Free Race Replays On attheraces.com EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m14y
SR 125 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 144 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 126 suggests ability but 80/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Astral Crown | 28/1 open 15.00 | — | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Kodiac City | 17/2 open 7.50 | — | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.50 | 15/2 | 17/2 Bet365 |
| 3 Baarberini | 5/4 open 4.50 | — | 6/5 open 3.25 | 6/5 open 3.25 | 6/5 open 3.50 | 6/5 open 3.25 | 5/4 Bet365 |
| 4 Bullrider | 15/8 open 3.25 | — | 15/8 open 2.63 | 15/8 open 2.63 | 6/4 open 2.75 | 15/8 open 2.50 | 15/8 Bet365 |
| 5 Phantom Knight | 11/1 open 7.50 | — | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 9/1 open 8.00 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Quest For Glory | 11/1 open 6.00 | — | 9/1 open 7.00 | 9/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 7.50 | 10/1 open 7.00 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Vinery | 28/1 open 6.50 | — | 25/1 open 8.00 | 25/1 open 8.00 | 25/1 open 8.50 | 25/1 open 8.50 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Hoosthat | 100/1 open 51.00 | — | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 80/1 open 67.00 | 100/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Baarberini owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (86) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 86 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 146 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 143 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Baarberini leads the field on SR:154, a clear 8-point advantage over the next-best (Kodiac City SR:146), and runs at the same class as last time (ClassMv:=), suggesting connections are confident this is the right level. At 11/4 with no market drift, the price is fair and the 4-star AI probability endorses the selection. Trainer James Horton runs a small operation (10%, 126 runners) so bringing this filly back after 38 days at a track she presumably has no negative history at represents a considered campaign move. The weight advantage of 3lb over the heavier-weighted runners (9-4 vs 9-7) is a further marginal edge. The danger is Kodiac City, a well-bred debutant with no form to assess but whose 7% market support and SR:146 suggest Hughes has an unexposed horse ready to run well first time. Each-way alternative: Kodiac City. Main danger: Kodiac City — An unexposed debutant with SR:146 from Richard Hughes's yard, showing 7% market support inward move — Hughes rarely pitches an unraced juvenile into a mile novice without confidence it can handle the trip.