Happy Birthday Colin Spencer Handicap Stakes (Chepstow Mile Series Qualifier) · 1m14y
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Talis Evolvere | 7/2 open 6.00 | — | 3/1 open 6.50 | 3/1 open 6.50 | 10/3 open 7.00 | 3/1 open 6.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 2 Serenity Blue | 3/1 open 3.50 | — | 11/4 open 4.50 | 11/4 open 4.50 | 3/1 open 4.33 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Revelance | 7/2 open 5.00 | — | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.00 | 7/2 open 4.33 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Nakaaha | 11/1 open 8.50 | — | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 11/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 Coral |
| 5 Auburn Avenue | 8/1 open 10.00 | — | 17/2 | 17/2 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 open 9.00 | 17/2 Coral |
| 6 Spirit Of The Bay | 9/1 open 9.00 | — | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 | 10/1 open 10.00 | 10/1 Coral |
| 7 Windbreaker | 5/1 open 4.50 | — | 5/1 open 3.75 | 5/1 open 3.75 | 5/1 open 3.75 | 11/2 open 4.00 | 11/2 Betfred |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Windbreaker owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (45) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 suggests ability but 9/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 70 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 76 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 70 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Talis Evolvere (SR 84, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and has been backed in aggressively — a 33% market contraction is the strongest market signal in this race by some distance, suggesting well-informed money. The 9lb weight advantage over Serenity Blue (both SR 84/85 but Talis carries 10-2 vs Serenity Blue's 10-1 — marginal) is less relevant here, but the class drop (↓1) into a softer contest combined with the Hannon yard's 13% strike rate and the apprentice Seamus Cronin's strong 24% personal strike rate is a compelling connections package. The DistFit:- and GoingFit:- flags are genuine concerns — this horse has not proven itself at a mile or on good-to-firm — but the 33% market support overrides those doubts in a field of this modest quality where no rival carries truly convincing credentials. Each-way alternative: Serenity Blue. Main danger: Serenity Blue — Serenity Blue (SR 85, 5/2) is the highest-rated runner, has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good-to-firm ground, carries 19% market support, and the cheekpieces addition (HG:p) signals the Horton yard expects a sharper performance — if the headgear works, it wins.