Newbury 16:45 RESULTED
Class 2 14 Aug 2026

Friday 14 August BetVictor Watch Weekend Winners EBF Fillies' Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)

BetVictor Watch Weekend Winners EBF Fillies' Conditions Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

Official Result

BetVictor Watch Weekend Winners EBF Fillies' Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Evenfall (GB) Billy Loughnane · George Boughey
    6/5F
  2. 11/8
  3. 11/2
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Coat Of Red silks
Coat Of Red
Age 2 · 9-6
41
80
79
83
2
9-6
15/2 8/1 7/1
Coat Of Red won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, so conditions hold no fears; a trainer firing at 30% in the last fortnight and a swift 16-day turnaround add plenty of confidence, making her the one to beat here.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Evenfall silks
Evenfall
Age 2 · 9-6
1
78
66
2
9-6
4/5 5/6 4/5
Rated fifth of six on our figures, Evenfall is hard to fancy at these weights despite winning last time out twenty-two days ago; she has run over today's trip and going before, which offers some small comfort.
AI verdict

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Ferrystream silks
Ferrystream
Age 2 · 9-6
1
72
76
2
9-6
16/1 10/1 16/1
Ferrystream arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience of both today's trip and going, giving her a solid fitness and form platform; the concern is that 132 lb is a stiff weight to overcome against this field.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Sorrengail silks
Sorrengail
Age 2 · 9-6
41
87
79
2
9-6
15/8 3/2 32/17
Sorrengail won last time out and has run over today's trip and going, arriving fresh on 21 days' rest with a trainer firing at 42% — she's a clear threat from stall 3, though that fourth two starts back is the one note of caution.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Spirit Of Lyra silks
Spirit Of Lyra
Age 2 · 9-6
41
81
63
71
2
9-6
SP FCST 15/2
Spirit Of Lyra won last time out and returns on a quick 20-day turnaround with distance and going experience to call on, but her our rating of 71 leaves her with something to find against the top-rated runners, and the burden of 132 lb is the key risk.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Nonrem silks
Nonrem
Age 2 · 9-2
6
31
52
2
9-2
66/1 33/1 50/1
Winless in recent starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Nonrem is hard to fancy on her return from 103 days off, though she has run over today's trip and going before and a freshened-up performance cannot be entirely ruled out.
AI verdict

SR 31 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Coat Of Red 15/2 open 9.50 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 15/2 Bet365
2 Evenfall 4/5 open 2.00 4/5 open 1.83 4/5 open 1.83 4/5 open 1.91 4/5 open 1.91 4/5 Bet365
3 Ferrystream 16/1 open 11.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 open 12.00 18/1 Coral
4 Sorrengail 15/8 open 3.25 15/8 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.50 15/8 open 2.63 15/8 open 2.50 15/8 Bet365
5 Spirit Of Lyra 15/2 15/2 Bet365
6 Nonrem 66/1 open 41.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 50/1 open 34.00 66/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Sorrengail

Speculative

Sorrengail owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (48) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

15/8 Charlie Appleby William Buick
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Coat Of Red

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

15/2 · Simon & Ed Crisford
✓ Value Signal

Nonrem

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Brian Meehan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +18.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.1 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Sorrengail
52.7 15/8
2 1. Coat Of Red
52.1 15/2
3 2. Evenfall
51.2 4/5
4 5. Spirit Of Lyra
42.5 -
5 3. Ferrystream
40.8 16/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sorrengail
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 2 · 9-6
4/5
★★★☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-6
15/8
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 2 · 9-6
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 2 · 9-6
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sorrengail
Confidence: Speculative

Sorrengail (SR:87) is the highest-rated runner in this field by a clear margin — 8 points clear of Evenfall (SR:78) — and carries Charlie Appleby's powerful 30% strike rate stable with William Buick in the saddle. The 4-1 form (fourth then first) shows an improver who has already broken through at a lower tier and now steps up one class, which is a manageable ask compared to the two-class jumps faced by rivals. The slight market drift of 8% is the only concern, but at 15/8 the combination of top SR, elite connections, and a progressive form profile makes this the standout selection. Evenfall is the obvious danger at 4/5 favourite, but its single run form line and 9-point SR deficit to Sorrengail mean the favourite is overpriced on raw ability. Each-way alternative: Coat Of Red. Main danger: Evenfall — Evenfall is the 4/5 favourite with a 7% market steamers and Boughey/Loughnane is a sharp combination — the single winning run may have been achieved with significant ability in hand that the SR of 78 does not fully capture, making it a genuine threat to Sorrengail despite the rating gap.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Sorrengail's form line reads 4-1: the fourth place finish means it needed one run to find its feet, and now faces Evenfall who won on debut with a visually impressive display — debutants who win ofte…
  • Evenfall is shortening (in 7%) while Sorrengail is drifting out 8% at Newbury today — the market, which has seen both horses' morning gallops and stable whispers, is actively moving money away from S…
  • Sorrengail's SR:87 was earned at a lower tier; stepping up one class at Newbury's stiff, galloping 7f track may not suit if its win came on a sharper, turning track where it could utilise tactical sp…
  • At 15/8 against a 4/5 shot, Sorrengail offers little value edge if Evenfall's single-run form is genuinely high-class — George Boughey's 18% strike rate and Billy Loughnane's 19% are competitive, and…
Shortlist Sorrengail, Evenfall, Coat Of Red
Each-way: Coat Of Red Danger: Evenfall

🗺 The Course Class 2

6f Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Newbury Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade