Newmarket (July) 19:37 RESULTED
Class 3 14 Aug 2026

Friday 14 August Racing TV Handicap Stakes

Racing TV Handicap Stakes · 1m0f0y

Official Result

Racing TV Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Principality (IRE) Kaiya Fraser · Harry Eustace
    7/1
  2. 6/1
  3. 16/1
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Storm Star silks
Storm Star
Age 5 · 10-2
-66020
95
86
98
5
10-2
13/2 15/2 11/2
Storm Star shaped with promise when second two starts back and his experience over today's trip and going counts in his favour, but he has been winless in recent starts and the 57-day absence is the chief concern.
AI verdict

SR 86 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Hickory silks
Hickory
Age 8 · 10-2
-06061
95
90
95
8
10-2
7/1 3/1 7/1
Hickory arrives on the back of a win last time out and looks well-placed to go again, handling both today's trip and going with experience to call upon; the main concern is that his recent record shows some inconsistency, with four defeats in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Tuscan Hills silks
Tuscan Hills
Age 4 · 10-0
6-0055
93
88
94
4
10-0
5/1 11/2 9/2
Tuscan Hills has run over today's trip and going before, and a 13-day turnaround keeps him fresh; winless in his last five starts, a fifth last time out at least shows consistency, and 140 lb from stall three gives him a workable weight and draw to build on.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
God Of War silks
God Of War
Age 4 · 9-12
0-4405
91
83
94
4
9-12
6/1 7/1 11/2
Winless in his last five starts and absent for 100 days, God Of War faces questions on freshness, though he has run over today's distance and going and a rating of 94 offers mild encouragement from stall ten carrying 138 lb.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Sterling Knight silks
Sterling Knight
Age 7 · 9-11
310037
90
74
93
7
9-11
14/1 16/1 12/1
Sterling Knight shaped with promise when third two starts back, but was unplaced either side of that effort and could manage only seventh last time out; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a rating of 93 gives him a chance off 137 lb from stall four.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Principality silks
Principality
Age 4 · 9-10
45-015
89
84
90
4
9-10
8/1 11/2 15/2
Principality won two starts back but has been out of the frame since, and 70 days off the track raises a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going, and carries 136 lb from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Zarathos silks
Zarathos
Age 4 · 9-9
411250
88
89
89
4
9-9
7/1 17/2 6/1
Zarathos comes into this unplaced last time out and ranks eighth of ten on our figures, making him hard to fancy at the weights. He does arrive fit on a 16-day turnaround, has experience over today's trip and going, and back-to-back wins four and five starts back show ability, but recent form makes appeal difficult.
AI verdict

SR 89 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Croupier silks
Croupier
Age 7 · 9-9
2/0903
88
89
99
7
9-9
13/2 5/1 6/1
Croupier shaped well when third last time out and that placed effort, combined with his experience over today's trip and going, makes him a leading threat under 135 lb; the main concern is that he remains yet to win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Brocklesby Bill silks
Brocklesby Bill
Age 3 · 8-13
01241
85
90
76
3
8-13
8/1 6/1 8/1
Ranked bottom of ten on our figures, Brocklesby Bill faces a stiff task under 125 lb from stall nine, yet he has run over today's trip and going before and arrives in fair nick with two wins in his last five starts, including a win last time out.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Mythical Guest silks
Mythical Guest
Age 6 · 8-13
-09934
78
70
86
6
8-13
18/1 9/1 18/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked ninth of ten on our figures, Mythical Guest faces a stiff ask here, though a third two starts back and experience over today's trip and going offer slim encouragement; drawn in stall two and back after 27 days.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Storm Star 13/2 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.00 6/1 open 9.00 11/2 open 8.50 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 Bet365
2 Hickory 7/1 open 4.00 8/1 open 4.50 8/1 open 4.50 17/2 open 4.50 17/2 open 5.00 17/2 William Hill
3 Tuscan Hills 5/1 open 9.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
4 God Of War 6/1 open 8.50 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 9.00 6/1 Bet365
5 Sterling Knight 14/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 17.00 14/1 Bet365
6 Principality 8/1 open 6.50 8/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.00 17/2 William Hill
7 Zarathos 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.50 7/1 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.50 7/1 Bet365
8 Croupier 13/2 open 8.00 6/1 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.00 6/1 open 6.00 13/2 Bet365
9 Brocklesby Bill 8/1 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 10/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.00 10/1 William Hill
10 Mythical Guest 18/1 open 10.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 Coral

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Hickory

Speculative

Hickory owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (68). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/1 Jamie Osborne William Carver
63% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Croupier

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith
✓ Value Signal

Sterling Knight

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

14/1 · Ed Dunlop
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
68 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +14.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
55 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.5 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Hickory
54.6 7/1
2 8. Croupier
54.6 13/2
3 3. Tuscan Hills
54.2 5/1
4 1. Storm Star
51.5 13/2
5 9. Brocklesby Bill
51.4 8/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Tuscan Hills
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 10-0
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-12
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 10-2
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 86 🐾

SR 86 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 7 · 9-9
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 8 · 10-2
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 9-9
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 4 · 9-10
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 8-13
8/1
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 7 · 9-11
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 6 · 8-13
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Tuscan Hills
Confidence: Speculative

Tuscan Hills (SR 88, 4/1, 10-0) is the standout selection on the convergence of a significant market move — steaming in 23% — combined with a favourable weight allocation and a class drop. At 10-0 the weight is manageable, and the DistFit:? and GoingFit:? unknowns are offset by the fact that a 4yo trained by Nigel Tinkler with Rob Hornby booked is a meaningful yard-jockey combination. Crucially, a 23% market move in a 10-runner Class 3 handicap is not coincidence — connections are clearly confident. The form string 6-0055 is unimpressive on the surface but the class drop of one tier means previous efforts came in tougher company, and the recent run 13 days ago keeps the horse race-fit. Each-way alternative: Brocklesby Bill. Main danger: Brocklesby Bill — Brocklesby Bill (SR 90, 15/2, 8-13) is the joint-highest SR in the field, carries the lightest weight at 8-13, has a DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ confirmed — the only runner with both distance and going proven — and a form string of 01241 is consistent; the drift of 19% is the one concern, likely reflecting the class rise and a small trainer sample (Kathy Turner, 27% strike rate from just 22 runners).

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form string 6-0055 shows Tuscan Hills has not posted a top-3 finish in five consecutive starts; even dropping a class tier, there is no recent evidence of a competitive effort to build confidence on.
  • Nigel Tinkler's yard strike rate is only 10% — below the field average — and Rob Hornby's 12% gives a combined probability that is modest for a horse being backed into 4/1 favouritism.
  • Zarathos (SR 89) and Croupier (SR 89) both carry superior Speed Ratings and lower weights (9-9), giving them a meaningful combined ratings-and-weight edge over Tuscan Hills at 10-0 in this handicap.
  • The 23% market move brings Tuscan Hills to 4/1 as joint-shortest in the field, yet Hickory's significant drift (out 36%) and Brocklesby Bill's positive recent form (01241, 3yo allowance, 27% trainer…
Shortlist Tuscan Hills, Brocklesby Bill, Hickory, Zarathos
Each-way: Brocklesby Bill Danger: Brocklesby Bill

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m0f0y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Newmarket (July) Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade