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19:51 Southwell (AW) 6 Aug 2026 Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap Stakes (Div II)

  • 9 Runners
  • Class 5 Class
  • 6f17y Trip
  • Good Going
Racecard
1

Beattie Is Back

Ethan Tindall(5) Richard & Peter Fahey

70SR 70OR 5/1Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Improver backed Form trend up, money following. The dark-horse profile — bottom-up improver the market has spotted before the ratings catch up. form_trajectorymarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+48 pts trend
↗ Climbing 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 49 · Field avg 44 +5

Going Record

on Good
37%
~ Mixed

5 wins, 8 placed · 35 runs

This runner 30% · Field avg 36% -6

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Ethan Tindall 34 wins from 338 rides 10 WIN %
  • Richard & Peter Fahey 67 wins from 677 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 5 wins from 81 together 6WIN %
2

Dorney Lake

Daniel Tudhope Liam Bailey

74SR 69OR 13/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 4 chips
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor
  • Class out of form Headline rating reflects past glory; the form trajectory says now isn't the time. SR carries history — trend carries today. sr_ratingform_trajectory
  • Going question Highly rated overall — but their record on today's going is the weakest part of the CV. sr_ratinggoing_record
  • Cold pairing Carrying market expectation but the jockey-trainer pairing's strike rate is sub-10%. The connections aren't doing the rating any favours. connection_heatsr_rating

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-15 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 58 · Field avg 44 +14

Going Record

on Good
26%
✗ Avoid

6 wins, 2 placed · 31 runs

This runner 27% · Field avg 36% -9

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
↑ Jockey hot
  • Daniel Tudhope 359 wins from 1964 rides 18 WIN %
  • Liam Bailey 46 wins from 493 runners 9 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 35 together 6WIN %
3

Spirit Of Jenny

Dougie Costello Steph Hollinshead

73SR 68OR 4/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-55 pts trend
↘ Fading 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 53 · Field avg 44 +9

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

1 win, 5 placed · 12 runs

This runner 43% · Field avg 36% +7

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
✗ Cold
  • Dougie Costello 90 wins from 885 rides 10 WIN %
  • Steph Hollinshead 32 wins from 309 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 12 wins from 129 together 9WIN %
4

Fierce

Jason Hart Paul Midgley

69SR 67OR 10/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-12 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 51 · Field avg 44 +7

Going Record

on Good
39%
★ Specialist

3 wins, 10 placed · 33 runs

This runner 55% · Field avg 36% +19

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
🔥 Hot pairing
  • Jason Hart 393 wins from 2755 rides 14 WIN %
  • Paul Midgley 114 wins from 1033 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 11 wins from 53 together 21WIN %
5

Baba Reza

Clifford Lee Julie Camacho

69SR 67OR 7/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+7 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 44 0

Going Record

on Good
43%
★ Specialist

4 wins, 9 placed · 30 runs

This runner 50% · Field avg 36% +14

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Clifford Lee 277 wins from 1637 rides 17 WIN %
  • Julie Camacho 117 wins from 1044 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 1 win from 7 together 14WIN %
6

Jesse Luc

Luke Morris Mike Murphy

71SR 66OR 4/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+12 pts trend
→ Steady 3 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 44 -1

Going Record

on Good
50%
✓ Proven

6 wins, 11 placed · 34 runs

This runner 42% · Field avg 36% +6

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Luke Morris 376 wins from 3091 rides 12 WIN %
  • Mike Murphy 31 wins from 264 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 8 together 0WIN %
7

Sarafina Mshairi

Ashley Lewis(3) Edward Smyth-Osbourne

47SR 64OR 20/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 28 · Field avg 44 -16

Going Record

on Good
35%
~ Mixed

2 wins, 4 placed · 17 runs

This runner 36% · Field avg 36% 0

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • Ashley Lewis 73 wins from 535 rides 14 WIN %
  • Edward Smyth-Osbourne 17 wins from 165 runners 10 WIN %
  • Pairing 0 wins from 11 together 0WIN %
8

Camera Shy

Daniel Muscutt Michael Dods

62SR 63OR 11/1Odds
No cross-lens flags. Every lens agrees on this runner — read them straight.

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
-5 pts trend
→ Steady 0 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 28 · Field avg 44 -16

Going Record

on Good
14%
✗ Avoid

2 wins, 1 placed · 21 runs

This runner 19% · Field avg 36% -17

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
♨ Warm pairing
  • Daniel Muscutt 243 wins from 1757 rides 14 WIN %
  • Michael Dods 203 wins from 1722 runners 12 WIN %
  • Pairing 2 wins from 13 together 15WIN %
9

Fan Mail

David Allan Tim Easterby

60SR 63OR 17/2Odds
Cross-lens signals 2 chips
  • Smart money Market piling in despite a below-field SR. Often reflects yard confidence or work-watcher whispers the ratings haven't priced in yet. sr_ratingmarket_floor
  • Draw shrugged off Drawn at an awkward end of the rail, but the market is steaming in regardless. Stable confidence the horse can overcome it. draw_mapmarket_floor

Form Trajectory

last 6 runs
+3 pts trend
→ Steady 2 of 6 runs scored ≥ 60

This runner 43 · Field avg 44 0

Going Record

on Good
22%
✗ Avoid

2 wins, 4 placed · 27 runs

This runner 22% · Field avg 36% -14

Connection Heat

jockey · trainer · pairing
~ Mixed
  • David Allan 283 wins from 2228 rides 13 WIN %
  • Tim Easterby 504 wins from 4728 runners 11 WIN %
  • Pairing 241 wins from 1866 together 13WIN %

Market Floor

opening → current · median across bookmakers
4 Steamers
5 Drifters
0 Flat