Irish Stallion Farms EBF Firville Stakes (Listed) · 0m7f0y
SR 56 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 55 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 26 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 56 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 62 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Alpine Wedding | 22/1 | — | 20/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 20/1 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Alwaysanangel | 11/8 | — | 11/8 open 2.10 | 11/8 open 2.10 | 11/8 open 2.10 | 11/8 | 11/8 Bet365 |
| 3 Beibhinn | 20/1 open 15.00 | — | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Celtic Moon | 100/1 open 81.00 | — | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Damsel In Distress | 40/1 open 34.00 | — | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 29.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Film Set | 50/1 open 41.00 | — | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 open 34.00 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Madam Secretary | 13/2 open 6.50 | — | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 6/1 open 6.50 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 8 Maeda Matsu | 33/1 | — | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 | — | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Maire Rua | 13/8 | — | 7/4 | 7/4 | 7/4 | 7/4 | 7/4 Coral |
| 10 Nevermindtherain | 8/1 open 12.00 | — | 7/1 open 12.00 | 7/1 open 12.00 | 7/1 open 12.00 | 7/1 open 12.00 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 11 Shi Yang | 50/1 open 67.00 | — | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 | 50/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Maire Rua owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (49) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 77 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Alwaysanangel (SR:96, 6/4) is the highest-rated filly in the field by a clear margin and ran a strong 1-3 form sequence culminating in a win last time out, confirming she arrives at peak form. Dylan Browne McMonagle is a high-volume jockey with significant Listed/Pattern experience and retains the ride. The 11% market drift is a concern and must be acknowledged — however, in a field where no rival exceeds SR:93, her ability edge is sufficient to override it; the drift may reflect market recycling toward Maire Rua rather than a genuine negative signal about Alwaysanangel's wellbeing. Joseph Patrick O'Brien has Beibhinn (SR:77, Mkt:out51%) as the stable's clear second string, confirming Alwaysanangel as yard #1 with the superior jockey and rating. Each-way alternative: Maire Rua. Main danger: Maire Rua — Maire Rua (SR:89, 13/8) won her sole start impressively enough to attract a 13/8 market quote and the Colin Keane booking from the powerful G M Lyons yard — she is unbeaten and completely unexposed, meaning her ceiling is unknown and she could comfortably be rated higher than her current SR suggests.