Thirsk 20:20 RESULTED
Class 6 14 Aug 2026

Friday 14 August Birra Moretti Handicap Stakes

Birra Moretti Handicap Stakes · 1m4f8y

Official Result

Birra Moretti Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Recobella (FR) Tom Kiely-Marshall · Philip Kirby
    3/1
  2. 2/7F
  3. 20/1
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
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Settled
  • 3 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Prince Achille silks
Prince Achille
Age 7 · 9-10
4-4578
62
52
69
7
9-10
16/1 14/1 16/1
Prince Achille rates ahead of his rivals on our figures and has experience of today's trip and conditions, making him a live threat despite carrying 136 lb; the concern is he is winless in his last five starts and returns after 148 days off.
AI verdict

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

2
Halimede silks
Halimede
Age 3 · 9-9
98811
59
75
63
3
9-9
3/10 1/4 5/17
Halimede arrives on the back of back-to-back wins and, with only six days between runs, fitness is not in question; she has run over today's trip and her overall profile makes her our pick despite carrying 135 lb.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Recobella silks
Recobella
Age 5 · 9-4
352512
56
69
58
5
9-4
10/3 10/3 3/1
Recobella ran a fine second last time out and was a winner two starts back, showing she retains form, and her experience over today's trip and going underlines her claims; the main risk is the quick four-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Prince Achille 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 open 15.00 16/1 Bet365
2 Halimede 3/10 open 1.25 2/7 open 1.25 2/7 open 1.25 3/10 open 1.25 2/7 open 1.25 3/10 Bet365
3 Recobella 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 10/3 10/3 3/1 open 4.33 10/3 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Halimede

Speculative

Halimede owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (42) and market confidence (99). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/10 Sir Mark Prescott Bt Luke Morris
82% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Recobella

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

10/3 · Philip Kirby
✓ Value Signal

Prince Achille

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

16/1 · Jedd O'Keeffe
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.8 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
99 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
31 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +5.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 3 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Halimede
55.1 3/10
2 3. Recobella
47.7 10/3
3 1. Prince Achille
40.9 16/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Halimede
High

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-9
3/10
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 5 · 9-4
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 9-10
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 52 🐾

SR 52 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

Drifters Drifted — market cooling

No drifters in this race.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Halimede
Confidence: High

Halimede (SR 75, 3/10) is the standout on every meaningful metric in this tiny 3-runner field. The SR of 75 towers over Prince Achille's 52 and Recobella's 69, and the recent form string 98811 — read right-to-left — shows two consecutive wins going into today, confirming peak current form. Sir Mark Prescott (19% career strike rate, 297 runners) is one of the shrewdest operators in British racing and routinely targets small fields for progressive horses on the way up. At 9-9 Halimede carries only 5lb more than Recobella, a trivial burden given the SR advantage; the 6-day turnaround from Prescott is a deliberate placement, not a concern. Each-way alternative: Recobella. Main danger: Recobella — Recobella (SR 69, 10/3) carries only 9-4, has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and her form string 352512 shows a place last time — she is a genuine each-way threat who could capitalise if Halimede's quick 6-day turnaround leaves her below peak.

Case against 4
  • Recobella (SR 69) ran just 4 days ago so is race-sharp and on a hot recent rhythm (352512), and at 9-4 carries 5lb less than Halimede — that weight concession is non-trivial in a three-runner heat wh…
  • Halimede's SR of 75 is built on wins likely gained in weaker or more favourable conditions; a 3-year-old stepping up against a proven 5-year-old who ran competitively only 4 days ago is not the walko…
  • Market is flat (MarkMv:=) despite the horse being odds-on at 3/10 — no significant support or late confidence from connections, which is mildly suspicious for a Prescott horse he supposedly targets d…
  • Luke Morris's 11% strike rate across 1423 rides reflects a journeyman book; in a race where Halimede is expected to win easily, any riding error or traffic issue (even in three runners) is magnified…
Shortlist Halimede, Recobella, Prince Achille
Each-way: Recobella Danger: Recobella

🗺 The Course Class 6

1m4f8y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
3 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade