Donnie Devito has been a model of consistency, finishing third three times and second once in his last five starts, and has experience of today's distance and going — the chief concern is that seventh last time out suggests he may need to bounce back sharply carrying 166 lb.
Form last 6323-37
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
111SR120RPR120OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Fou De Toi also carries a hefty 166 lb, making him hard to fancy despite having experience of today's distance and going and a trainer firing at 28% over the past fortnight.
Form last 643P-27
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
92SR105RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 92 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Jeroboam Machin has been a model of consistency in recent starts, finishing second last time out and third two starts back, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions; carrying 166 lb is the chief concern for a gelding yet to win in his last four outings.
Form last 6/8-432
★AI Rating★★★★☆
120SR123RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 11-12 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Kevin's Pride won four starts back but has finished fourth, fifth, and fourth in his three most recent outings, suggesting he's finding rivals tough to pass of late; the 45-day break and experience over today's trip and going give him a fighting chance at a rating of 115.
Form last 6/14-54
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
91SR115RPR119OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 91 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Maverick Mack has endured a wretched recent sequence — pulled up, brought down, and unseated in his last three starts — and ranked eighth of nine on our figures he faces a stiff task, though going experience and a win two starts earlier offer slim encouragement.
Form last 613U-BP
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR106RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
Mickie Angel has been in fine fettle of late, placing third last time out and third two starts back, with a second three starts back bolstering a consistent profile; he carries 166 lb on ground and over a trip he has experience of, and at 16 days fresh, conditions look ideal despite being yet to score in recent starts.
Form last 626-233
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
113SR118RPR120OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Rusty Harkness has experience of today's trip and going, and his recent form includes a win last time out plus a couple of placed efforts, but a rating of 112 leaves him ranked seventh of nine and he faces a stiff task at this weight of 166 lb.
Form last 6325-21
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
116SR113RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Slurricane arrives on the back of going experience and a solid rating of 119 that ranks him third among the nine runners, making him a genuine threat despite being winless in his last five starts; the main concern is a heavy weight of 166 lb.
Form last 67309-0
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
89SR119RPR—OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 89 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts, Jolie Jewel at least shows some placed form, with a second two starts back and a third three starts back, and she has experience of today's distance and going; the 159 lb burden, however, is a stiff ask if she is to reverse that recent slide.
Form last 606-326
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
105SR114RPR114OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Donnie Devito owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
13/2Ross O'SullivanDanny Gilligan
66%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Jeroboam Machin
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
5/2 · Emmet Mullins✓ Value Signal
Maverick Mack
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
40/1 · Gordon Elliott◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Jeroboam Machin leads the field on SR (120) by a clear margin over the next best, carries the same 11-12 as all bar Jolie Jewel, and GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground. Emmet Mullins at 11% from 311 runners is a competent handler for a beginner chaser, and Donagh Meyler's 12% strike rate is respectable. The 9/4 market has him as a clear favourite and his recent form of 4-3-2 shows consistent effort — including a place behind likely better horses — which is exactly the profile to build on over fences for the first time at this level. Rusty Harkness is the credible danger but Jeroboam Machin's 4-SR-point advantage and ground confirmation tip the balance.
Each-way alternative: Rusty Harkness.
Main danger: Rusty Harkness — Rusty Harkness (SR:116, 3/1) has shortened 9% in the market, is trained by the in-form Henry De Bromhead (14% strike rate from 1,060 runners), partnered by Darragh O'Keeffe who matches at 14%, and his last-time-out form of 2-1 shows he is arriving in peak condition — the market money is real and he is only 4 SR points behind the selection.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Jeroboam Machin's form reads /8-432 — the slash indicates a chase debut today, so no jumping evidence over fences; a 7yo novice chaser making his first start over fences is a genuine risk regardless…
Trainer Emmet Mullins hits only 11% from 311 runners — well below Henry De Bromhead's 14% (1060 runners) behind Rusty Harkness, who is market-supported (in 9%) vs no market move flagged for Jeroboam…
Rusty Harkness (SR:116) shows a recent winning run (form 325-21) and is freshening up at 31 days with proven form, while Jeroboam Machin's last three are 4-3-2 — consistent placing but no win, a conc…
Mickie Angel (SR:113) is just 16 days since last run, likely fitter on the day, trained by a yard with course familiarity, and drifting only modestly at 9/2 — a credible threat that could lead and st…