Irish Stallion Farms EBF Give Thanks Stakes (Group 3) · 1m4f0y
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 105 backed by market confidence at 5/2 — a genuine contender.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 95 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 60 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Ankara | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Bosphorus Rose | 11/4 open 3.50 | — | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 5/2 open 3.25 | 11/4 Bet365 |
| 3 Nyra | 4/1 | — | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Snapretend | 33/1 open 23.00 | — | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 33/1 open 26.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Amelia Earhart | 4/1 open 4.33 | — | 7/2 | 7/2 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 4/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Believed | 7/2 open 5.00 | — | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 9/2 | 9/2 Betfred |
| 7 Cameo | 14/1 open 10.00 | — | 14/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 14/1 open 8.50 | 14/1 open 8.50 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Caught U Sleeping | 6/1 | — | 11/2 | 11/2 | 11/2 | 5/1 open 6.50 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Ice Dancer | 66/1 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | — | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Amelia Earhart owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (61) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 105 backed by market confidence at 5/2 — a genuine contender.
SR 105 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 8-13 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 95 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Bosphorus Rose (SR 105, 5/2) is the only runner in the field with confirmed DistFit:+ AND GoingFit:+ for today's 1m4f on good ground, giving her a substantial empirical edge over rivals who are either unproven at the trip or poor on the going. Her recent form of 630-31 shows a last-time-out win, she runs at ClassMv:= meaning no step up in class, and trainer P Twomey (24% career strike rate, 232 runners) is one of Ireland's most efficient operators. While the market has drifted 6% (Mkt:out6%), this is a modest drift compared to the 10-60% moves against the clear outsiders, and at 5/2 the price is still market-leading for good reason. The slight drift may reflect the absence of Ryan Moore or DBM in the saddle, but W J Lee (15%, 764 runners) is a capable booking and the course-and-distance fitness profile is the decisive factor in a field where most rivals carry DistFit:? or GoingFit:?. Each-way alternative: Caught U Sleeping. Main danger: Nyra — Nyra (SR 109, 7/2) has steamed in 18% in the market — the strongest move in the field — with DBM booked and Joseph Patrick O'Brien's clear stable number-one signal, and though DistFit and GoingFit are unproven, that level of market confidence suggests connections believe the step to 1m4f on good ground suits her.