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 8-10
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 5 · 9-7
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-5
11/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

3
Age 6 · 9-12
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 9-2
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Runninsonofagun
Confidence: Speculative

Runninsonofagun (SR:70, 4/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and carries a workable 9-12, giving him a 2lb pull on top-weight Yermanthere (SR:71 but drifted massively at 37% out). The market has backed him in 19% since opening — money moving with purpose — and Jason Hart (14% strike rate from 1,330 rides) is a strong booking. He has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) at today's trip of just over a mile, and while his GoingFit is only moderate (~), good ground is far from an obstacle. His form line of 513226 shows consistency at this level with no dramatic flop, and at Class 5 with a ClassMv:= he faces exactly the class he has been operating in, removing any step-up uncertainty. Each-way alternative: Falcon Nine. Main danger: Yermanthere — Yermanthere holds the joint-top SR (71) and gets a class drop (↓1) on good going where he is proven (GoingFit:+), and despite the alarming 37% drift — which reflects the MarkMv:+5 and distance concerns — if the early market was wrong and connections are confident, he retains the raw ability to win.

Case against 4 clamped
  • His last three runs show a declining sequence of 2-2-6 — the latest effort was a sixth, and he has not won in six starts, suggesting he may be a consistent placer rather than a winner.
  • GoingFit only moderate (~) at Musselburgh on good ground today; Falcon Nine (SR:65, 4/1) has demonstrated stronger course suitability with multiple placed efforts at this track and carries 8lb less.
  • Ran just 7 days ago — a very quick turnaround — raising fitness/recovery questions, especially as that recent run produced his worst form figure (6th) in the sequence.
  • Trainer Tristan Davidson's 18% strike rate comes from only 136 rides, a small sample; at Musselburgh specifically there is no course record noted, contrasting with rivals who have proven track form.
Shortlist Runninsonofagun, Yermanthere, Falcon Nine, Motawaared
Each-way: Falcon Nine Danger: Yermanthere

🗺 The Course Class 5

1m0f208y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
11 Confirmed runners
Musselburgh Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade