Epsom 15:23 RESULTED
Class 3 14 Aug 2026

Friday 14 August Betfred 'Bet Builder' EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Betfred 'Bet Builder' EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 0m7f3y

Official Result

Betfred 'Bet Builder' EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Tansy Lane (GB) Kieran Shoemark · James Owen
    8/13F
  2. 25/1
  3. 15/8
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Tiora Time silks
Tiora Time
Age 2 · 9-6
312
75
68
75OR
2
9-6
SP 4/5 5/6
SR 68 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 68 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Desert Symphony silks
Desert Symphony
Age 2 · 9-2
89
138
2
9-2
20/1 28/1 20/1
SR 138 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 138 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Diplomata silks
Diplomata
Age 2 · 9-2
45
158
2
9-2
5/2 11/2 5/2
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Secret Flite silks
Secret Flite
Age 2 · 9-2
95
152
2
9-2
6/1 15/2 11/2
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Tansy Lane silks
Tansy Lane
Age 2 · 9-2
67
158
2
9-2
8/11 8/11 8/13
Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Tiora Time 10/11 open 2.00 5/6 open 1.80 5/6 open 1.80 5/6 5/6 open 1.80 10/11 Bet365
2 Desert Symphony 20/1 open 29.00 20/1 open 51.00 20/1 open 51.00 20/1 open 51.00 20/1 open 51.00 20/1 Bet365
3 Diplomata 5/2 open 8.00 5/2 open 6.50 5/2 open 6.50 5/2 open 6.50 5/2 open 6.50 5/2 Bet365
4 Secret Flite 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 10.00 11/2 open 10.00 6/1 Bet365
5 Tansy Lane 8/11 open 2.88 8/11 open 3.00 8/11 open 3.00 4/6 open 3.00 8/13 open 1.73 8/11 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Diplomata

High conviction

Diplomata owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (88) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 William Haggas David Probert
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Tansy Lane

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/11 · James Owen
✓ Value Signal

Desert Symphony

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Jim Boyle
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +33.4 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.6 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Diplomata
73.0 5/2
2 5. Tansy Lane
71.4 8/11
3 4. Secret Flite
67.4 6/1
4 2. Desert Symphony
53.6 20/1
5 1. Tiora Time
46.3 -
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Diplomata
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

5
Age 2 · 9-2
8/11
★★★★☆ SR 158 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 2 · 9-2
5/2
★★★★☆ SR 158 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 2 · 9-2
6/1
★★★★☆ SR 152 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-2 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-2
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 138 🐾

SR 138 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

Steamers Shortened — market backing

No steamers in this race.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Diplomata
Confidence: Speculative

Diplomata (SR 158, 9/4) matches Tansy Lane on SR but offers significantly better market value and the strongest market move in the race — shortening 52% from opening, indicating sharp money on the William Haggas yard's representative. Haggas is the standout trainer in the field at 21% strike rate (1,063 runners), comfortably ahead of James Owen (17%) and well clear of the others. The form figures of 4-5 suggest she is still improving and learning her trade, typical of a progressive Haggas juvenile. Tansy Lane (SR 158, 4/5) is the only comparable talent but the market has installed her at a skinny price with a 35-day layoff, whereas Diplomata's 52% steam with a more recent 21-day prep makes her the value call. Each-way alternative: Secret Flite. Main danger: Tansy Lane — Tansy Lane matches Diplomata on SR 158, is the market leader at 4/5 with 36% market support, and the James Owen yard at 17% strike rate represents a capable operation — if she has trained on well during the 35-day break she is fully capable of winning.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Diplomata's form figures of 4-5 mean she has never won a race — she is being asked to break her maiden against a horse (Tansy Lane SR 158) who has already demonstrated a higher ceiling in prior runs.
  • Jockey David Probert posts only a 10% strike rate (773 runners), notably weaker than Tansy Lane's Kieran Shoemark (12%, 987) — at this level the rider edge matters and Probert is the inferior booking.
  • Secret Flite (SR 152, 11/2) has raced more recently (15 days) and is also steaming in (32%), meaning Diplomata faces two market movers — the 'steam' narrative is diluted and does not isolate her as t…
  • Tansy Lane's 36% market move combined with a top-tier trainer (James Owen 17%) and the race's highest-strike-rate jockey (Shoemark 12%) means the favourite's case is materially stronger than the odds…
Shortlist Diplomata, Tansy Lane, Secret Flite
Each-way: Secret Flite Danger: Tansy Lane

🗺 The Course Class 3

0m7f3y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Epsom Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade