Yarmouth 14:38 RESULTED
Class 3 14 Aug 2026

Friday 14 August British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f3y

Official Result

British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Rock Montreal (IRE) Ray Dawson · Roger Varian
    2/5F
  2. Second Mino (GB)
    16/1
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
  • 1 NR
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
?
Majestic Jude silks
Majestic Jude Non-Runner
Age 2 · 9-7
5
2
9-7
SP
1
Del Pearo silks
Del Pearo
Age 2 · 9-7
125
2
9-7
28/1 16/1 25/1
SR 125 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 125 suggests ability but 28/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Junior Again silks
Junior Again
Age 2 · 9-7
153
2
9-7
7/2 3/1 7/2
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Mino silks
Mino
Age 2 · 9-7
65
139
2
9-7
14/1 11/1 14/1
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
On Target silks
On Target
Age 2 · 9-7
6
139
2
9-7
14/1 13/2 12/1
SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Rock Montreal silks
Rock Montreal
Age 2 · 9-7
156
2
9-7
4/6 2/3 8/13
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Stormy Winter silks
Stormy Winter
Age 2 · 9-7
4
151
2
9-7
7/1 FCST 13/2
SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
0 Majestic Jude
1 Del Pearo 28/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 Bet365
2 Junior Again 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 Bet365
4 Mino 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 12.00 14/1 Bet365
5 On Target 14/1 open 9.50 14/1 open 8.00 14/1 open 7.50 14/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 14/1 Bet365
6 Rock Montreal 4/6 8/13 open 1.73 8/13 open 1.73 8/13 open 1.67 8/13 open 1.73 4/6 Bet365
7 Stormy Winter 7/1 open 11.00 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 13/2 7/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Rock Montreal

High conviction

Rock Montreal owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/6 Roger Varian Ray Dawson
71% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Junior Again

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · George Boughey
✓ Value Signal

Del Pearo

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · John Ryan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
97 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +21.3 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
48 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Live signal
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Rock Montreal
72.5 4/6
2 2. Junior Again
70.0 7/2
3 7. Stormy Winter
68.8 7/1
4 4. Mino
61.2 14/1
5 5. On Target
61.2 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Rock Montreal
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 2 · 9-7
4/6
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 2 · 9-7
7/2
★★★★☆ SR 153 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Age 2 · 9-7
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 151 🐾

SR 151 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 2 · 9-7
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 139 🐾

SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 2 · 9-7
14/1
★★★☆☆ SR 139 🐾

SR 139 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Rock Montreal
Confidence: Speculative

Rock Montreal carries the highest SR in the field at 156, backed by Roger Varian (19% strike rate over 652 runners — a top-tier operation) and Ray Dawson (15% strike rate). The market has installed it at 4/6 favourite, reflecting strong stable confidence in a debut run. Its SR of 156 places it firmly in the top-class range, a full 3 points clear of the next-rated Junior Again (SR 153) and 5 points ahead of Stormy Winter (SR 151). In a 7f novice on good to firm at Yarmouth, with all runners at equal weight (9-7), the SR edge combined with the Varian/Dawson booking and market confidence makes this a clear selection despite the short price. Each-way alternative: Junior Again. Main danger: Stormy Winter — Stormy Winter (SR 151) has shortened 11% in the market since opening — the only horse with positive market momentum aside from the favourite — and the Saeed bin Suroor yard carries a 22% career strike rate, the highest of any trainer in the field, suggesting this 10-day quick turnaround is a purposeful move.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Rock Montreal is a debut runner (Form: ------) with zero racecourse experience, while Stormy Winter has already raced 10 days ago and Saeed bin Suroor's yard is shortening at 11/2 (in 11%), suggestin…
  • At 4/6, Rock Montreal is priced to near-certainty yet faces Junior Again (SR 153, George Boughey 18% strike rate) who represents another serious, well-bred debutant from an operation with a higher ru…
  • Stormy Winter (SR 151, recent form: 4) has race fitness from a run just 10 days ago and has already handled racecourse conditions — a tangible edge over an unraced rival at a tight price on fast grou…
  • The 4/6 price leaves almost no margin for the typical debut idiosyncrasies — missing the start, hanging on Yarmouth's flat, wide track, or failing to settle — that are statistically more common in fi…
Shortlist Rock Montreal, Junior Again, Stormy Winter
Each-way: Junior Again Danger: Stormy Winter

🗺 The Course Class 3

7f3y Distance to cover
Good to Firm Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Yarmouth Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade