Thirsk 19:18 RESULTED
Class 4 14 Aug 2026

Friday 14 August Andrew Seaton Celebration Cup Handicap Stakes

Andrew Seaton Celebration Cup Handicap Stakes · 0m7f0y

Official Result

Andrew Seaton Celebration Cup Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Raging Raj (IRE) Tom Eaves · Michael Herrington
    10/1
  2. 5/6F
  3. 22/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Enchant silks
Enchant
Age 3 · 9-10
1-6
81
77
71
3
9-10
4/1
Returned a winner two starts back but sixth last time out, and our figures put her well below the level required here; the 61-day absence adds further doubt, though she has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Return Of The Gods silks
Return Of The Gods
Age 3 · 9-8
1-8214
79
91
82
3
9-8
6/4 7/4 3/2
Winner two starts back and a close second three starts back, Return Of The Gods arrives fit on a 20-day break with experience over today's trip and the backing of a trainer firing at 31% in the past fortnight; the fourth last time out is a minor query, but his overall profile makes him the one to side with here.
AI verdict

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Zarvali silks
Zarvali
Age 3 · 9-7
-16370
78
82
83
3
9-7
15/2 15/2 7/1
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Substance silks
Substance
Age 3 · 9-5
6-4103
76
75
83
3
9-5
22/1 10/1 20/1
Substance landed a win three starts back and franked that with a third last time out, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions; the main risk is a 70-day absence returning fresh on 131 lb.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Raging Raj silks
Raging Raj
Age 3 · 9-4
-76315
75
77
78
3
9-4
13/2 8/1 13/2
Raging Raj has the experience of today's trip and conditions in his favour, and a winner two starts back shows he can find the track, but a fifth last time out and 130 lb to carry are the checks on expectations here.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Shadow Run silks
Shadow Run
Age 3 · 9-1
6-2402
72
72
81
3
9-1
14/1 15/2 12/1
Shadow Run has been placed twice in his last five starts — second last time out and a second four starts back — and he steps up with experience over today's trip and going under 127 lb, yet winless in recent starts remains the concern.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Derrygarran Lad silks
Derrygarran Lad
Age 3 · 9-0
322
71
71
69
3
9-0
9/1 9/2 17/2
Winless in his last three starts despite a pair of seconds and a third, Derrygarran Lad finds himself ranked bottom on our figures here, and with a speed rating of 64 he faces a stiff ask, though he has run over today's trip before and returns 26 days fresh.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Indefensible silks
Indefensible
Age 3 · 9-0
725331
71
75
75
3
9-0
14/1 9/2 11/1
Indefensible won last time out and has run over today's distance and going before, giving him solid claims, though he has been third on two of his last three starts and our rating ranks him sixth of eight in this field.
AI verdict

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Enchant 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 4/1 Bet365
2 Return Of The Gods 6/4 open 4.00 6/4 open 2.75 6/4 open 2.75 6/4 open 2.75 6/4 open 2.75 6/4 Bet365
3 Zarvali 15/2 open 15.00 7/1 open 9.00 7/1 open 9.00 15/2 15/2 open 9.00 15/2 Bet365
4 Substance 22/1 open 11.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 15.00 22/1 Bet365
5 Raging Raj 13/2 open 9.00 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 open 9.50 13/2 Bet365
6 Shadow Run 14/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 9.50 14/1 Bet365
7 Derrygarran Lad 9/1 open 5.50 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 17/2 open 6.00 9/1 open 6.00 9/1 Bet365
8 Indefensible 14/1 open 5.50 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 6.50 14/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Return Of The Gods

Speculative

Return Of The Gods owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (51) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/4 Edward Bethell Daniel Tudhope
76% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Raging Raj

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

13/2 · Michael Herrington
✓ Value Signal

Substance

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

22/1 · Mark Walford
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Return Of The Gods
57.9 6/4
2 5. Raging Raj
53.1 13/2
3 3. Zarvali
51.8 15/2
4 1. Enchant
51.2 4/1
5 7. Derrygarran Lad
48.6 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Return Of The Gods
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 3 · 9-8
6/4
★★★☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-10
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-4
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-7
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-0
9/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-1
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-0
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Return Of The Gods
Confidence: Speculative

Return Of The Gods (SR 91, 13/8) is the clear SR leader in this field by a significant margin — 9 points clear of second-best Zarvali (SR 82) — and carries a manageable 9-8. The 12% market support (steaming in) from Edward Bethell's yard with Daniel Tudhope up (16% career SR) is a meaningful signal of stable confidence. DistFit:+ at 7f confirms the trip suits, and the recent form of 1-8214 shows a clear winning performance alongside a strong fourth — the 8th-place run last time is a blip to look past given the market is endorsing today strongly. The main concern is MarkMv:+4 meaning he's 4lb higher than his last win mark, but at SR 91 he has the ability headroom to overcome that in this company. Each-way alternative: Zarvali. Main danger: Zarvali — Zarvali (SR 82, 11/2) has steamed in 36% in the market — by far the biggest move in the field — and trainer Roger Fell clearly fancies this, enough to potentially overcome the DistFit:- concern if the horse has improved since that reading.

Case against 4 clamped
  • The '8' in his 1-8214 form is a significant last-place finish that the primary analyst is asking us to overlook, yet no explanation is given for why it happened — if it was a fitness or behavioural i…
  • MarkMv:+4 means he runs off a mark 4lb above his last winning mark; in a competitive 3yo handicap at this level, that 4lb can be the difference between winning and finishing mid-pack.
  • Zarvali's market move of +36% (steaming in hard) dwarfs Return Of The Gods' +12% move and suggests significant stable/market confidence in the second-favourite — a 36% gamble at 11/2 is a serious cou…
  • At 13/8 in an 8-runner field Return Of The Gods offers little margin for error; if the pace doesn't suit or he needs more time to bounce back from the '8' run, the price provides no value cushion.
Shortlist Return Of The Gods, Zarvali, Raging Raj, Indefensible
Each-way: Zarvali Danger: Zarvali

🗺 The Course Class 4

0m7f0y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade