Betfred 'Play Fred's £5 Million' Handicap Stakes · 1m2f17y
SR 63 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
SR 24 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 31 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 25 suggests ability but 40/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Time To Sparkle | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Mrembo | 10/3 open 8.00 | — | 3/1 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.50 | 11/4 open 6.00 | 11/4 open 5.50 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 2 Gretna Dreams | 10/3 open 8.00 | — | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.75 | 4/1 open 3.00 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 4/1 Coral |
| 3 Offiah's Boy | 7/2 open 2.63 | — | 7/2 open 3.00 | 7/2 open 3.00 | 7/2 open 3.25 | 7/2 open 3.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Haveagobeau | 13/2 open 5.00 | — | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Celtic Spirit | 17/2 open 7.50 | — | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 15/2 | 15/2 open 8.00 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Pangbourne | 10/1 open 17.00 | — | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 12.00 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 8 All About George | 12/1 open 10.00 | — | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Lady Margret | 50/1 open 41.00 | — | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 40/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Private Project | 25/1 open 21.00 | — | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 open 21.00 | 22/1 | 22/1 | 25/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Cormorant Rock | 40/1 open 21.00 | — | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 26.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 open 29.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Mrembo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (35) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 63 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 53 suggests ability but 10/3 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 3/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 58 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 48 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Mrembo (SR:63, 10/3) is the clear class leader in this field and the market has reinforced that view with a significant 32% inward move — the strongest Mkt:in signal in the race. Dropping one class (ClassMv:↓1) from a recent mark that remains unchanged (MarkMv:=) means connections are targeting this race rather than running her into tougher company. Hector Crouch (17% career SR, 800 runners) is the best jockey booking in the field, and at 9-12 she carries manageable weight in a Class 6 field where most rivals are below SR:60. The moderate DistFit:~ and GoingFit:~ are the only caveats, but against this quality of opposition they are not dealbreakers. Each-way alternative: Haveagobeau. Main danger: Haveagobeau — Haveagobeau (SR:58, 9/2) has a proven win on his recent form (Form:215521), drops one class (ClassMv:↓1), has shown up at this course before (Course:W0P1), and carries a favourable 9-8 weight — his 7% inward market move suggests quiet yard confidence despite the concerning GoingFit:-.