Hollymount Nursing Home Handicap Hurdle · 2m2f60y
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 92 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Manoir De Mirande | 7/2 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 open 3.50 | 4/1 Paddy Power |
| 2 O'Grady Cracker | 5/4 open 2.10 | 5/4 open 2.50 | 5/4 open 2.38 | 5/4 open 2.38 | 5/4 open 2.38 | 5/4 open 2.38 | 5/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Houndsworth | 8/1 open 13.00 | 7/1 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 9.50 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 4 William F Browne | 20/1 open 19.00 | 18/1 open 12.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Ocean Murphy | 5/2 open 5.50 | 9/4 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 open 4.00 | 5/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Nile Star | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
O'Grady Cracker owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 106 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 118 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 92 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Ocean Murphy (SR:106, 11/4) is the pick. The 12% market steam is the standout signal in this field — money is moving with purpose and the market is rarely wrong at this level without a reason. Darragh O'Keeffe (14% career strike rate, 909 runners) is a significant booking upgrade over the journeymen riders elsewhere. The form string 74-912 shows a last-time-out second and the race before a win, confirming peak current form, and a GoingFit:~ on good ground is workable rather than prohibitive. Carrying only 10-4 gives a meaningful weight advantage over top-weighted Manoir De Mirande (11-12) despite the SR gap, and MarkMv:+6 is a modest enough rise not to be a dealbreaker given the trajectory. Each-way alternative: Manoir De Mirande. Main danger: O'Grady Cracker — O'Grady Cracker (SR:111, 6/4) is top-rated, brings J J Slevin who is a significant jockey, and a last-two-run form of 1-1 is compelling recent form — though the MarkMv:+13 rise and GoingFit:? introduce enough risk to keep it off the top spot.