Southwell (AW) 19:51 RESULTED
Class 5 6 Aug 2026

Thursday 6 August Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 6f17y

Official Result

Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Dorney Lake (GB) Daniel Tudhope · Liam Bailey
    9/2F
  2. Second Fierce (IRE)
    15/2
  3. 5/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 3 weeks, 3 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Beattie Is Back silks
Beattie Is Back
Age 7 · 9-9
420650
70
70
70OR
7
9-9
5/1 11/2 9/2
Beattie Is Back shaped with promise when second five starts back and our rating of 75 ranks him second of nine here, making him a genuine threat despite being winless in recent starts; the single concern is a trainer without a winner in 42 attempts over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 70 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Dorney Lake silks
Dorney Lake
Age 5 · 9-8
857120
69
74
69OR
5
9-8
13/2 5/1 11/2
Dorney Lake showed his best when winning three starts back and filling the runner-up spot two starts back, but has been unplaced most recently. He has experience of today's trip and conditions, and 13 days gives fair freshness — though 134 lb is a stern test at OR 69.
AI verdict

SR 74 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Spirit Of Jenny silks
Spirit Of Jenny
Age 4 · 9-7
78-212
68
73
68OR
4
9-7
4/1 11/4 4/1
Second last time out and a winner two starts back, Spirit Of Jenny arrives on the back of solid recent form and has run over today's trip and going before. Carrying 133 lb from stall five, the 73-day absence is the one query, but her profile makes her our pick here.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Fierce silks
Fierce
Age 6 · 9-6
7-3236
67
69
67OR
6
9-6
10/1 5/1 10/1
Fierce has been placing consistently in recent starts — third two runs back and second three runs back — and he has experience of today's distance and going, while his rating of 77 tops the field; the risks are a 41-day absence and a trainer without a winner in 21 attempts over the last fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Baba Reza silks
Baba Reza
Age 8 · 9-6
306-23
67
69
67OR
8
9-6
7/1 6/1 7/1
Baba Reza has been placed in three of his last five starts, finishing third last time out and second two starts back, and he has experience of today's trip and conditions. Carrying 132 lb from stall six is the chief concern for a horse yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Jesse Luc silks
Jesse Luc
Age 6 · 9-5
453536
66
71
66OR
6
9-5
4/1 4/1 7/2
Yet to win in his last six starts, Jesse Luc does offer two thirds in recent form as encouragement, though fifths and sixths pepper the record too; drawn three and carrying 131 lb, he has experience of today's trip and going, leaving him a credible if unspectacular midfield proposition.
AI verdict

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Sarafina Mshairi silks
Sarafina Mshairi
Age 4 · 9-3
351-98
64
47
64OR
4
9-3
20/1 12/1 20/1
Consecutive eighths and ninths in her last two starts make Sarafina Mshairi hard to fancy, and she sits ranked seventh of nine on our figures; she does bring winning form from three starts back and has experience over today's trip and going, but much more is needed here.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Camera Shy silks
Camera Shy
Age 4 · 9-2
541764
63
62
63OR
4
9-2
11/1 15/2 11/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and winless in his last three starts, Camera Shy faces a stiff task, though he has run over today's trip and going before and that sole win four starts back shows ability on a good day.
AI verdict

SR 62 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Fan Mail silks
Fan Mail
Age 4 · 9-2
255340
63
60
63OR
4
9-2
17/2 11/1 8/1
Winless in his last six starts with an unplaced effort most recently, Fan Mail faces a stiff ask from stall nine carrying 128 lb, and a trainer striking at just 4% over the past fortnight makes it hard to fancy, despite experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Beattie Is Back 5/1 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 8.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 Bet365
2 Dorney Lake 13/2 open 10.00 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 8.00 6/1 open 6.50 11/2 open 6.00 13/2 Bet365
3 Spirit Of Jenny 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 3.75 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 open 4.00 4/1 Bet365
4 Fierce 10/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 Betfred
5 Baba Reza 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.00 15/2 open 8.00 7/1 open 7.50 15/2 Coral
6 Jesse Luc 4/1 open 5.50 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 4/1 Bet365
7 Sarafina Mshairi 20/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 25/1 Coral
8 Camera Shy 11/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 9.50 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 Coral
9 Fan Mail 17/2 open 13.00 8/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 8/1 open 12.00 17/2 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Dorney Lake

Speculative

Dorney Lake owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (70). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/2 Liam Bailey Daniel Tudhope
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Spirit Of Jenny

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Steph Hollinshead
✓ Value Signal

Sarafina Mshairi

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · Edward Smyth-Osbourne
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Live signal
70 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +3.9 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. Dorney Lake
52.6 13/2
2 3. Spirit Of Jenny
51.9 4/1
3 1. Beattie Is Back
51.6 5/1
4 6. Jesse Luc
49.3 4/1
5 4. Fierce
48.7 10/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Beattie Is Back
Medium

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 4 · 9-7
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 9-5
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 9-9
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 70 🐾

SR 70 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 5 · 9-8
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 8 · 9-6
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Age 4 · 9-2
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 6 · 9-6
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 69 🐾

SR 69 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 4 · 9-2
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 4 · 9-3
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 47 🐾

SR 47 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Beattie Is Back
Confidence: Medium

Beattie Is Back (SR 70, 11/2) is the standout market mover in a weak field, shortening 17% from opening — the strongest market support in the race by a clear margin. Dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) with a mark 2lb lower than last win provides a straightforward handicapping opportunity. The SR of 70 leads or matches the field on ability, and the Fahey yard at 9% strike rate with conditional jockey Tindall is a workmanlike but functional pairing. The distance and going flags (DistFit:- GoingFit:-) are the principal concerns, but in a Class 5 field where the entire lineup shows similar or worse fit markers, the market confidence is the most meaningful differentiator. Each-way alternative: Jesse Luc. Main danger: Dorney Lake — Dorney Lake (SR 74, 13/2) carries the highest SR in the field and has shortened 13% in the market with Daniel Tudhope — a 16% career strike-rate jockey — booked, giving it a credible each-way profile despite the MarkMv:+5 concern.

Shortlist Beattie Is Back, Jesse Luc, Dorney Lake, Spirit Of Jenny
Each-way: Jesse Luc Danger: Dorney Lake

🗺 The Course Class 5

6f17y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Southwell (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade